MMA Thread - Page 108 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

These fights are awful. Disappointed my prop on Ferreira by finish didn't come in, feel it was a good bet since he dropped him numerous times but just zero killer/finishing instinct.

Ferreira/Jason/Werdum parlay comes in at + money for a little over a unit though.

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06-23-2012 , 11:59 PM

#2677

DodgerIrish

Fraudulent Zodiac

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 28,186

Unless he's either randomly jet-lagged gassed or taking a dive - Franklin should KTFO Wand over 5 rounds

GL Wand backers

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06-24-2012 , 12:00 AM

#2678

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Was on the fence but unloaded more on Franklin at -130. Line movement kinda irks me though.

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06-24-2012 , 12:05 AM

#2679

'kljhg

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,398

i bet silva like 4x now isn't he a brand name didn't even hear of the other guy sounds like a scrub

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06-24-2012 , 12:07 AM

#2680

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by DodgerIrish

Unless he's either randomly jet-lagged gassed or taking a dive - Franklin should KTFO Wand over 5 rounds

GL Wand backers

The line moved halfway back at the end at close at -144 on Pinn

I agree with this. Franklin is better. This is one of my biggest sports bets ever. Get it done, Rich. You still have it... and over 5 rounds, he's got an edge. Wandy's main path to victory is to finish him inside 2 rounds imo. Franklin just has more ways to win it

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06-24-2012 , 12:13 AM

#2681

'kljhg

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,398

how can you bet against someone whose nickname is "ask murderer"?

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06-24-2012 , 12:13 AM

#2682

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

GL guys ^^^^lol

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06-24-2012 , 12:17 AM

#2683

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Franklin lookin sharp

fu announcer

avoid clinch and blind hooks and he's gnna cruise

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06-24-2012 , 12:19 AM

#2684

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Franklin looks switched on

10-9 Franklin

Wandy's always dangerous but I see this ending with Wand lying crumpled on the mat

gogogo Rich!

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06-24-2012 , 12:22 AM

#2685

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProbablyRsigley

i bet silva like 4x now isn't he a brand name didn't even hear of the other guy sounds like a scrub

both are over the hill brand names

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06-24-2012 , 12:25 AM

#2686

'kljhg

banned

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 3,398

why wouldn't the ref stop that dude was getting ask murdered

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06-24-2012 , 12:25 AM

#2687

Nonfiction

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 12,498

Wow cant believe that wasnt stopped there

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06-24-2012 , 12:33 AM

#2688

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Especially in Brazil. Thankfully (for me) the didn't. Rogan was right in saying Silva looks kinda gassed (rightfully so).

Quote

06-24-2012 , 12:39 AM

#2689

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

10-9 3 and 4 imo

Franklin can't leave it to judges in Brazil tho

Quote

06-24-2012 , 12:39 AM

#2690

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

10-9 9-10 (or 8-10 but i have it 9) 10-9 10-9 so far

Quote

06-24-2012 , 12:42 AM

#2691

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

Round 2 was 8-10 imo, and I have too much on Franklin

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06-24-2012 , 12:45 AM

#2692

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

49-46 or 48-46 Franklin depending how you score r2 imo

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06-24-2012 , 12:46 AM

#2693

Nonfiction

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 12,498

10-9 8-10 10-9 10-9 10-9

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06-24-2012 , 12:46 AM

#2694

GoDeViLs

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 3,464

gonna be close, don't like my chances in BRA

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06-24-2012 , 12:55 AM

#2695

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

LOL at the Franklin post fight interview. For those who didn't see it they asked him if the fight had gone as he expected and he said "To be honest I took that hit to the head in the second and I don't remember anything until it was the 5th round" lol. Then he says "To be honest I prefer those fights cause I'm just on the sideline and my trainer is like 'It's the 5th round' and I'm like oh really? Sweet!". Then they ask him whether he remembers the hit he took in the 2nd and he said he thinks it was a kick, whereas actually it was a right punch. What a machine.

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06-24-2012 , 12:59 AM

#2696

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

One of the reasons I took Franklin over Wandy is his chin. Great fight by Rich, I honestly think he is capable of beating any MW other than Silva (although Bisping, Sonnen and Belfort obviously are big maybes)

Thank you to Bodao and Ace for a solid winning card

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06-24-2012 , 01:12 AM

#2697

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

I didn't run the odds-movement betting strategy today, which is a shame because it would have gone 5-1 plus a push (texiera losing, arantes pushing, ferreira/dias/werdum/drinaldo/franklin winning). Did have money on Franklin thanks to a tip though.

Quote

06-24-2012 , 10:49 AM

#2698

ebergman

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 228

What did the line do just before fight? I heard wand dropped to like +110 franklin-130? Crazy line movement on this fight, glad I got on it super early.

On the fight line movement convo, does anyone know a site that actually tracks it? bestfightodds kind of tracks it but I'm looking moreso of a public bet % with line movements

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06-24-2012 , 11:02 AM

#2699

Onlydo2days

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 19,271

Can't believe it wasn't stopped in rd 2 but I'll take it.

Only thing that sucks is I got in on Rich at -160 when he was like -120 45 mins before the fight. I actually remember when Rich fought Liddell samething happened, tons of late line movement on Liddell and he lost.

Samething happened Rampage/Evans I remember, tons of late action on Rampage (don't know if it was public or sharp but big line moves considering these were all main events)

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06-24-2012 , 12:53 PM

#2700

just_mo

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Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 8,699

I thought the non stoppage was correct, Ace kept trying to maneuver to a better spot. Decent scrap, surprised Rich didn't get the finish but it wasn't a decision I was sweating at all. Made bout 3u mostly thanks to Franklin.

Very surprised Werdum finished Russow with strikes. His standup looked far better against BC but he's never been a power guy and Russow's chin has been very stout.

Kind of disappointed I didn't watch the TUF season because it sounds like there were some profitable opportunities on the undercard that I missed out on. Shoulda just tailed Swoop. Oh well.

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