MLB Accuscore Tracking Thread - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Two Plus Two Forums Sports and Games Sports Betting

MLB Accuscore Tracking Thread

Post Reply Subscribe

...

04-03-2011 , 05:18 AM

GarbageMan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,413

Ok so I'm gonna try and use Accuscore to pick the best ML value bets of the day, will be using their % of a team winning and translate that into odds, then compare these odds with various bookmakers, taking the best available line.
Here's a look at the process behind the picks:

I'll be using $100 as the standard bet for tracking purposes, and initially will be risking 1u per game.
Any input/comments/suggestions welcomed....

Quote

04-03-2011 , 05:27 AM

GarbageMan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,413

April3rd

White Sox -130/1.77

Angels -103/1.97

Yankees -160/1.63

Mariners +167/2.67

Rangers +125/2.25

Pirates +162/2.62

Reds -126/1.79

American/European odds

Quote

04-03-2011 , 08:02 AM

GarbageMan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,413

...adding totals

White Sox/Indians o8.5 -125/1.80

Quote

04-03-2011 , 09:34 AM

B00T

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 5,246

The system has been tried many times over in the past and is a steaming pile.

With line shopping, you won't lose too much, but don't quit your day job.

BOL however.

Quote

04-03-2011 , 11:02 AM

GarbageMan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,413

Cheers for the heads up mate, gonna give it a bash nonetheless and see what happens. Admittedly I am skeptical of this service myself, but it came free with espn insider so thought id give it a trial run.

Quote

04-03-2011 , 11:16 AM

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,339

Quote:

Originally Posted by GarbageMan

...then compare these odds with various bookmakers, taking the best available line.

This is the most interesting part of this thread. With so many books dealing a dime line, diligent line shopping should yield a strategy very close to 0ev.

GL, this will be a grind.

Quote

04-03-2011 , 11:36 AM

DodgerIrish

Fraudulent Zodiac

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 28,247

Any trial run for success would pale in comparison to the # of trials run before in terms of expected future success IMO.

You might run hot or if you're just looking for an easy way to sweat beisbol - either way GL

Quote

04-03-2011 , 01:54 PM

GarbageMan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,413

Thanks for the responses and advice, sounds like this will be a lot of fun, hours of work to break even at best

Quote

04-03-2011 , 02:31 PM

gfxhjk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 10,757

would just be easier to write a program to scrape the data, store in DB, do calculations on its own, etc.

20 mins of work one time vs hours of work every week

Quote

04-04-2011 , 01:20 PM

#10

GarbageMan

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,413

Quote:

Originally Posted by GarbageMan

April3rd

White Sox -130/1.77 $100

Angels -103/1.97 $100

Yankees -160/1.63 $100

Mariners +167/2.67 $100

Rangers +125/2.25 $125

Pirates +162/2.62 $162

Reds -126/1.79 $80

American/European odds

Quote:

Originally Posted by GarbageMan

...adding totals

White Sox/Indians o8.5 -125/1.80 $100

Loss for the day $133.
Gonna be knocking it on the head. Had some good advice by experienced posters, so not gonna waste my life with this crap, may as well just throw darts at the bit o paper!

Quote

04-05-2011 , 12:01 AM

#11

MYDAYJOB

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 114

Accuscore is THE BIBLE when it comes to player props... particularly NFL and NBA. Line and total is a grind though.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...