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Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings

11-06-2017 , 08:39 PM
Hello,

Can anyone guide me into what is generally accepted as the best way to make your own point spread based on power rankings, specifically for the NFL. I know there are a lot of sharp players that use this to come up with their opening line but can’t seem to find a simple article on how to do that. Mainly, I’m looking to average 3-4 power rankings together rather than the added task of making my own, and adding this to my handicapping. Thanks in advance.
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote
11-07-2017 , 11:32 AM
What is this, 1985? Power rankings?
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote
11-07-2017 , 06:03 PM
I've seen more than one fairly efficient power ranking model. Of course these go beyond the simple linear ranking - calculate the difference - get the point spread model that I believe the OP is referring to.
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote
11-08-2017 , 02:12 PM
I used to keep a list of power rankings just based on the previous lines and update it week-to-week. It's obviously not something you can handicap with, but it was generally pretty close as far as predicting future lines.
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote
11-09-2017 , 10:14 AM
use some form of pythag to calc expected win% using power ratings and then historical push% to convert that win% to a spread
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote
11-09-2017 , 07:15 PM
Thanks TomG. Very much appreciated especially for the newer unexperienced bettors/ posters. Always provide useful good info, even for the small things or other top pros might respond to in a different manner. On many topics, i personally, am thankful for all your great input
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote
11-10-2017 , 11:03 AM
well if you have an advanced technical degree all the info about power ratings is in this book

Who's #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking

although i have a degree like that and still didn't understand much
Calculating Point Spreads from Power Rankings Quote

      
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