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Old 08-20-2017, 05:02 AM   #176
spooner90
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

it's anaerobic because it's extremely difficult to get a rhythm for your breathing during a fight.
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Old 08-20-2017, 11:42 AM   #177
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by SwoopAE View Post
Floyd -323 on Betfair now. Wonder when the steam ends? Surely he doesn't go below -300 but you never know...
That is insane value. Does anyone think this will spike up to -700 Floyd or more before the fight starts? I'm guessing a ton of action will be put down on fight day.
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Old 08-21-2017, 07:57 AM   #178
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by Mike Femton View Post
Jeans89 bet 200k€ on Mayweather
Any source for this or just nvg style rumour
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Old 08-21-2017, 08:37 AM   #179
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by SootedPowa View Post
Any source for this or just nvg style rumour
He has a blog in finnish here
https://www.sijoitustieto.fi/sijoitu...attohuoneistoa

He talks about the match quite a bit and says he has 200k on Mayweather
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Old 08-21-2017, 09:06 AM   #180
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by blobblo View Post
He has a blog in finnish here
https://www.sijoitustieto.fi/sijoitu...attohuoneistoa

He talks about the match quite a bit and says he has 200k on Mayweather
Thanks. Used automatic translate in chrome and saw the 200k on Mayweather reference. Can't really judge the reasoning when viewing a worse translation than instructions for a chinese hoverboard.

Quote:
Originally Posted by upswinging View Post
it doesn't matter what a book publicy says.

again... a very simple question... if the true line actually was -5000, then why on earth hasnt every single syndicate, runner, sharp etc absolutely blasted the **** out of -600 on literally every single sportsbook and bookie out there?... and the answer to that question is because the true line is actually right around -600 and the ONLY REASON that book is publicly saying **** like that is for their own bottom line and nobody else.


once again... IF the true line was in fact -5000 but they posted the odds at -600... there would so much god damned money reigning down on the books they would have no choice but to push the line back to -5000.
Exactly this. Wherever I hear this fight being discussed everyone always seems to think Mayweather should be a 1.01 favourite end of discussion. If that is so true how come the (extremely liquid) exchange markets have him drifting out day by day? Huge amounts available at 1.3 (-333.33) as I type. Dont get me wrong I can see why people say that but money talks and that is the line.

I find it interesting as well ticket sales for this fight have been so slow. The PPV purchase numbers I thought would be very high but we will have to see.
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Old 08-21-2017, 09:49 AM   #181
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by SootedPowa View Post
Thanks. Used automatic translate in chrome and saw the 200k on Mayweather reference. Can't really judge the reasoning when viewing a worse translation than instructions for a chinese hoverboard.



Exactly this. Wherever I hear this fight being discussed everyone always seems to think Mayweather should be a 1.01 favourite end of discussion. If that is so true how come the (extremely liquid) exchange markets have him drifting out day by day? Huge amounts available at 1.3 (-333.33) as I type. Dont get me wrong I can see why people say that but money talks and that is the line.

I find it interesting as well ticket sales for this fight have been so slow. The PPV purchase numbers I thought would be very high but we will have to see.
Sharp money doesn't always move the market my friend

Even if Conor was a nice 10% edge bet what's the point?

Not like you can start betting 10% of ur roll lol
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Old 08-21-2017, 11:17 AM   #182
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by lvr View Post
Not like you can start betting 10% of ur roll lol
y not?
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Old 08-21-2017, 11:43 AM   #183
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Coming out of sports betting retirement for this one. Just took Mayweather by KO, TKO or DQ at -200 to win 2k
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Old 08-21-2017, 12:01 PM   #184
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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y not?
because even with full kelly it would be like 2%?

in general these high bets are garbage
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Old 08-21-2017, 12:44 PM   #185
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

wat
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Old 08-21-2017, 02:49 PM   #186
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by BraveJayhawk View Post
Coming out of sports betting retirement for this one. Just took Mayweather by KO, TKO or DQ at -200 to win 2k
Meanwhile in the UK we have -120 available in that market (the line for which oddly hasn't shortened compared to PBF outright)
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Old 08-21-2017, 03:40 PM   #187
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by lvr View Post
because even with full kelly it would be like 2%?

in general these high bets are garbage
Full kelly would be 1/3 of bankroll.
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Old 08-21-2017, 04:03 PM   #188
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

wrong thread
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Old 08-21-2017, 04:21 PM   #189
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

can get 1.33 or -330 on floyd as i type this right now in the UK

being a big McGregor fan it might be the most tilting thing i ever experience if conor somehow lands and KO's floyd with a bet on mayweather.

even if floyd won i'd still be tilted so it's a lose/lose really
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Old 08-21-2017, 05:37 PM   #190
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

what site?
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Old 08-21-2017, 05:44 PM   #191
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

oddschecker yo
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Old 08-21-2017, 05:47 PM   #192
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

3/10 on bet 365.
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Old 08-21-2017, 07:23 PM   #193
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

never go full kelly
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Old 08-21-2017, 08:39 PM   #194
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Agreed. 1.5-2x kelly, otherwise what's the point
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Old 08-22-2017, 12:32 AM   #195
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

what's full kelly bros?
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Old 08-22-2017, 08:49 AM   #196
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Got a bit down on FMJ by KO/TKO/DQ a couple days ago at -125. Truly amazing. It's at -145 now, still tremendous value imo.
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Old 08-22-2017, 11:53 AM   #197
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Thinking of putting in a small side bet on "Mcgregor to be docked a point for any rule infringement" at 3,5 odds. I think McGregor will get frustrated and is going to try some dirty tricks. Is this is a good bet and how often and for which infringements do referees usually dock points?
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Old 08-22-2017, 01:31 PM   #198
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by WateryBoil View Post
never go full kelly
panocha
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Old 08-22-2017, 02:30 PM   #199
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by WateryBoil View Post
never go full kelly
I'm guessing you play Blackjack.
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Old 08-22-2017, 03:25 PM   #200
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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