Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 07-07-2017, 01:59 PM   #51
stressed
old hand
 
stressed's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 1,407
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by WateryBoil View Post
im probably just going to stream it live for $10 from a specialty site like i do with all the UFC PPV's, i mean its a monthly charge so this fight might cost me $0 to watch.

would i pay $60-80 for it? hell no lol idiots who dont know how the internet works can do that.
I already have FightPass but this specialty site sounds cool for only 10bucks. Can you PM me a link?

For the fight, I've always bet Mayweather to win by decision. It's been printing all these years. Fairly predictable.

I do hope Connor KO's him Floyd. Not a Mayweather fan, will wait closer to fight time as I think lots of Floyd will be coming in again. The line now is great to bet on Floyd. I wanna place some money on Connor wins via KO
stressed is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-08-2017, 05:46 PM   #52
Sirbustalotz
journeyman
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 260
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Yea where can you get it for 10 bucks? pm me as well please.
Sirbustalotz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-09-2017, 03:49 AM   #53
Nick Diaz
adept
 
Nick Diaz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: The floor at Tristar
Posts: 852
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by Like View Post
sounds like a baller 600 dollar trip
ROFL you guys are savages
Nick Diaz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-09-2017, 09:05 PM   #54
pDennisJamespv
stranger
 
Join Date: Jul 2017
Posts: 1
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

This is going to be an awesome event.

I know people would complain if they charged for a press conference, and now people are complaining that its free?
I am excited about the media coverage of this and the fight, I am a fan of all things combat.
pDennisJamespv is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-12-2017, 12:12 AM   #55
WateryBoil
Pooh-Bah
 
WateryBoil's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: And mine are long and sharp my Lord
Posts: 4,208
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by stressed View Post
I already have FightPass but this specialty site sounds cool for only 10bucks. Can you PM me a link?

For the fight, I've always bet Mayweather to win by decision. It's been printing all these years. Fairly predictable.

I do hope Connor KO's him Floyd. Not a Mayweather fan, will wait closer to fight time as I think lots of Floyd will be coming in again. The line now is great to bet on Floyd. I wanna place some money on Connor wins via KO
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sirbustalotz View Post
Yea where can you get it for 10 bucks? pm me as well please.
sorry they closed new accounts recently so they dont get shut down due to growth.
WateryBoil is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-12-2017, 10:59 AM   #56
TomJones09
old hand
 
TomJones09's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,813
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by stressed View Post
I already have FightPass but this specialty site sounds cool for only 10bucks. Can you PM me a link?

For the fight, I've always bet Mayweather to win by decision. It's been printing all these years. Fairly predictable.

I do hope Connor KO's him Floyd. Not a Mayweather fan, will wait closer to fight time as I think lots of Floyd will be coming in again. The line now is great to bet on Floyd. I wanna place some money on Connor wins via KO
anyone know why the odds of Floyd winning by decision have gone up quite a bit? Saw it started at around 2.50 (+150) and is now 3.75 (+275) on betfair.
also the draw odds has fallen quite a bit
TomJones09 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-12-2017, 12:05 PM   #57
rainmaker1855
adept
 
rainmaker1855's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Chicago
Posts: 832
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

anyone think the IRS debt issue might be a distraction for Mayweather come fight night? I'd argue that the biggest distraction of his career (going to jail for 2+ months) didn't seem to impact his next performances, but could see arguments on the other side too.
rainmaker1855 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-13-2017, 08:46 AM   #58
Error Prone
centurion
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 146
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomJones09 View Post
anyone know why the odds of Floyd winning by decision have gone up quite a bit? Saw it started at around 2.50 (+150) and is now 3.75 (+275) on betfair.
also the draw odds has fallen quite a bit
People starting to doubt McG can get punched in the face for 12 rounds and keep going.
Error Prone is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-13-2017, 11:11 AM   #59
recondite7
old hand
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Austin Texas
Posts: 1,866
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

This is a joke of a fight. Floyd is still most likely a favorite against anyone in the world at his weight class and Conor is not a professional boxer (until now).

Conor is an exceptional promoter and there is a huge contingent of fanboys that will bet on him no matter what. This is the only reason this line is not -2000 Mayweather.

This will go 1 or 2 rounds if Conor is actually trying to win and go for a KO. If Conor tries to just survive as long as possible it can maybe go 8.

Only risk in betting Mayweather here is some weird DQ or the extremely unlikely scenario where he takes a dive to set up a rematch.
recondite7 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-13-2017, 12:04 PM   #60
pokerbeastsu
journeyman
 
pokerbeastsu's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Woburn, MA
Posts: 250
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by recondite7 View Post
This is a joke of a fight. Floyd is still most likely a favorite against anyone in the world at his weight class and Conor is not a professional boxer (until now).

Conor is an exceptional promoter and there is a huge contingent of fanboys that will bet on him no matter what. This is the only reason this line is not -2000 Mayweather.

This will go 1 or 2 rounds if Conor is actually trying to win and go for a KO. If Conor tries to just survive as long as possible it can maybe go 8.

Only risk in betting Mayweather here is some weird DQ or the extremely unlikely scenario where he takes a dive to set up a rematch.
That last sentence is what would scare me the most. Boxing is such a great sport, but it's decline can be somewhat attributed to all the BS and corruption.
Betting the house on a sure thing like FMJ is almost certain to bite you in the @$$ because some insider has an ulterior motive to make more $$$.

If you're holding a gun to my head and telling me to pick 1 I lay the house on FMJ. I think the smarter thing (depending on the odds) might be as someone else suggested, large bet on FMJ and a smaller insurance bet on a Connor KO in the first 4 rounds.
pokerbeastsu is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-13-2017, 12:14 PM   #61
SuperSwag
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 3,811
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Conor said at the presser "he wants to KO Floyd within 4" so I think the odds are moving a little cause of that. Also Floyd said he was gonna KO Conor in 1 round.
SuperSwag is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-13-2017, 12:46 PM   #62
Jkpoker10
adept
 
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 806
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

If Canelo couldn't knock out mayweather, how is mcgregor going to. I think people don't realize how hard it is to hit mayweather. He could prolly be stunned and would be smart enough to realize he just has to regain composure and fight defensive to win.

I would avoid this fight though. Have to bet way too much to win a small amount of mayweather. Think he wins by tko, ko, or at worst low probability of fight going distance. Boxing is so corrupt and a loss by mayweather would bring in a ton of money for a rematch. I'll just sit on sideline and it buy the ppv bc I believe the fight watch value will be small and prolly will end under 6 rounds. Think bridge jumping mayweather is right way to go though.

One final thing, I could see him being rusty but won't matter against this guy. Would prolly be a big deal if he fought an elite boxer like canelo.

Betting on boxing has left a bitter taste in my mouth after pacquiao lost that first fight against Bradley which was clearly a PAC win. I don't like betting sports where a bad decision can kill your solid wager.
Jkpoker10 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-13-2017, 01:02 PM   #63
RichGangi
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
RichGangi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Unearned income my a**!
Posts: 7,735
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

^ Pretty much exactly that. Nice post.
RichGangi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-14-2017, 03:28 AM   #64
Guy Incognito
old hand
 
Guy Incognito's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: ATL
Posts: 1,218
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor



I don't get it the numbers here - is there any other way to win besides Decision/KO/TKO? Do you lose any of those on a DQ, or is your bet refunded?
Guy Incognito is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-14-2017, 07:04 AM   #65
RichGangi
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
RichGangi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Unearned income my a**!
Posts: 7,735
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

LOL at those odds.....

Currently on Bookmaker:

Conor McGregor +523
Decision: +3300
KO, TKO, DQ: +650
Round 1: +4400

Floyd Mayweather Jr -749
Decision: +245
KO, TKO, DQ: -165
Round 1: +2147

O9.5 +146
U9.5 -171

Last edited by RichGangi; 07-14-2017 at 07:10 AM.
RichGangi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-14-2017, 10:26 AM   #66
rainmaker1855
adept
 
rainmaker1855's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: Chicago
Posts: 832
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

plus dont forget you had Floyd Sr. come out the other day and say his son couldn't KO Conor because of a hand issue. I guess maybe people were expecting the KO attempt, but I never really saw it outta Floyd. I think most would agree if it goes the distance that Mayweather is likely a lock to win it.
rainmaker1855 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-14-2017, 05:40 PM   #67
Like
journeyman
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 246
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Floyd in a decision at +245 looks tasty to me.
Like is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-16-2017, 10:24 PM   #68
matson125
stranger
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 7
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by rainmaker1855 View Post
plus dont forget you had Floyd Sr. come out the other day and say his son couldn't KO Conor because of a hand issue. I guess maybe people were expecting the KO attempt, but I never really saw it outta Floyd. I think most would agree if it goes the distance that Mayweather is likely a lock to win it.
Rain, do you recall which interview this was? I seen a video of Sr. ambushing McGregors press conference and talking all sort of ****.

Nevermind, found it for those interested... http://www.foxla.com/sports/267313371-story

Last edited by matson125; 07-16-2017 at 10:48 PM. Reason: found info.
matson125 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-17-2017, 06:47 AM   #69
The Don
veteran
 
The Don's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,351
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by recondite7 View Post
This is a joke of a fight. Floyd is still most likely a favorite against anyone in the world at his weight class and Conor is not a professional boxer (until now).

Conor is an exceptional promoter and there is a huge contingent of fanboys that will bet on him no matter what. This is the only reason this line is not -2000 Mayweather.

This will go 1 or 2 rounds if Conor is actually trying to win and go for a KO. If Conor tries to just survive as long as possible it can maybe go 8.

Only risk in betting Mayweather here is some weird DQ or the extremely unlikely scenario where he takes a dive to set up a rematch.
I think the reason the line is where it is is not so much the threat of corruption, but more that people are concerned (enough to not be pounding -800, at least) that introducing a Bruce Lee-esque striker into boxing could be like introducing an invasive species into Australia or whatever. I mean, there haven't been many strikers like McGregor in the history of combats sports, so this is pretty unprecedented.

I'm loving the over 9.5 at plus money, personally. The only fight where Conor 'went for the KO' was his first one against Diaz, and I think he learned his lesson (also, given that this is a 36 minute fight, I highly doubt he will attempt a similar strategy). His entire gameplan is based off inducing and slip-and-ripping his opponent's right, which I doubt will work well against Mayweather, given that Mayweather is a very left-hand-focused orthodox. And since Mayweather is a counter-striker himself, I expect a very slow-paced fight where the rear hands cancel each other out, and McGregor gets outboxed with the front hand. He is very concerned about maintaining face, so I think he will be doing everything possible to avoid getting finished, even at the expense of entertainment value. Also, they're using 10 ouncers.

Last edited by The Don; 07-17-2017 at 06:53 AM.
The Don is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-17-2017, 08:26 AM   #70
Soxxy
enthusiast
 
Soxxy's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2017
Location: Vegas
Posts: 66
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by recondite7 View Post
This is a joke of a fight. Floyd is still most likely a favorite against anyone in the world at his weight class .

IMO Floyd would be a dog at 40 against Errol Spence without question. He is probably a dog vs Kell Brook and Keith Thurman too. Terence Crawford would be a pick em.

Of course that doesn't mean anything for this fight. McGregor's chances are totally in the limit because it isn't MMA. Nobody just gets caught in boxing and is put to sleep with one punch and counted out at 154. You have to hurt a guy first to get them to expose their chin in order to do that. There is all this conflating with MMA where guys have their chin dangling out just waiting to get KOed with 1 punch.

For sure the risk of betting on Mayweather is that the fight is worked to set-up another mega rematch. There is a way better chance that happens than McGregor winning.

I will be betting the most I ever have on Mayweather but I am waiting until the day of the fight to let people come up with all kinds of delusional ideas like The Don just posted.

Last edited by Soxxy; 07-17-2017 at 08:32 AM.
Soxxy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-17-2017, 11:37 AM   #71
The Don
veteran
 
The Don's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,351
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by Soxxy View Post
IMO Floyd would be a dog at 40 against Errol Spence without question. He is probably a dog vs Kell Brook and Keith Thurman too. Terence Crawford would be a pick em.

Of course that doesn't mean anything for this fight. McGregor's chances are totally in the limit because it isn't MMA. Nobody just gets caught in boxing and is put to sleep with one punch and counted out at 154. You have to hurt a guy first to get them to expose their chin in order to do that. There is all this conflating with MMA where guys have their chin dangling out just waiting to get KOed with 1 punch.

For sure the risk of betting on Mayweather is that the fight is worked to set-up another mega rematch. There is a way better chance that happens than McGregor winning.

I will be betting the most I ever have on Mayweather but I am waiting until the day of the fight to let people come up with all kinds of delusional ideas like The Don just posted.
What's so delusional? I'm not betting McGregor ML, so I won't move the line for you. I said Mayweather will outpoint McGregor. He will likely have to hurt a fighter who is keeping his distance and not coming forward, using his front hand in an opposite stance matchup. That ain't easy. That's why I'm loving the over. If you think that is delusional, then take Mayweather KO and we will see who is closer to the truth after the fight.

To say the ML line is where it is because of conspiracy theories is insane. It's because it's unprecedented, and people don't like to bet on unprecedented stuff at -700.

Last edited by The Don; 07-17-2017 at 11:48 AM.
The Don is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-17-2017, 12:09 PM   #72
Iowa!
old hand
 
Iowa!'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1,302
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Don View Post
people don't like to bet on unprecedented stuff at -700.
More likely that they don't like to tie up money for a month for no reason. Even chat room millionaires have to consider opportunity cost. I bet 125k on Floyd over the weekend at a single shop in Vegas and the line moved all of 25c. Getting down on this nonsense won't be a prob. If the line doesn't move significantly on or around fight night then I think it's fair to put the tin foil hats on.

Last edited by Iowa!; 07-17-2017 at 12:15 PM.
Iowa! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-17-2017, 01:41 PM   #73
Mihkel05
Pooh-Bah
 
Join Date: Jul 2015
Posts: 4,026
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

I have bet $0 on this fight so far. Will probably be >$0.

See above.
Mihkel05 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-18-2017, 05:08 AM   #74
lvr
old hand
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 1,793
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

the only question should be if mayweather has agreed to let him go the full distance or not
lvr is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-19-2017, 10:02 PM   #75
nanaman
journeyman
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 210
Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Anywhere in Vegas I can get a better price than -600 on Floyd? Please PM me if anyone knows where. Ty
nanaman is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:32 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2017, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online