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Old 09-23-2017, 10:58 AM   #526
Mihkel05
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by lvr View Post
lol are you srs?
Yes. I try to know basic information about an event before I bet it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Derek123 View Post
You never run into that issue? Maybe I suck but it's a pretty common spot where I win but just not to the degree the model says.. as always my models could be improved though.
I generally don't indulge models where I'm pulling a random win %, but have no idea how to adjust for the potential of overbetting rendering the whole exercise inane.

Quote:
Originally Posted by overcast View Post
He had to ask the IRS to push back his 2015 overdue tax debt until after this fight. So, likely not flush with cash
This was widely known.
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Old 09-23-2017, 12:25 PM   #527
n00b590
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

"Floyd Mayweather Jr. is worth plenty, of course, but high value assets do not always translate to cash to pay the IRS."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/robertw...-release-yours
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Old 09-24-2017, 11:31 PM   #528
andr3w321
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mihkel05 View Post
I generally don't indulge models where I'm pulling a random win %, but have no idea how to adjust for the potential of overbetting rendering the whole exercise inane.
Yeah it's better to just throw away profitable models because even though you know they'll win you can't precisely say exactly how much they'll win by until real time betting/testing but who has time for that?
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Old 09-25-2017, 08:27 AM   #529
Mihkel05
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

How do you even know its winning if you don't know the degree its winning?
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Old 09-25-2017, 09:06 AM   #530
Derek123
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Being well over 2 standard deviations above break even has been reliable
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Old 09-25-2017, 09:44 AM   #531
Mihkel05
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

So you are able to model the SD of your results compared to ???, but can't make an adjustment to account for systematic bias?
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Old 09-25-2017, 09:47 AM   #532
overcast
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by Mihkel05 View Post


This was widely known.
Yes. And the guy I was responding to asked "lol are you serious" to a statement that FM was in debt leading up to the fight. I was responding to him in case he didn't know. Maybe he was being sarcastic..
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Old 09-25-2017, 10:28 AM   #533
lvr
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

I was being serious

don't believe everything you read

forbes is a ****ing joke
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Old 09-25-2017, 10:50 AM   #534
Mihkel05
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Are you claiming that the tax hearing didn't actually happen?
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Old 09-25-2017, 11:14 AM   #535
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

It's well known that a wealthy person going from say 100MM to 50MM creates an even greater sense of urgency/desperation than a normie going broke.

See Also: Billy Walters
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Old 09-25-2017, 11:33 AM   #536
lvr
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by Mihkel05 View Post
Are you claiming that the tax hearing didn't actually happen?
are you claiming they audited him?

otherwise this is all speculation

aka bs
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Old 09-25-2017, 11:45 AM   #537
Mihkel05
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

They have filed a 22.5m lien.
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Old 09-25-2017, 11:57 AM   #538
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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They have filed a 22.5m lien.
so what?

once again you are just assuming he would pay it if he had it
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Old 09-25-2017, 12:40 PM   #539
Mihkel05
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Yes. I'm assuming he'd rather pay it, instead of go to jail then pay even more.
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