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Old 06-27-2017, 06:29 AM   #26
doctor877
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Not a regular sportsbettor, but I can't possibly see how piling on Mayweather isn't going to make you an ROI of atleast 2-4%. Am I missing something here, it should even be relatively low variance bet? Only downside is locking up a lot of money for 2 months.
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Old 06-27-2017, 10:33 AM   #27
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by doctor877 View Post
Not a regular sportsbettor, but I can't possibly see how piling on Mayweather isn't going to make you an ROI of atleast 2-4%. Am I missing something here, it should even be relatively low variance bet? Only downside is locking up a lot of money for 2 months.
the only downside is if Mcgregor knocks him the **** out.
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Old 06-27-2017, 11:09 AM   #28
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

A few things should be self-evident to anyone with a brain:

-FMJ is the side to take

-Of course it's possible he gets knocked out, albeit highly unlikely.

-No, you should not go all in on it.
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Old 06-27-2017, 11:20 AM   #29
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Yeah obv all-in is stupid, but using kelly criterion assuming like 2-4%-point edge should be quite smart, no?

.
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Old 06-27-2017, 12:34 PM   #30
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

I feel like odds this good don't come around this often. Even though Conor probably will knock him out you have to take Mayweather at 99.9%
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Old 06-27-2017, 01:00 PM   #31
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

What makes you think 'Conor probably will knock him out'? Super curious...
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Old 06-27-2017, 09:44 PM   #32
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Ill be in vegas in a few days, i think ill put a few k down on a mayweather win to finance my trip . You guys keep pounding the mcgregor side for me please
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Old 06-27-2017, 10:04 PM   #33
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Just bet what you can afford to lose and don't count on the money being there in a couple months. Simple stuff.
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Old 06-28-2017, 06:45 AM   #34
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by winedinethen69 View Post
Ill be in vegas in a few days, i think ill put a few k down on a mayweather win to finance my trip . You guys keep pounding the mcgregor side for me please
Will have to be a pretty cheap Vegas trip to be able to finance it with the winnings off a few grand on Mayweather, even at -550...
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Old 06-28-2017, 09:17 AM   #35
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by winedinethen69 View Post
Ill be in vegas in a few days, i think ill put a few k down on a mayweather win to finance my trip . You guys keep pounding the mcgregor side for me please
sounds like a baller 600 dollar trip
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Old 06-28-2017, 09:19 AM   #36
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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I truly hope everyone that is claiming Conor has no chance and are 100% sure of it...that they pound Mayweather at -500 otherwise shut up. If it's such FREE money and such a 100% sure thing they cashout your 401k and whatever else you have and get paid!

Truth is Conor the line should be -5000/+2000

But this is a huge showcase fight with a lot of bets and books know NOBODY will bet -5000 for big money and probably 90%+ bet will be at 20/1 and could get slaughtered in a shocking upset.
WTF does this mean? You post like someone with a brain injury
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Old 06-28-2017, 10:18 AM   #37
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Just bet what you can afford to lose and don't count on the money being there in a couple months. Simple stuff.
What the fuc? I'm assuming most people at 2p2 aren't betting on sports because they think it's 0 or minus EV.

Also if you bet atm on Floyd even assuming no edge and markets are correct atm, which i seriously doubt, u can count that 85% of the time u get ur money back and a bit more.
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Old 06-28-2017, 12:50 PM   #38
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

a few buddies of mine are debating whether or not this is even worth ordering given the presumptive one-sidedness. I'm curious, even if it is a true line representation, you guys still think worth ordering and watching as a spectacle?
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Old 06-28-2017, 01:25 PM   #39
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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a few buddies of mine are debating whether or not this is even worth ordering given the presumptive one-sidedness. I'm curious, even if it is a true line representation, you guys still think worth ordering and watching as a spectacle?
Dude , pay your tree fiddy apiece and order the show.


Youse the rainmaker and youse gotta get opinions on if its a goot buy or not?
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Old 06-28-2017, 02:00 PM   #40
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

I would dump everything into mayweather and hedge my bets with some TKO/KO round 1/2/3/4 bets for conor, as they pay ridiculously huge. conor will never win by judges, its just not an realistic option.
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Old 06-28-2017, 02:03 PM   #41
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by rainmaker1855 View Post
a few buddies of mine are debating whether or not this is even worth ordering given the presumptive one-sidedness. I'm curious, even if it is a true line representation, you guys still think worth ordering and watching as a spectacle?
im probably just going to stream it live for $10 from a specialty site like i do with all the UFC PPV's, i mean its a monthly charge so this fight might cost me $0 to watch.

would i pay $60-80 for it? hell no lol idiots who dont know how the internet works can do that.
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Old 06-28-2017, 03:00 PM   #42
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

I see it being entertaining due to Floyd's skill. Manny Vs Floyd was a really close edge by Floyd so obv it went 12. I don't see this fight going 12 so we might get to see a TKO or KO. If Conor Gases in 5th we might get to see some fireworks. There is also the chance Floyd uses his knowledge of Boxing to trick Mcgregor into putting his hands down during regulation and getting knocked **** out.
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Old 06-28-2017, 04:38 PM   #43
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

difficult for an unusual fight to have a usual outcome...

what I secretly think is conor like so many before him, have figured out some weakness.. some Sunday punch option that zeros Mayweather.

Shane.m Mr smiles leading up to the fight thought he had the trick, and he did.. he darn neared KO'ed Mayweather.

This is not going to be a normal fight, and its not going early, Conor is not going any place, under 4,5,6..

Conor will have trained properly for this irrespective of what ever, he is a death row ready to meet death in the middle and he is stepping up representing irish here.

Its a joke fight, but its not so much a joke.

I take the under 9.5


There is going to fire works, conor is legit in 4d.... Mayweather is the best ever in 2d.
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Old 06-28-2017, 06:25 PM   #44
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

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Originally Posted by Balla Shusher View Post

There is going to fire works, conor is legit in 4d.... Mayweather is the best ever in 2d.
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Old 06-29-2017, 12:57 AM   #45
Duffryder7
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Does anyone know which casino in Vegas is giving the best lines for Floyd?

Sent from my Pixel using Tapatalk
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Old 06-29-2017, 08:20 AM   #46
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

10% at -500 seems to be the way
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Old 06-29-2017, 08:24 AM   #47
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Totally agree. McGregor def takes this ~13% of the time.

FFS.
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Old 06-29-2017, 10:06 AM   #48
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Quote:
Originally Posted by magking1 View Post
Dude , pay your tree fiddy apiece and order the show.


Youse the rainmaker and youse gotta get opinions on if its a goot buy or not?
haha, I mean I already planned on buying it - but was just passing along/keeping the convo going ITT. I agree tho, kinda a no brainer entertainment wise.
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Old 06-29-2017, 10:38 AM   #49
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

I am buying cause I like to support Mcgregor. I also didn't pay for Floyd Pac and leeched at a friends house.
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Old 07-03-2017, 05:47 PM   #50
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Re: Mayweather v. McGregor

Would be pretty cool if Conor actually won ��
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