Rich,

Did you actually bet 70%+ of your networth or you just making **** up?

No, I did not. What **** am I making up? I won a handful of units and am happy with that. Not sure why you seem so angry....

People who puff their chest out after winning despite playing bad are annoying.

Not puffing anything out. Only reason I didn't unload is cuz LOLBOXING. In a perfect world, I would've. I guess that's annoying? Geez, some of you seem quite hostile. Carry on....

So was it the "best spot ever" or "gotta hold back cause lol boxing"? Because it can't be both.

Well, I disagree. I bet what I was comfortable losing on this event (maybe a tad more). To each their own.

lol at that line being accurate. Mayweather had shorter odds while fighting some of the best opponents in his category in their prime. In what world does Connor have a better shot than the likes of Maidana, Guerrero, Cotto or Ortiz?

Admittedly he's much older and for sure didn't train as hard for this fight as he did for others, but the notion that a guy from MMA can just come in a completely foreign format and have more than 10% (being generous here) against one of the GOATs is simply delusional.

The fact the fight ended with Connor completely gassed out despite being 11 years younger should put into perspective the sort of gulf in quality we were dealing with here.

There was much less certainty in the McGregor fight. No one had seen him box before. No one had any idea what he was going to bring. So while it was clear he was a big dog, no one could predict how large of a dog he should have been because there's almost nothing to base that prediction on. Compare this to boxers who've had many, many fights it's very clear who should be the favorite and you can get pretty accurate by how much they should be favored by because you have a lot of samples of their work to base that prediction on.

What if McGregor had actually hired a real boxing coach? What if he actually had some weight behind his punches? What if he caught Floyd cleanly. What if he actually had a plan to deal with Floyd coming straight at him with his gloves up or turning his back on him? This fight could have easily gone the other direction if he came in with different preparation/game plan.

this post is the reason the line moved the way it did

because people are stupid

"what if"

Most people don't know **** about boxing.

Yes... because something happened it was always going to happen that way. No hindsight bias at all. McGregor clearly had zero % chance to win. Lock of the century. It was impossible for floyd to break a hand midfight.

I never said he had a 0% chance to lose however he definitely had more than a 75% chance to win lol

You arguing something totally different than what you said in the post above

You think just because you haven't seen him box professionally that it magically makes it difficult to bet on this fight

I haven't seen you play in the NBA but it's fairly obvious how **** you would do if you did play

there is no magical "what ifs" here

If he has >0% chance to win then how does this happen?

I've never seen Kobe play in the Big3 or Dale Earnhardt Jr race Formula 1. It does not make them a lock to lose if they were to try.

Yup.



This fight should be ****ing epic.

It was probably more because most of the Mayweather is a lock crowd bet "the required" amount instead of a reasonable Kelly stake, myself included.

You realise i was talking about a full kelly amount right?

I had to recheck which section i was in because only a non betting tard would reply with something as stupud as u did

No one talks about a full Kelly amount. And the difference between full and half based on some of the forecasts is like 10% of the full Kelly stake.

I actually bet my half Kelly stake based on my forecasted number, like everything else I bet on.

Also, the idea that Mayweather would be atleast -1000 in a rematch is lol. McGregor won the first three rounds and is going to rapidly improve. Mayweather is going to decline.

Listening to a bunch of feel bettors deride other feel bettors is absurd. Atleast have some semblance of honesty with yourself.

A few questions:

Did you watch the fight?

Do you watch much boxing?

What do you think the line should be if they fought next year?

You realise a full kelly amount changes when the odds or the situation changes in your favor right?

I had to recheck which section i was in because only a non betting tard would reply with something as stupud as u did previously

Rich,

Nope. Nope. I actually bet tho. -800.

Did you watch the part where he took more punches than Pac-Man managed to land on him? Or was that part of "I watched the fight, but not the odds and can't do basic math and bet on feel"?

All good man. Clearly you know more than I wrt this event. Have a great weekend!

Why are we praising McGregor?
Nails it. Read this, Mikhel.

Huh. Floyd tried to place $400k in one go on it going under 9.5 rounds?

https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum/stat...58574306500608

I'd imagine he has enough cronies around him who could help him place smaller bets around Las Vegas and not cause so much suspicion.

Was Floyd to win in round ten at suspiciously low odds anywhere?

Betfair apparently had over £55 million in volume/matched bets.

https://betting.betfair.com/betting/...70817-797.html

What did Las Vegas sportsbooks learn from this fight?

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id...mcgregor-fight

"In many cases, it was a very easy fight to book because of the volume," Kornegay said. "You could just go off market for either fighter, which makes it very easy."

Is he referring to Betfair, or something else?

He's saying if he wanted to get any more mayweather action he'd just have to pop up as the best price on screen and he'd get as much as he wants. same with the other side.

Duh, that makes more sense. Thanks.