Why must this forum be so riddled with hyperbole?

What about when Holm was +1000 against Rousey and flawless victoried her in extended, non-fluke fashion? Yes, it wasn't totally obvious before the fight... but she was +1000! Does price not matter?

I find it hard to believe anyone who paid -500 on Mayweather was sitting pretty for the first 3 rounds of this fight.

I paid near -500. I was not pleased.

Oh please, you are so full of **** that it was obvious.
You had no idea what her take down defense would look like against Rousey.
That is one biggest after the fact lines of **** I have ever read if you want hyperbole.

IMO a great line right now is Canelo at > +100.

To me that line is being set looking through the rear view mirror and not out the windshield at what is just ahead on the road.

GGG is 35 and has lost some, Canelo is 27 and has just hit his absolute prime. This will be the best Canelo on Sep 16 we have ever seen and it won't be the best GGG.
I actually expect GGG to get beat pretty bad in this fight because of that along with the style match up.
Canelo's poison is a guy that can stick and move. The worst way to try beat him is to walk into him throwing like GGG is going to do. Canelo is a master counter puncher at this point.

I think the line is confusing the younger version of both GGG and Canelo and not what is right now.

I like Canelo even at -200.

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Read what I wrote. I said it wasn't totally obvious, but that the massive discrepancy in price made it a better spot regardless of this (there were many factors that pointed to her being a good bet, which is why the line plummeted).

My overall argument is with people on 2+2 loving to play massive favorites in unprecedented situations and thinking it's an amazing spot (it worked this time, but failed everyone in the election). Go read actual betting forums... this is viewed as very fishy thinking. There's only so much value possible when betting a massive fave. That spot is never that amazing, especially, rope a dope or not, when your fighter is getting tooled and looks shook during the first three rounds.

i had mayweather 10th round at +2200 lol

but to be fair i also had round 5,6,8. so i didnt win those.

$still did well tho$

im surprised he lasted as long as he did. go defend your LW belt.

Ageee. I really like Canelo at the current odds of about +140. Be interesting to see where this line goes in the next few weeks. I'm thinking it might get closer to even.

hey man, I can't figure out what the best part of this post is, nice job!

Emptied my gambling bankroll and dipped into my life bankroll (sold some stock, emptied my checking account, etc) to bet on this fight. Roughly 300 units between Floyd, Floyd by KO/TKO, and Floyd to not get knocked down. My only regret is that I didn't bet more.

this was really the easiest money ever....easy work........thanks for the $$

LOLOLOLOL

To all you "easiest money evers" - if they have a rematch are you guys going all in on Floyd -900 again?

You're really quite committed to doubling and tripling down on being



I have very clearly used your own "arguments" to point out why your reasoning is so bad and why you are so wrong. I have used more exaggerated situations on purpose to point out why you are wrong, but the underlying reasoning in each case remains the same. I would bet that you don't even understand why you are wrong and cannot back up or explain your posts in a way that makes sense and justifies your argument. Go ahead and prove me wrong.

This thread is amazing.

Yes, some of us bet more after round 1.

Yes, many of us would bet quite a bit on -900 if the rematch was soon.

I'd take Floyd KO/TKO/DQ -250

Wow.

I had a smallish bet with an office coworker (I bet Mayweather).

I actually thought the fight was competitive for the first 6/7 rounds. People I was watching with (amateur noobs) thought it would go to decision.

I think the line was accurate. If they fought again, I don't think it would be -1000 Mayweather. Probably -400 Mayweather.

I bet on Floyd to win by KO/TKO/DQ and thought it was really easy money bet. I'll admit, Floyd got way worse in the past 2 years than I thought and it turned out not to be as easy money as I thought, but still a winner.

Would I bet him at -400 to win a year down the road, yes. Probably not at odds of much greater than that though because he clearly is aging very quickly and basically a shot fighter now. If he was in there with a true welterweight, Erol Spence jr and probably a few others he would have lost.

I just can't even, esp the bolded.

itt https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias

did you bet on the fight hits?

Not sure who this is referring to, but many people thought FMJ would win easily. Some of us even bet money on him!

Just LOL at that line being accurate comment. The insanity continues.

yeah, not too much but enough for a good sweat at -400. you?

HITS, now I get what you meant. My bad.

PhatPots, what about that fight leads you to believe the line was even close to accurate? I just cannot comprehend this....