Quote:
Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT
About half of fights go to decision, half finish ITD. Subsmission to KO/TKO has been trending to more submissions but roughly 50:50 last I looked at the data. The higher the weight class the more likely the fight is to end with a knockout. Men knockout each other more than women. I would just pick a heavyweight fight and a good fighter at around (or better than) market price and enjoy the sweat. 5 rounds > 3 rounds IMO.
ETA: Just reread the post and realized it doesn’t include KO. This being the case I would go lighter weight class with guys who like to ground and pound. It definitely moves the needle in your favor as far as being +EV. But getting a good market price is the main determinate of value.
Thanks for the post man, appreciate it
I didn't even consider the 3 vs. 5 round aspect, I bet you're 100% right...5 round fights probably have more TKO/KOs % wise.