Appreciated the write up, gave me extra confidence

Maybe since a fat middleweight boxer took on Randy Couture in a heavyweight MMA bout.

How'd you feel immediately after the line dropped to -415 or Floyd gifted the 1st 3 rounds? (lol the actual scoring) Could def make the case for the whole thing being staged. We did it though.

just read through this thread and you know why lol

rather than calculating the odds people rather talk about some mythical "what if"

-220 live on pinn at around the 4th. Most live euro places and betfair had him above 1.5 at that point.

But yeah, I'm sure all the "lolz best spot ever" peeps were hammering that non stop, not ****ting their pants and thinking Floyd got old overnight.

Huh? I had one of the best boxers ever at 3/1 straight and -125 under 12. Never broke a sweat. Twas fun!

Sure, but then why not monitor live market and bet truckloads more as Mayweather got to be less than a 2/1 fav then? I assume some eurobooks offering live in play that closed at 3/1 might've had it closer to even.

I thought Floyd would try this type of strategy, but never expected him to get hit this much and had doubts early on. Coming in and looking aged overnight is very prevalent in combat sports for fighters in their twilight. I also had a bunch on Mayweather but no matter what he says, he looked very mediocre in there.

Damm I thought floyd looked super sharp for a 40 yr old

been around poker/gambling going back to 2003 and this is by far the best spot I've ever seen

What are you talking about? If you have already bet the right amount then why would you bet more? it's like you're new to this or something

Don't think we watched the same fight lol

Just because you get hit or let someone hit you doesn't mean you are taking damage

Conor's hands had zero pop but hey each to their own most people have zero idea what goes on in a fight

It was a fun fight but I really wanted to see McGregor drown in those last few rounds.
Very merciful stoppage to save his brain for another day.

"Most mother****ers don't know **** about boxing"
--Roger Mayweather

Funny how too high of a liquidity actually led to an inefficient market.

Think many in the MMA area would offer Kimbo Slice vs Seth Petruzelli as a relatively under the radar situation where a +400ish betting underdog was probably more like a -1000 to -2000 favorite. Doubt anyone put a million on the fight, but lots of posters here showed pictures of all the bets they could manage to get on Petruzelli.

With that said, I very very rarely sports bet, but I bet just under a thousand on Mayweather to win because other than a fix (involving two guys making 8-9 figures) this did seem as money in the bank as it gets, though probably many thought the same of Tyson vs Buster Douglas as well...

Reading posts like the above make it clear why post-fight analysis is utterly useless.

The idea that Seth is -1000 over Kimbo (who later when on to win three more MMA fights, and compile a 7-0 boxing record with 6KOs) is totally absurd. Add in the fact that there was a reasonable chance that the fights was rigged as well.

Would be an interesting rig by a company who spent a fortune to get on network TV and have its main attraction lose on purpose to effectively end the company, but whatever - heard weirder conspiracies, and as I said - I am not a sports bettor, nor do I play one on TV - I just remember a lot of people saying how great a spot that was (with proof of their wagers that I assume they did before any post fight analysis).

I did not bet on that Slice fight, was just bringing it up as an example as my personal one (a Canadian election wager) which had the party that would win 99.9% as even money a week before on Intertops had a $55 cap on it (as I discovered when I attempted to wager my full $5,000+ balance on it), so despite that being a better spot, its safe to say the $55 cap limits it, pun intended.

All the best.

...

Wut?

It would be rigged in Slice's favor. No one who is remotely sane thinks that -1000 to -2000 is anywhere near reasonable for a fighter with Slice's power. Please stop reading whatever you're reading to come to these absurd conclusions.

Shrug, whatever. Certainly did not think that example would bring up such an emotional response, nor was that the intent, and as I said - I did not bet on it, I just remember a lot of people who did talking about how crazy a spot it was.

Let's end the weird derail and say that I 100% agree in advance with whatever your opinion is on the best bet in the history of sports betting. There, you won. Congrats.

All the best.

Lol Floyd did what he wanted to do. Let it go 10, gave the fans a show, then decided to end it. Total control. I'll bet he had the over.

All of this.

So true.


This was fun. Now, go GGG!!!!!!

The appropriate amount is determined by the odds. This is why combat sport threads bring out the Dans of the sports betting forum.

Anyone agree the line for this fight was terrible. I felt it should have been -1500 mayweather or something crazy like that? A lot of suckers in the betting market to drive mayweather down to -520.

Anyone that thought mcgregor had a shot is clueless.

If you didn't bet 40% of your BR on the fight, you didn't think it was -1500.

It should've been -5000, minimum. I thought that prefight, as I do now. We'll never see another spot like this. I hope I am wrong though.

Easily get -375 before the fight even!

-200 wasn't available pre fight so if you were just as confident through 3 rounds, you'd want to bet more. #Math

I didn't see the live odds but they sound just as absurd as the pre-fight lines. The head of one of the LV books was on ESPN saying after the 8th round they had it -800/+500 and after the 9th it was -2500/+1200. That is from memory so I could be a little off but you get the idea. Those lines are insane, free money - just like the pre-fight line.

I hope we get more of these boxing-MMA matchups. The James Toney-Randy Couture line was just as ridiculous (actually, probably even more so).