Mayweather v. McGregor - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Connor probably has a 1% chance of winning by knockout and a .01% chance of winning a decision. A disqualification win is also a possibility.

The fight is going to be trash and I imagine Connor will make an early attempt at a ko but otherwise focus on prolonging the fight to gain as much respect as possible. It's not like Floyd is an old fighter way past his prime. He would still be a betting favorite against anyone in his weight class right now.

Will not watch. The right side of this betting line is Floyd.

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06-15-2017 , 12:29 PM

David3

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 228

Betting on Floyd because I like money.

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06-15-2017 , 12:45 PM

RichGangi

Laughable false & highly douchey

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 9,546

Quote:

Originally Posted by David3

Betting on Floyd because I like money.

Yup. 8/1 is nothing here.

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06-15-2017 , 02:08 PM

BirdWatcher

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 71

A fair line is probably
-5000 Mayweather.

What it closes at depends on risk management of books I guess since there will probably be a lot of money square money coming in on McGregor and but it's only 2k limits at BM atm.

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06-15-2017 , 04:36 PM

Honcho

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 1,671

No can take the ML on Money and def not a fan of his but i do not think CM has the lungs to go past 6 so will try to find that line myself

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06-16-2017 , 12:33 AM

MrAdvantage

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by BirdWatcher

Fair being -5000/+5000 that 2 buddies would bet or -5000/+2000 that many thieving shops could post ?

All the square $$ will be on CM . Sqaures simply don't lay 6-1, 10-1, 50-1 etc. responsible sharps will should not risk too muck of their bankroll despite the appearance of massive value.

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06-16-2017 , 05:48 AM

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

What do you think the hold is on -5000/2000?

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06-16-2017 , 10:16 AM

#10

JC82

banned

Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 15

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mihkel05

What do you think the hold is on -5000/2000?

The margin for the book with those lines is 2.8%

No book would offer 5000/2000

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06-16-2017 , 11:40 AM

#11

JessyVegas91

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 99

Floyd Mayweather -650 on SportsBook
Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, DQ -225 on SportsBook

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06-16-2017 , 12:53 PM

#12

sixfour

should be called sevenfour

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 74,707

Quote:

Originally Posted by JessyVegas91

Floyd Mayweather -650 on SportsBook
Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, DQ -225 on SportsBook

I do hope that decision line is a typo and should read the -125 which is available in every other book on the planet

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06-16-2017 , 02:48 PM

#13

Johnny_B

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 607

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrAdvantage

responsible sharps will should not risk too muck of their bankroll despite the appearance of massive value.

lol

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06-17-2017 , 09:01 AM

#14

Honcho

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 1,671

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honcho

No can take the ML on Money and def not a fan of his but i do not think CM has the lungs to go past 6 so will try to find that line myself

Went ahead and jumped on the -160 U 9.5...No way i see this going this far because of the limitations i think CM has and not going to dik around and take a shot with exact rd so i got down this morning.

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06-17-2017 , 01:16 PM

#15

Nitross

journeyman

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 373

-500 on bovada.

Any reason not to go almost all in?

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06-17-2017 , 01:56 PM

#16

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrAdvantage

this one of the worst posts around here in the past like year or so, which is saying a lot. And youve been posting for a long time too. Yikes. Very bad!

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06-17-2017 , 04:00 PM

#17

mjk2800

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2007 Posts: 106

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitross

-500 on bovada.

Any reason not to go almost all in?

No. Top amateur boxers would destroy CM.

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06-17-2017 , 06:46 PM

#18

banned

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 1,307

As much as i love floyd in this spot, the fact that every tom dick harry and joe six pack think the same thing does have me slightly concerned.

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06-17-2017 , 07:08 PM

#19

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

Ya, all that smart money at CM +600 killing it.

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06-17-2017 , 08:05 PM

#20

OMGmartingale

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 440

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mihkel05

Ya, all that smart money at CM +600 killing it.

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06-18-2017 , 12:23 AM

#21

ProfessorEd

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 268

I truly hope everyone that is claiming Conor has no chance and are 100% sure of it...that they pound Mayweather at -500 otherwise shut up. If it's such FREE money and such a 100% sure thing they cashout your 401k and whatever else you have and get paid!

Truth is Conor the line should be -5000/+2000

But this is a huge showcase fight with a lot of bets and books know NOBODY will bet -5000 for big money and probably 90%+ bet will be at 20/1 and could get slaughtered in a shocking upset.

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06-19-2017 , 03:39 AM

#22

somigosaden

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,069

This fight reminds me so much of the election, especially as far as the betting is concerned. I feel like I would be an idiot to pass on Floyd "Hilldawg" Mayweather at -500, despite knowing the timeline we're in is rigged.

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06-21-2017 , 12:49 PM

#23

Sabaneta

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,175

Quote:

Originally Posted by ProfessorEd

So you think the fair line is -5000/2000 be you aren't going to pound -500?

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06-26-2017 , 11:23 PM

#24

MrAdvantage

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by sixfour

I do hope that decision line is a typo and should read the -125 which is available in every other book on the planet

Perhaps Sportsbook is freerolling here. They are shady af and notorious for slow paying or not paying out on bets " due to obvious line error"

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06-26-2017 , 11:26 PM

#25

MrAdvantage

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by Like

this one of the worst posts around here in the past like year or so, which is saying a lot. And youve been posting for a long time too. Yikes. Very bad!

Yes, no excuses. This was one of my absolute gems😀

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