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Old 06-12-2018, 06:04 PM   #1426
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

i'm glad that sports betting is going nationwide because now we can have really informative articles like this one

https://www.actionnetwork.com/educat...ports-betting/

so much knowledge from the creators behind fantasylabs

which book is offering -104.167 lines to make this true

Quote:
Since 2005, if you bet on every NFL favorite, you’d have gone 1859-1860-111 against the spread (yes, these oddsmakers know what they’re doing). Because of the juice, that 50% win rate would’ve lost you 78.5 units.
assumption of linear value of points, ignoring that there's two numbers involved in a bet, static unit sizes.

A+
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Old 06-18-2018, 11:44 AM   #1427
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

How easy/smart is it to get a Bovada withdrawal in bitcoin? I really don't need the cash right now, but if I did how easy is it to sell bitcoin for US dollars? Would you use a bitcoin ATM to do it? I wouldn't mind a little exposure to bitcoin now, so it's tempting.
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Old 06-19-2018, 03:42 PM   #1428
Hammerzitzen
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

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Originally Posted by businessdude View Post
How easy/smart is it to get a Bovada withdrawal in bitcoin? I really don't need the cash right now, but if I did how easy is it to sell bitcoin for US dollars? Would you use a bitcoin ATM to do it? I wouldn't mind a little exposure to bitcoin now, so it's tempting.
Quite easy with Bitpay card, and very smart if you are in the US you will wonder why you haven't done it sooner.
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Old 06-19-2018, 07:06 PM   #1429
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Made my first legal sb in NJ last week, god bless christie. [the board was very limited to daily MLB and USO/WC futures.]
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Old 06-22-2018, 03:56 PM   #1430
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

always be angling

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Old 06-29-2018, 05:52 AM   #1431
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

I've started on my journey to conquer the NBA

I have found 350 variables to use and my model will be using 178 of the 350

wish me luck guys
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Old 06-29-2018, 09:33 AM   #1432
TomG
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

multicollinearity tho
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Old 06-29-2018, 10:37 AM   #1433
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thats why im only using 178
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Old 06-29-2018, 11:18 AM   #1434
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Prob easier to text William, he won't be doing much where he is.
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Old 07-05-2018, 04:03 PM   #1435
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Sad day. TomGTotalBases2 is on it's last legs and is going off to the server farm in the sky.

It served me well since it was deployed in mid April 2015, only going down once on Nov 16 2016 due to a bug in a script that created an infinite loop and crashed it.

Even though it performed admirable in the last 3 years, it's running too slow now and making life difficult. Calculations that used to take 8 minutes are now taking 20-30 minutes and are occasionally incomplete which require the process to be re-run manually. Currently it's still trying to process horse racing predictions for races that have been over for several hours. At least six hours behind schedule.



thank you for your service.

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 07-05-2018 at 04:10 PM.
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Old 07-06-2018, 02:37 PM   #1436
solring
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

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Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
Sad day. TomGTotalBases2 is on it's last legs and is going off to the server farm in the sky.
RIP
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Old 07-06-2018, 11:45 PM   #1437
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)


f
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Old 07-07-2018, 10:29 AM   #1438
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

rip. if it makes you feel any better tomg total bases has been dead to me for many years
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Old 07-11-2018, 04:43 PM   #1439
n00b590
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)



lol efficient markets
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Old 07-12-2018, 04:09 AM   #1440
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
i'm glad that sports betting is going nationwide because now we can have really informative articles like this one

https://www.actionnetwork.com/educat...ports-betting/

.

A+
god bless ya for this link
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Old 07-12-2018, 01:15 PM   #1441
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

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Originally Posted by n00b590 View Post


lol efficient markets
lol arbing openers
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Old 07-12-2018, 01:24 PM   #1442
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

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god bless ya for this link
najdorf is good like that
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Old 07-12-2018, 06:54 PM   #1443
NajdorfDefense
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Sorry, I don't have my own wax town, can't take the credit.
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Old 07-15-2018, 10:49 PM   #1444
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

i hope one day i can be professional enough to get 4 wall mounted 19 inch tvs

https://sports.vice.com/en_us/articl...iggest-weekend

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Old 07-18-2018, 04:24 PM   #1445
cannabusto
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

I'm a data scientist looking to build a baseball model for 2019 and beyond. I'm at the very beginning of this journey. Hit me with any general advice. Or flame me. Whatever.
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Old 07-18-2018, 04:29 PM   #1446
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
i hope one day i can be professional enough to get 4 wall mounted 19 inch tvs

https://sports.vice.com/en_us/articl...iggest-weekend

Think Dink goes with the DB Gold or donates plasma so he can afford the Platinum?
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Old 07-19-2018, 09:50 AM   #1447
TomG
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

single monitor desktop + dual laptop + quad mounted tvs
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Old 07-19-2018, 04:38 PM   #1448
PokerHero77
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Re-uses In-n-Out cups apparently.
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Old 07-20-2018, 02:18 PM   #1449
PaiDaMorte
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

its common practice large and respected bookies hidden some live games just from some bettors ?
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Old 07-20-2018, 07:27 PM   #1450
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Quote:
Originally Posted by cannabusto View Post
I'm a data scientist looking to build a baseball model for 2019 and beyond. I'm at the very beginning of this journey. Hit me with any general advice. Or flame me. Whatever.
I am also early in this journey so take my advice for what it is but a good starting point is the mlb chapter in Conquering Risk: Attacking Vegas and Wall Street by Elihu Feustel , George Howard
It starts with season long projections for each batter and based on projected at bats per game create a team total for 1b, 2b, 3b, hr, sb, bb, etc, etc. Plug team totals into a regression using historical coefficients. Do the same for pitching using projected innings pitched and team reliever stats. Average team A off with team B def based on league average to come up with a run total for each team on a neutral field. Adjust for umpire, stadium, weather, home field advantage, and whatever else you think important. Hope this helps. Good luck.
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