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Old 10-07-2017, 09:17 PM   #1376
DonJuan
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Hi not sure if this is best place to ask this. Anyway since last year I been placing at local bookies that I found through family. The offer is 30 mins before game time they would text all odds at at 1.952(-105) I think they use somewhat Vegas or bookmaker but sometime i think a little bit off. for ex. they would send batch of college football 12 pm game at 11:30 you get 30 mins to place bet close at 11:59. Once the line is text to you it doesn't change unless they text saying that specific line is change(rarely happen only twice I seen it in 1 year). I guess with just pinnacle/some other sharp line I could line grind and edge out tiny edge. However I know that market isn't always efficient and that just by doing this it not the best way. I would need somewhat to understand a bit of handicapping or looking at trend. Anyway my offer is if someone is serious can team up to place bets. I am willing to escrow w rep. if trustworthy is an issue. Obviously I handle with all the bookie. pm me if interested or free to search my post history to see if i am legit.


p.s another bookie I got offer is always at 1.909 line but they would send at 11:30 all 12 pm up to 3:30 game etc so there always a batch there 2-3 hour early and line wouldn't change.
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Old 10-08-2017, 06:00 AM   #1377
MisterRodriguez
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

What you have there is a license to print money.Personally if i had found a gold mine i wouldn´t share with anyone.
Look at Pinny Line figure out your edge,bomb half kelly(or a bigger fraction if the limits are to low for your BR) until they stop sending you text messages
Good Luck
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Old 10-08-2017, 09:06 AM   #1378
DonJuan
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

So far it is going well by just doing pinnacle-vig to figure out edge and doing 40-60% kelly. However one of the problem I am having is I think some time there are way too much action being lay off by books on pinnacle which cause the market to not be as efficient. I would end up bombing away on those edge. or cases where it seem there to be no edge but in reality books are holding position and there would be big edge. I guess this problem is mostly for NFL as I think college market are usually efficient. Thinking of doing this for Nba also
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Old 10-08-2017, 09:46 AM   #1379
MisterRodriguez
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

You are turning this into a complex process and in my opinion you should maximize this opportunity with maximum effort and resources.Nfl is not efficient?i am not an expert in American Sports but when you have dozens of thousands as maximum bet allowed(just on Pinny)you will be more than fine in fact i built my BR betting on Challengers,Handball Champions league Etc.IME when you have a max bet available over a few K you should pound on any off number you can find.
Just don t overcomplicate DonJuan and do this alone,you don t need anyone to help you here.
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Old 10-14-2017, 05:17 AM   #1380
getmeoffcompletely
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

I'd be interested to hear some opinions on turnover vs softer early lines. In a high volume sport like soccer you can potentially turnover your BR many many times during a week at the cost of betting closer to game time. On the other hand you can bet well in advance into softer lines but in some cases it will tie up your money for days or even the whole week.

My gut tells me that going for as much turnover as possible is better.
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Old 10-14-2017, 09:02 AM   #1381
MisterRodriguez
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

your gut is right,thats the SB essence turnover as much money you can w/ positive expected return on your investment.
You will have a little more variance with that approach,but line value is line value regardless of the time before the game
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Old 10-14-2017, 12:17 PM   #1382
Mihkel05
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

http://www.aussportsbetting.com/2010...alue-of-money/
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Old 10-18-2017, 04:08 PM   #1383
PokerHero77
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

Anybody arb NBA RSW lines? I saw some biased lines, but with the time value of money not sure if they were worth it.
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Old Yesterday, 04:32 PM   #1384
HolidayInTheSun
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Re: Low-Content Forum Chatter Thread (Current)

I CAN REPORT THAT I am alive and well. Apologies for the silence. I've been away on R&R, and have been unable to report on the progress of the campaign as certain events have been filed as "classified." Let me just say that Peter and his team will pay dearly for their sins.

However, I now have the pleasure of announcing the news of our recently-launched offensive, Operation Dark Star. We will rain hellfire upon them for the next several months, and it will only increase in intensity once fresh recruits arrive in November.

I'm not allowed to disclose details but terms of a surrender were discussed. Foolishly, they refused to listen to reason. I believe they will come to regret that.

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