I understand, but fighter A WAS training at altitude and was factual information. You have presented nothing more than a "what if" statement regarding fighter B.
If this is the methodology you apply to sports betting then the recommendation would always be no-bet because you do not have ALL of the information?
Isn't the best answer to make your play based on the information available to you and factor in the "what if" possibilities into the risk?

That makes literally no sense.

Are you just being pedantic now?

That isn't even what pedantic means. I have literally no idea what you're saying.

Can you explain how you have derived what you think I mean?
The solution is simple Mikhel, just don't come back here.

Why dont you explain WHY it makes no sense? You are trying to teach hmi something, right?

You are the worst teacher in the world.

All you do is say no thats not right without anything to back your claim up.

It's been said before, that you have a tendency to do that.

I highly doubt you will read this though, as it seems you have your head so far up your own ass, you find it hard to see straight.

korean zombie got mad skills tho

Just further reconfirming your troll level.
There's a thread about NHL totals that's filled with nonsense, go there you pigeon.

Yeah, I was clearly going really far out on a limb to suggest that a sloppy Brazilian light heavyweight whose cardio looked mediocre at best in his previous UFC fights near sea level and who arrived in The Mile High City of Denver last minute was going to gas even faster than usual. /s

The trolls in this thread are just fetishists who jerk off to gambling terminology and who clearly don't bet or even follow the sport of MMA. The fact that anyone is even engaging with these clowns like they have any idea what they are talking about is laughable.

Mihkel, any offers like this going around from you on other (more liquid) sports? Ideally, looking at tennis (main tour only - no lower-level junk) >100 plays, <50k bet)

Happy to consider other offers on Tennis or Football (Soccer) as will probably just be a bit of fun (and bragging rights) for both of us. Unfortunately, not much of an MMA guy

Except you didn't say that. You made a specific and ridiculous claim that showed very little knowledge and obvious ignorance of modern training methodologies.

You can "follow" MMA all you want. There are several posters who show little insight into training and are objectively and repeatedly wrong despite reading a lot of twitter posts.

I guess you don't think you have any insight to win at this sport beyond just mathematical value betting on props. Congrats. I crush the board at the sports I model. So ya... I guess I just jackoff to the millions I won. Almost literally.

No. I'm not a fool. Jimm obv isn't a winner (as per his own admission). You may or may not be. I'm not in the business of spewing money. (Tho my last few months may disagree.)

What sports do you model?

Ones with losing steam apparently.

Is it really that hard for you just answer a simple question?

SWOOP there it is

https://youtu.be/Z-FPimCmbX8?t=43

Part 1: Posting Guidelines

The purpose of this forum is sports betting discussion. Discussion about sports without betting involved go in the Sporting Events Forum . Discussion about Fantasy Sports go in either the Fantasy Sports Sub Forum or Draft Day Sponsored Forum. We do however have a low-content thread where pretty much anything not against 2+2 general rules is allowed. Other than that, please keep this sports betting related only.

We need to add another moderator here. Any nominations/ volunteers?

Requirements:

- Uselessness
- Ignores perma-bans for his bros

Optional:

- Wins at gambling

I'd nominate Sect7G if he was interested although he may not post in this specific forum enough.

I'd be fine with volunteering myself but I have a feeling there would be objections.

Back on topic, going to take a look at Torres decision line, she's a decision machine and while PVZ did knock Bec out, Bec is relatively tough even drained.

It depends what you want to do. Most of the posters in this thread don't understand basic math much less any of the finer points on sports betting and neckbeard narrative fallacies back and forth. Feel free to read the previous discussion about hypoxic training if you'd like a wonderful delve into some PTI style HOT TAKES pushed off as betting analysis.

If you want someone qualified PM TomG.

You would chase off literally every single useful poster leaving this forum devoid of anyone who did anything other than bet $100 opener arbs and donk prop parlays.

I mean... You claimed you weren't even aware that changing the price on plays was not going to obviously inflate your record. (Which is just abject stupidity.) However, that was your claim in lieu of malevolence. I could not imagine someone worse suited for this... other than possibly myself.

Mikhel, I'd rather read useless drivel as you call it, than your posts pointing it out. You have contributed NOTHING of your own picks, theories, systems, anything.

I find it surprising that a winner such as you can find time to troll 'casuals' - I would assume you'd be locked in a basement modelling Tennis openers or something.

Moving on... this price is too high to not take...
Tiny Tornado R3 @21.00

west,

That is fine. It may well be that Mat wants to move this forum to something akin to covers with high traffic and no real substance. That is his prerogative, I'd like to see it retain some value to actual professionals where people discuss actual handicapping and things that are of note to professionals.

You again claim that I have provided little of anything, yet I think I'm pretty widely recognized as one of the most helpful posters to ever post on this sub. Do you think that is a problem with what I post or what you've soaked up from things I've posted? I literally just explained how a theory based on physical location and altitude acclimation could have problems with it due to modern hypoxic training methods that allow people to simulate hypoxic environments. You can claim that is "NOTHING", but it certainly isn't and I would say that virtually no one in this thread is aware of what I described since everyone was clamoring for insight on checking someone's location via twitter. I guess we found out that Jimm isn't a winner under the criteria that Swoop outlined before. So I guess for all the twitter following and what not, he's in the same space as myself wrt this sport.

But alas, I should get back to updating some of my SB prop models. Thanks!

Mikhel, I am sure you have been helpful in the past but I rarely read anything outside of this thread.
You keep bringing up that variable of altitude training, which is okay, but you had no confirmation they were replicating training at altitude, nothing. I can't base a decision on "what if" factors.
After pointing out this training method you still did nothing in the way of making a pick on that fight, even if it was just a hypothetical perspective and you were not actually going to bet it.

It's obvious you know a lot, a hell of a lot and you don't have to share your knowledge, but if you are going to post with such an elitist attitude and call out people who are in no way trying to compete with you, don't bother. There's no competition between us, just the player and the book.
Nobody is trying to rip anybody off, JimGunn is not trying to inflate his odds to present a winning history so he can then start selling picks, it's just a bunch of humans doing their best to get through and enjoy MMA betting.
For 95% of people here, sports betting is just a hobby. Likewise the poker forums.

Anyway, I don't want to create any negative feelings here, I'm sure you're top guy (not that you need my verification on that) and I will continue to look out for anything you post that might help me out in future, good luck.

You're a better man than me, because I want him to f*ck off/be banned.

please don't move this trash into the low-content thread