dat steam fade

what do you meannn

h2 over i akro coul be good. look for a lot of throws

h2 app st over 24. look for a scorinng explosionn as app st looks to put their enemy down

1-3-4, -2.15u

sigh, what is the point of even battling against poogs i cant beat the bookie how can i beat him

bet with me tommy ill book your action. wait i have a great idea. can i crossbook with pogs? i know i will lose going agaist him but it will be a good learninng experience for me

how di you guys know to bet lsu? i really thought ole miss woul do it

I KNOW ITS HARD TO SEE TOMATOE LIKE A HUMAN BEING BUT TRUST ME TOMATOE IS - TOMATOE'S LIKE YOU OR I. WHAT REALLY BOTHERS ME OUT THERE IS TO THINK OF THOSE PEOPLE OUT THERE WHO DON'T SEE TOMATOE AS A PERSON.

LEAVE TOMATOE ALONE.

-150 favs in pucks win more consistently than -150 favs at any other sport. and yet it's more difficult to predict individual player performance. these things come down to a single goal or assist.

players (shots on goal)
skinner (3) over giroux (3)
stempniak (3) over voracek (6) x
landeskog (1) over trochek (4)
malkin (3) over forsberg (2)
thornton (1) over nielsen (0)
stamkos (4) over hoffman (3) x
brassard (1) over johnson (0)
kadri (1) over toews (1)

we throw out the top and bottom results (trimmed mean) and what do we get.
=================

10 shots vs 10 shots at avg odds of around +103.

shots on goal is for newbs

Lol, you are betting the softest bet there is in sports betting and waiting for 20 games in, let's not pretend to be an expert or anything.

no poogs is right. it's like using an era statistic when we could be using xfip

get your titans +2 teasers boys

is ayone else on pats? i leare that sometime, the public ply, is the sharp play. look for brady to drop over 5 td passes here

Man, mike tomlin is abysmal

Everyone said he was broke,
everyone said the man should stop.
Grumpy can't stop, won't stop.
The man doesn't know the definition of stop. This man just turned NFL sports betting on its head. You've heard of Wong Teasers, get ready for Grumpy Unders. This is it boys. This is why we sample Gibbs baby!



-136.861u on the year to ~+1,968u in a night.





Another million dollar month coming out of 2+2. Now Iowa! isn't the only one.

Grumpy64 is relentless and has the attention of some of the sharpest people I know. Congrats Grumpy.

I love grumpy. Heart of a lion.

eh...cant really argue with you here. Honestly anything that I cap myself successfully makes me feel like billy walters. I dont care if its hockey props, it all spends the same.

don't worry about it poogs I made a model that crushed hockey props for years in about 30 minutes in excel 10 years ago when I knew nothing about modeling. sadly it was probably the most profitable model i've ever made.

will not give up till we beat this market. back to the lab

Just out of interest, does anyone here bet rugby or league?

$77 sharps have claimed to. But many claim many things.

lol a $77 sharp aye? I do like guessing games but is the clue to be found in the sports betting subforum? I need to narrow my scope somewhat.
Perhaps a particular thread might help me to uncover this $77 mystery man?
What does he look like and to what social class does he belong? Is he so named because he bets stakes of $77 or because he claims to have profited $77?

Re rugby, i'm surprised there isn't more discussion of it in this forum. It's a pretty easy market to exploit. Admittedly, highrollers will get limited use out of it- i think the max bet on pinnacle is under $2,000 for NZ domestic matches- but it's an ideal market for those starting out.

yes i realize there is a nhl betting thread but all the good posts are in the chatter thread

tomg total points
okposo +115 over simmonds
stastny -160 over backlund
stempniak +110 over larkin
toffoli -150 over hartnell
hornquist -120 over trochek
parise +100 over marchand