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Old 09-18-2014, 02:00 AM   #26
Sirbustalotz
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

Just caught that I found a half point calculator online but it wont go backwards on the lines to give me the percentage to win. Example..

This weekend Utah State is spotting 3 on the card but online they are getting 2.5. But since I lose on ties I have to factor that im really only getting 2.5. Can someone tell me the probablity of winning this bet straight up and how you did the math on this or what website you used to do it because i cannot find one.

Also similar spot Detroit in nfl is getting 3 (so 2.5 because of ties) but online they are spotting 2.5. I was told above that I need 60% of each leg to win to win on these can you tell me if these 2 qualify thanks.
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Old 09-18-2014, 02:45 AM   #27
RickySteve
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

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Old 09-18-2014, 03:57 AM   #28
Sirbustalotz
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

so you are saying its impossible even if i bet on the lines where they are 60% to win in my favor ?
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Old 09-18-2014, 11:18 AM   #29
NYC_Jon
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sirbustalotz View Post
so you are saying its impossible even if i bet on the lines where they are 60% to win in my favor ?
If you win 60% of picks, you will win 21.6% of parlays. Therefore, the break-even point would be receiving $231.48 on wins back after paying $50.
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Old 09-18-2014, 07:11 PM   #30
etothemc2
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

Enter the moneyline into the 0.5 pt calc
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Old 09-18-2014, 11:46 PM   #31
Sirbustalotz
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

tried entering the moneyline in etot but it still wouldnt go up couldnt figure it out :<
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Old 09-19-2014, 02:14 PM   #32
etothemc2
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

Flip the ml and go down
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Old 09-19-2014, 06:47 PM   #33
HolidayInTheSun
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

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Old 10-08-2017, 12:42 PM   #34
bluejay43
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sirbustalotz View Post
hit my 3 teamer this week. took wvu new england and houston but found out the bookie doesnt return my 50$ bet and just pays the 250 back to me on a 3 teamer. Probably wont play again after finding that out. Put the 50 up front and he says i only get a total of 250 back.
My bookie does the same thing! Money up they take your 50 and give you only 250 back? I don't understand but when you bet online they return your 50 plus your winnings..
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Old 10-08-2017, 09:13 PM   #35
PokerHero77
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Re: Local Bookie Parlays

(1/5)^(1/3) = 0.584
(1/10)^(1/4) = 0.562
(1/20)^(1/5) = 0.549

Assuming you can get 5+ picks per week with > 54.9% edge, play the 5 team parlay. Round robin if you have more picks.
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