Openers Vs Closers - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

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Openers Vs Closers

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05-23-2017 , 10:34 AM

MisterRodriguez

journeyman

Join Date: May 2017 Posts: 301

Hello guys,assuming a soccer league with high liquidity market is GENERALLY efficient if i find a subset of games where the Openers in Pinnacle beat the Closers in the last couple of seasons(1k sample size,BTCL 67%)means Pinnacle openears have been soft that even a basic analysys can make a profit ?

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05-23-2017 , 11:40 AM

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

Enjoy the rat race.

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05-23-2017 , 12:28 PM

MisterRodriguez

journeyman

Join Date: May 2017 Posts: 301

Even if my OP sounds dumb to you I m here to learn ,so i would appreciate if you could give me a valid opinion.

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05-23-2017 , 01:32 PM

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

Have you checked where the lines are a minute after opening?

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05-23-2017 , 02:20 PM

MisterRodriguez

journeyman

Join Date: May 2017 Posts: 301

Why do you ask?I have a Pinnacle opener alert and usually this season in the league i found this deviation after i bet seconds after opening the odds start drifiting even further but rarely after 1 minute(1-2 hours maybe)

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05-23-2017 , 04:57 PM

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

I'd stop posting about this.

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05-25-2017 , 08:49 AM

cboevey

centurion

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 127

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterRodriguez

With a sample size of 1000, you won't find any subsets with any degree of certainty. Statistics are more random then you think. Also, previous performance for teams against each other are extremely weak predictors due to the number of variables changing, the most important one are key players.

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05-25-2017 , 10:50 AM

Mihkel05

banned

Join Date: Jul 2015 Posts: 4,835

i lolled.

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05-31-2017 , 12:56 PM

PaiDaMorte

adept

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 716

The openers vs closers is a very broad discussion.

Some places open early than others.
Some very liquid leagues open with one month in advance and alot isnt known at that time.

If you want to beat openers is one big subject
If you want to beat closers is another distinct and big subject
If you want to trade between openers and closers is another distinct and big subject

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10-10-2017 , 09:56 AM

#10

ajikavix

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2017 Posts: 67

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterRodriguez

Even if my OP sounds dumb to you I m here to learn ,so i would appreciate if you could give me a valid opinion.

your here to learn you say? yet if and when someone else makes a mistake your the first one all over them with your fcwit smart arse comments trying to come across as cool, which btw your wrong about most of the things you say but that's another story since your to arrogant to realise.

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