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Old 09-06-2007, 03:57 AM   #1
Assani Fisher
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I offer a bet.....

I PMed Performify asking if it was ok to post a thread challenging people to a bet, and he said it was...

You name either 5 or 6 teams that will not make the NFL playoffs this year. If they all don't make it, you win. If one or more of them make it, I win. I'll offer even money on 6 teams, you must give me 1.5-1 on 5 teams.

Max bet $2500

I will take up to $10,000 in total action.


Two options regarding the trust issue. I would trust any of the following 4 people to hold the money:

bones
miami32
macdaddy991
SirFelixCat

Performify mentioned in his PM response to me that he has held money in the past. If this is the only solution then I would be ok with that as well.

Or we could exchange phone numbers and addresses with the understanding that the loser will only send the money via check to that address. That insures that we know where each other lives.

I have lost bets before and paid them in the Sporting Events forum and I can provide 2 references if necessary.
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Old 09-06-2007, 04:27 AM   #2
Performify
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Re: I offer a bet.....

I will take this bet for the max.

I select the following six teams which will not make the NFL playoffs this year:

The New York Yankees.

The Boston Red Sox.

The New York Knicks

The San Antonio Spurs.

The Chicago White Sox.

And finally:

The Kansas City Royals.




This is my smartass way of saying I assume, and wording in prop bets is always key in a sea of angle shooters, you have to specify NFL teams

-P
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Old 09-06-2007, 04:29 AM   #3
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Re: I offer a bet.....

I want 1.5-1 on 5 teams who won't make the playoffs in one conference. Same terms as above. Can you do it?
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:48 AM   #4
Assani Fisher
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Thremp, tell me which conference you are choosing and I'll give you my answer. My initial thought is that I'd be a lot more willing to do it for the NFC. For the AFC, I may not give as much as 1.5-1. I'd still want to think it over before committing to anything though.

Performify, point noted. There are absolutely no tricks or semantical uncertainties here. So I'm putting in a "common sense clause" which says that if anyone tries to back out on anything sneaky like that they still have to pay. I believe that the INTENDED PERAMETERS of the bet are fairly clear, and if you don't understand them then ask before you bet.
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Old 09-06-2007, 11:25 AM   #5
coolmoedee
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Re: I offer a bet.....

This bet seems so easy to me. I think I could name 10 teams that I know wont make the playoffs this year. Let me try and see how many i come up with...

Clev.
Wash.
Minny.
Miami.
Gbay.
KC.
Oak.
Texans.
Det.
Atl.
Tbay.

I'm pretty sure all of those teams wont make the playoffs. I'm not saying I want to bet, but it seems like an easy win to only have to pick 5 or 6.....am I nutz?
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Old 09-06-2007, 11:56 AM   #6
facialabuse
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Re: I offer a bet.....

I'll do this for a bill if that's not too small. PMing you my picks.
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Old 09-06-2007, 01:46 PM   #7
NajdorfDefense
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
This bet seems so easy to me. I think I could name 10 teams that I know wont make the playoffs this year. Let me try and see how many i come up with...

Clev.
Wash.
Minny.
Miami.
Gbay.
KC.
Oak.
Texans.
Det.
Atl.
Tbay.

I'm pretty sure all of those teams wont make the playoffs. I'm not saying I want to bet, but it seems like an easy win to only have to pick 5 or 6.....am I nutz?
I think KC, GB and TB will. Hell, TB, GB or even Minny could [not will] win their divisions. Wash certainly could even tho I think they won't.
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Old 09-06-2007, 02:02 PM   #8
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Re: I offer a bet.....

PM'd you as well.
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Old 09-06-2007, 03:25 PM   #9
Performify
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Re: I offer a bet.....

KC will not be making the playoffs this year, unless a 6-10 record gets them in to the playoffs.

Brody Croyle will be starting for this team by midseason in a throwaway season.

-P
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Old 09-06-2007, 03:36 PM   #10
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
KC will not be making the playoffs this year, unless a 6-10 record gets us in to the playoffs.

-P
So...you'll offer me 10-1 then?
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Old 09-06-2007, 04:15 PM   #11
Performify
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Re: I offer a bet.....

If you're serious, not to hijack Assani's thread, but I would take moderately heavy action on the Kansas City Chiefs not to make the NFL playoffs. Lets talk if you are.

How about +800 ?

Only condition, I hold the money. Or a trusted third party if we can find one.

(not that I don't trust you, but laying long odds I'd need assurance the money is there to reduce my exposure).

-P

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Old 09-06-2007, 04:53 PM   #12
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Re: I offer a bet.....

I love this forum!
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:02 PM   #13
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Re: I offer a bet.....

anyone want to give me +300 on jets making playoffs
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:04 PM   #14
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
If you're serious, not to hijack Assani's thread, but I would take moderately heavy action on the Kansas City Chiefs not to make the NFL playoffs. Lets talk if you are.

How about +800 ?

Only condition, I hold the money. Or a trusted third party if we can find one.

(not that I don't trust you, but laying long odds I'd need assurance the money is there to reduce my exposure).

-P


TheGreek/Oly has a prop...

9/2007 12:00 PM Will Kansas City Chiefs make the Playoffs All teams must play 16 Regular Season Games for action. Max wager is $300. NFL.com for results.
5029 Yes +300
5030 No -400


For the guy who asked about the Jets...

9/9/2007 12:00 PM Will New York Jets make the Playoffs All teams must play 16 Regular Season Games for action. Max wager is $300. NFL.com for results.
5017 Yes +260
5018 No -330
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:13 PM   #15
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Re: I offer a bet.....

I can't imagine there are 6 teams that are only ~11% to make the playoffs. Now off to check some odds to see if I'm wrong.
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:20 PM   #16
facialabuse
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
Quote:
If you're serious, not to hijack Assani's thread, but I would take moderately heavy action on the Kansas City Chiefs not to make the NFL playoffs. Lets talk if you are.

How about +800 ?

Only condition, I hold the money. Or a trusted third party if we can find one.

(not that I don't trust you, but laying long odds I'd need assurance the money is there to reduce my exposure).

-P


TheGreek/Oly has a prop...

9/2007 12:00 PM Will Kansas City Chiefs make the Playoffs All teams must play 16 Regular Season Games for action. Max wager is $300. NFL.com for results.
5029 Yes +300
5030 No -400


For the guy who asked about the Jets...

9/9/2007 12:00 PM Will New York Jets make the Playoffs All teams must play 16 Regular Season Games for action. Max wager is $300. NFL.com for results.
5017 Yes +260
5018 No -330
thanks man, obv I should have just researched it-it just sparked that particular neural pathway when I read performify's post...wait nm I just pulled that 300 off the top of my head im so sick...i want yes at +300 against any1 who wants no at 300, or make me a counteroffer
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:27 PM   #17
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Re: I offer a bet.....

I'll take full action you want on No at -300.

We need some vouch or someone to holds money.
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:28 PM   #18
Performify
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Ok, howa bout +500 on the Chiefs not making the playoffs for moderate to heavy action, same caveat as above. way over market!



To be clear: I'm offering YOU (whoever you are) 5:1, YOU are betting that the Chiefs do make the playoffs, I'm getting -500 on the No



-P
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:29 PM   #19
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
Ok, howa bout +500 on the Chiefs not making the playoffs for moderate to heavy action, same caveat as above. way over market!



-P
I'll take this as well.
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:31 PM   #20
Caldarooni
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
Ok, howa bout +500 on the Chiefs not making the playoffs for moderate to heavy action, same caveat as above. way over market!



-P
Please post in the Arb thread.
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:32 PM   #21
Performify
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Re: I offer a bet.....

lol
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:37 PM   #22
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
I can't imagine there are 6 teams that are only ~11% to make the playoffs. Now off to check some odds to see if I'm wrong.
I'm not sure I would calculate it that way. JMHO.
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:40 PM   #23
Performify
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Booked with Naj on a settled number of +600 on KC to Make the NFL Playoffs.

Will take additional action on this same price, same caveat as above.

For those following along, this should give you an indication of my perception of the value of the No currently on that Greek line...

Sorry for the hijack Assani, but at least it keeps your thread up

-P
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:41 PM   #24
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Re: I offer a bet.....

Quote:
Quote:
I can't imagine there are 6 teams that are only ~11% to make the playoffs. Now off to check some odds to see if I'm wrong.
I'm not sure I would calculate it that way. JMHO.
Understood, just a starting point in my mind. If there is a team that is only 5% or something, obviously the other 5 teams don't need to be quite as bad.
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Old 09-06-2007, 05:43 PM   #25
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Re: I offer a bet.....

HYACHACHACHA I'm a fishy, someone gimme action on the No KC makes playoffs...
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