Quote:
Originally Posted by TripleH68
Belmont Saturday Race 10 - Woodford Reserve Manhattan 1 1/4 on turf.
I love the 9 horse Just as Well. He looks to be sitting on a big race coming in off a nice effort at Pimlico. If Gio Ponti is not resurrected yet - this looks like the horse with the best shot at this distance.
Talk to me before I load up on this one...
I haven't fully handicapped Saturday's card yet, but I'll tell you what I think as of now...
In your defense, Jonathan Sheppard is excellent on getting longer turf distances for older horses (7Yo here). Can't knock Desormeaux either.
Court Vision, Grand Couturier, and Winchester all ran their best figures on turf with some give in it, and without rain @ Belmont (yet), the turf is as firm as it gets.
Last, but not least, your battling Gio Ponti. Legit horse of the year contender last year and reigning turf champion comes in from Dubai in the very capable hands of Christophe Clemente. Even on a bad day he gets a chance to take this down. I'd say if your covered in a exacta saver or with a straight place or win/place bet on Just as Well it would cut into potential profits, but increase likelihood of ROI.
TBH, I think bet structuring is key here to protect with exactas/triples, but still be able to capitalize on a live horse at good odds facing elite company. What's your betting strategy in this race?