HORSE RACING THREAD - Page 58 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

ok, preliminary "fun" bets.

The "Irish Eyes are smiling" Exacta Box:

$4 EX BOX -- Lookin at Lucky/Dublin/Paddy O'Prado = $24

The "Family picks a random horse and I box it" Ex box:

$2 EX Box -- Stately Victor/Conveyance/Dublin/Ice Box =$24

The "Lottery Ticket" Trifecta:

.50 TRI: Backtalk,American Lion -- OVER -- Backtalk, American Lion, Sidney's Candy, Stately Victor -- OVER -- Backtalk, American Lion, Sidney's Candy, Stately Victor, Icebox, Conveyance, Paddy O'Prado = $15

Total $63 of goofy bets. will post my "real" picks tomorrow.

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05-01-2010 , 02:30 AM

#1428

ClarkNasty

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 35,397

Naj,

What are your thoughts?

I like the 14 as I said, though I wish he had another race or two of experience last year.

Zito's horses scare me a little. I think the 3 is sitting on a race and should get a trip. I hate the weather situation because I feel like there's no way to bet until the last minute after seeing how the track is playing. Lots of legit prices if speed is holding.

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05-01-2010 , 07:17 AM

#1429

Sluss

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 4,427

How reliable is the Tomlinson number for capping in the slop?

Quote

05-01-2010 , 10:16 AM

#1430

wamplerr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 1,233

10:15am EST

Betfair and Matchbook have Lookin at Lucky at +450.

The pool at Churchill has +800. Meaningless to look at the pool this early?

Quote

05-01-2010 , 10:43 AM

#1431

ClarkNasty

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 35,397

The Oaks/Derby double will-pays posted above should be a pretty good indicator.

Quote

05-01-2010 , 10:48 AM

#1432

pdxmike

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 455

CD race 2 pick 4
4,8,11
2,9
2,5,8
all

$63

Quote

05-01-2010 , 11:01 AM

#1433

cobrakai111

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 3,947

I will be following along wet in the stands. Would glady take any random advice people have on bets.

Quote

05-01-2010 , 11:11 AM

#1434

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Quote:

Originally Posted by ClarkNasty

I totally agree, have to wait and see if we get sloppy, good or even firm+ based on the weather. I'd use 3 underneath in exotics.

If it's sloppy to good, I'm going solely with the mud horses. You can get fixed odds on line on Backtalk at 55/60-1 for a nice mudder with 2 KD winners in his pedigree. I'll def be spreading it around for sure and trying to hit a big exotic over just Pick the Winner.

Don't particularly like the Cali horses. Will use L@L underneath exotics though.

No strong feeling this year like past years when I loved Smarty, Alex, Barbaro, Hard Spun. I do like the filly though.

Last edited by NajdorfDefense; 05-01-2010 at 11:40 AM.

Quote

05-01-2010 , 11:26 AM

#1435

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Quote:

Originally Posted by cobrakai111

I will be following along wet in the stands. Would glady take any random advice people have on bets.

Random advice: Pace yourself with the mint julep consumption and take pics!

Quote

05-01-2010 , 11:37 AM

#1436

cobrakai111

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 3,947

Ha. Too late for pacving

Quote

05-01-2010 , 11:51 AM

#1437

pdxmike

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 455

Race 4 pick 4
2,5,8
1,3,4
2
all

and

2,8
1,4
1,2
3,5,6

$43.50

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:08 PM

#1438

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Alright, well here it is.. my Beulah Park Fortune Six ticket..

Not sending it in until about 4-5 minutes to post (~2:18pm EST)

But, posting it now. I got what I wanted with the Woodard entry in the first leg, he named Rechy as the rider of the 1A and Yuranga on the 1. Exactly what I wanted. The #1 "Between Us" is controlling speed, imo and Yuri holds them together wonderfully.

If we survive our single, we have lots of coverage.. *crossed fingers*

3) 1
4) 1-4-6-7-8-9
5) 2-3-5-6-8
6) 2-3-5-7-8
7) 3-7-8
8) 1-3-9-11

1800 combos x .25 = $450 invested

YTD (-3030)

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05-01-2010 , 12:12 PM

#1439

ktw1021

grinder

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 682

just made some dough at CD Had $10 ACB on the 11 in the 4th.

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05-01-2010 , 12:15 PM

#1440

bugman68

adept

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 972

expect the rain to stop today at 4:30pm and drying to begin. Thats 1hr and 54 minutes with no rain before the kd. Churchill downs known for its fast drying. this info from your sporting event weatherman, bug

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05-01-2010 , 12:15 PM

#1441

domer2

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 34,140

Throwing some dollars at

Backtalk +6500
Discreetly Mine +4500

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:20 PM

#1442

partypete27

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 192

Anyone want to make a couple $2 exacta bets for me? Don t have any sports book monies and not close to an OTB.

Will pay with FTP. Prob ~ $20 in total

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05-01-2010 , 12:23 PM

#1443

M.Honcho

adept

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 862

Good Luck Kev @ Beulah,like your ticket. I have capped todays PK6,but i am not playing it. I already have a future of $200 @ 6-1 on LAL,and am putting $200 more on him around post parade time (6:15pm est)...I am only playing the Derby and several exotics combinations within it,and will try to get them up before i head out...I ALWAYS watch the big 3 with my daughter.

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:30 PM

#1444

Wyman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by partypete27

Anyone want to make a couple $2 exacta bets for me? Don t have any sports book monies and not close to an OTB.

Will pay with FTP. Prob ~ $20 in total

Can you transfer on Stars? Need to make this happen in the next 20 mins though, headed to otb.

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:32 PM

#1445

partypete27

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 192

Dont have any stars cash.

Dont want to make another random transfer with someone for FT > stars

Thanks anyway

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:34 PM

#1446

Kevroc

Chubby Chaser

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 20,366

Quote:

Originally Posted by M.Honcho

Good Luck Kev @ Beulah,like your ticket. I have capped todays PK6,but i am not playing it.

Thanks Honch, I actually left out some horses that are low ML odds but, I can't play horses I don't like. Hopefully I'm alive and can backup the main ticket. There are certain horses that have been on the shelf since last fall and they can score if they run back to their old form but, I need to see a race before I can endorse. A 4-5 week freshener is one thing but, not out since OCT '09 is not getting my dollars unless that form was far superior than what the task at hand is.

Good luck with your derby plays.. i actually threw $40 into the twinspires players pool because i didnt handicap churchill, LOL!

I do like Awesome Act though...

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05-01-2010 , 12:38 PM

#1447

RichGangi

Laughable false & highly douchey

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 9,546

Sidneys Candy (7.2-1)
Jacksons Bend (18-1)

Gogogogogogogo

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:39 PM

#1448

Wyman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,007

Quote:

Originally Posted by partypete27

Dont have any stars cash.

Dont want to make another random transfer with someone for FT > stars

Thanks anyway

I have an acct on FT and wouldn't mind FT cash, but I never made a deposit there. Can I still accept a transfer?

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:48 PM

#1449

Wyman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,007

God, I'm having trouble getting this ticket down to around $200. I'm a little uneasy keying around Between Us on (3). Wondering if keying around the 3 (lucky express) on (7) is any better.

Last edited by Wyman; 05-01-2010 at 12:50 PM. Reason: oops lucky express = 3 not 7

Quote

05-01-2010 , 12:54 PM

#1450

bugman68

adept

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 972

Update!!! Because of a stall of the front on the ohio valley. Rain will continue until 5:40pm eastern time. This leaves very little time for drying. But there will be no rain from 5:40pmest till 8:00pmest in louisville.

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