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HORSE RACING THREAD HORSE RACING THREAD

04-30-2010 , 08:34 PM
hit the tri on the oaks...5/8-11-13...389 and change
love my p3 ticket for the oaks-woodford-derby 5-11-13/3-7-8/1-2-6-10-14-16-20
tri key for the derby...lookin'at lucky on top w/half the field
working on beulah p6, as well as churchill p6, and some other asst. stuff
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 08:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
We have a scratch.. amend ticket..

6) 1-2-4-9-10
7) 2-6-7-11
8) 7-8-10-11-12
9) 7-9

$100 investment

YTD (-2780)
10 wins race #6

add this pick three

7) 10
8) 7-8-10-11-12
9) 7-9

$10 bet YTD (-2790)
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 08:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jacksquat
hit the tri on the oaks...5/8-11-13...389 and change
love my p3 ticket for the oaks-woodford-derby 5-11-13/3-7-8/1-2-6-10-14-16-20
tri key for the derby...lookin'at lucky on top w/half the field
working on beulah p6, as well as churchill p6, and some other asst. stuff
Rather then keying 10 horses you might be better off doing L@L/5 horses/all
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 08:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by M.Honcho
RATFARTS!! LOL....Had a good day today obviously,didnt know i got the 5/6 till my balance didnt look right. Give the breakdown for the day...Total investment on the day $582....Profit is $970.60...Early PK3 races 6-8 $27,paid $325.80....late PK3 $15, paid $135.80...Late PK4 $60, paid $415...PK6 $480,5 of 6 paid $676... Good Luck this eve Kev,all.
Wow really nice picking! Wow if you didn't have Rachel and had the winner you would of hit like $200,000 lol.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 08:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
Atta boy Honch!

There's about 1k of Derby ammo!
Thanks Kev,and it will be used tomorrow for sure,i was going to wager at least 1K tomorrow as i said,now its a free day

As for CB on RA,he is just doing what he was told to do...When she lost at the Fair Grounds,they were teaching her to rate again (she did in NY last yr) because they (Jess Jackson & Steve Asmussen) know its the only way they could have a chance against Zenyatta if RA had something left for the stretch run. Believe i read the same the week before her FG loss on Bloodhorse...Obv now she is not the same horse as last yr,but she still has heart,that also is obv also...But for a match up with Big Z...fahgetaboutit...Z would eat her for lunch...Starting on tomorrow's PK6,waiting on the grass races for last because im sure you will see several scratches imo if they have to go MT only.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 09:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
We have a scratch.. amend ticket..

6) 1-2-4-9-10
7) 2-6-7-11
8) 7-8-10-11-12
9) 7-9

$100 investment

YTD (-2780)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
10 wins race #6

add this pick three

7) 10
8) 7-8-10-11-12
9) 7-9

$10 bet YTD (-2790)
The pick three backup was solid as the 10 was 8:1 and closing like a shot!

But, the #11 won. That is two races in a row where the even money chalk got beat, hopefully we are building some equity here..

EDIT: add Turf paradise Race #8 $2 EXACTA

5 with 7-8-10-11-12

$10 bet YTD (-2800)

Last edited by Kevroc; 04-30-2010 at 09:07 PM.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 09:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LeftGuard
Wow really nice picking! Wow if you didn't have Rachel and had the winner you would of hit like $200,000 lol.
Ya thanks LG...I think? I was offered $5 for my capped selections today too...So it could of been even more HUGE of a day
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 09:21 PM
Haha
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 09:27 PM
I just got home from the Oaks. I had a great time but will not be setting a foot near the track tomorrow with all the bad weather. I came really close to hitting a nice trifecta today and felt good about my amateur handicapping.I still lost about 200 bucks because Honcho would not take my $5 deal. I was bummed that RA lost and I thought that the Oaks turned out to be a great race. The crowd was great today and there were so many beautiful women all around today. I mean I really need to restate the fact that the women at the Downs are just beautiful!

I'm leaning on Awesome Act and Jackson tomorrow for some damn reason. I think I will bet around 200 bucks just for Derby because I am a true degen.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 09:27 PM
So a few of the potential mudders look to be Backtalk, Super Saver and Devil May Care correct?
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 09:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
We have a scratch.. amend ticket..

6) 1-2-4-9-10
7) 2-6-7-11
8) 7-8-10-11-12
9) 7-9
will pays..

7) 2217
9) 806

3 of 4 pays:

4) 136
6) 184
10) 128
11) 216
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
will pays..

7) 2217
9) 806

3 of 4 pays:

4) 136
6) 184
10) 128
11) 216
AHHHHH 7 and 9 ding dong down the stretch and the 10 nails them both on the wire!

YUCK!

I get the 3 of 4 twice for a total of $256 return.

YTD (-2544)
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:03 PM
Churchill Downs | Posted 4/30/2010, 7:46 pm
Super Saver early betting favorite at 7-1
By Marty McGee
LOUISVILLE, Ky. - Advance wagering into the 136th Kentucky Derby suggests the race could produce the longest-priced favorite in Derby history, with Super Saver being the 7-1 choice after $340,544 was bet into the win pool Friday. Only one other Derby starter, Lookin At Lucky at 9-1, was less than double digits.

At the conclusion of the 12-race Friday card at Churchill Downs, four horses were next in line at 11-1 in the 20-horse field: Ice Box, Paddy O'Prado, Devil May Care, and Sidney's Candy. The longest shot was Discreetly Mine at 41-1, with three horses at 25-1 being the next longest shots.

The highest favorite in race history was Harlan's Holiday, who was seventh at 6-1 in 2002.

Meanwhile, the lowest will-pay on the two-day Kentucky Oaks-Derby double wager combining Blind Luck as the Oaks winner ends with Lookin At Lucky, with a $1 double returning $11.20. The longest double ends with Homeboykris ($154.60 for $1). Handle was $300,651.

Also, with Rachel Alexandra defeated as a lead-off single on many a Friday pick six ticket at Churchill, the carryover into Derby Day is $154,163. The Saturday pick six, a $2 minimum, runs from races 7 to 12.

Kentucky Derby advance-wagering odds


(No., Horse, Odds)


1. Lookin At Lucky, 9-1


2. Ice Box, 11-1


3. Noble's Promise, 21-1


4. Super Saver, 7-1


5. Line of David, 15-1


6. Stately Victor, 16-1


7. American Lion, 25-1


8. Dean's Kitten, 18-1


9. Make Music for Me, 25-1


10. Paddy O'Prado, 11-1


11. Devil May Care, 11-1


12. Conveyance, 25-1


13. Jackson Bend, 22-1


14. Mission Impazible, 24-1


15. Discreetly Mine, 41-1


16. Awesome Act, 13-1


17. Dublin, 21-1


18. Backtalk, 20-1


19. Homeboykris, 17-1


20. Sidney's Candy, 11-1


Total win pool, $340,544
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:04 PM
Oaks-Derby Double will-pays


Oaks winner Blind Luck (No. 5)


$1 Double will-pay, Ky. Oaks winner Blind Luck (No. 5) with:


1. Lookin At Lucky, $11.20


2. Ice Box, 29.80


3. Noble's Promise, 48.30


4. Super Saver, 28.30


5. Line of David, 75.90


6. Stately Victor, 43.60


7. American Lion, 68.90


8. Dean's Kitten, 117.70


9. Make Music for Me, 139.00


10. Paddy O'Prado, 53.10


11. Devil May Care, 33.90


12. Conveyance, 59.40


13. Jackson Bend, 61.40


14. Mission Impazible, 51.30


15. Discreetly Mine, 120.50


16. Awesome Act, 19.60


17. Dublin, 54.10


18. Backtalk, 125.10


19. Homeboykris, 154.60


20. Sidney's Candy, 23.20


Total Double pool, $300,651
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:07 PM
They slammed Awesome Act in the double. But going by Lookin at Lucky double seems he has to go off 3:1 odds. The parlay would turn out more but the double is usually always more.

$4.60 to win on 3/1 = $17ish Double is $22 and change. But weird how #4 is favorite lol. Would be something though if favorite goes off 7:1
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:12 PM
Hope I am allowed to make this big post.

http://sports.bodog.com/sports-betting/horse-racing.jsp

Odds to win the 2010 Kentucky Oaks
Friday April 30th @ Churchill Downs All wagers have action. (This Prop is Closed for Betting)

FinalAge Of Humor
35/1
Ailalea
18/1
Amen Hallelujah
8/1
Beautician
18/1
Bella Diamante
40/1
Blind Luck
5/4
Champagne Doro
30/1
Crisp
7/1
Evening Jewel
11/1
Its Tea Time
14/1
Joanies Catch
33/1
Jody Slew
33/1
Quiet Temper
10/1
Tidal Pool
10/1

2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
LOOKIN AT LUCKY
-200

SIDNEYS CANDY
+160


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
ICE BOX
-130

DEVIL MAY CARE
EVEN


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
NOBLES PROMISE
-145

CONVEYANCE
+115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
SUPER SAVER
-130

JACKSON BEND
EVEN


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
PADDY O'PRADO
+120

MISSION IMPAZIBLE
-150


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
LINE OF DAVID
-115

STATELY VICTOR
-115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
AMERICAN LION
-145

DISCREETLY MINE
+115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
DEANS KITTEN
-115

MAKE MUSIC FOR ME
-115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
BACKTALK
+105

HOMEBOYKRIS
-135


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
AWESOME ACT
-150

DUBLIN
+120


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
DEVIL MAY CARE
-155

CONVEYANCE
+125


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
NOBLES PROMISE
EVEN

ICE BOX
-130


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
JACKSON BEND
-105

MISSION IMPAZIBLE
-125


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
AWESOME ACT
-150

DEVIL MAY CARE
+120


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
LINE OF DAVID
+120

AMERICAN LION
-150


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
NOBLE'S PROMISE
+135

SIDNEY'S CANDY
-165


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
ICE BOX
-125

SUPER SAVER
-105


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
AWESOME ACT
-165

AMERICAN LION
+135


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
HOMEBOYKRIS
+130

DISCREETLY MINE
-160


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
LINE OF DAVID
+135

MISSION IMPAZIBLE
-165


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
STATELY VICTOR
+105

PADDY O'PRADO
-135


2010 Kentucky Derby - Head to Head Matchup Both Horses must run in the Kentucky Derby for action
SUPER SAVER
EVEN

DUBLIN
-130


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Lookin At Lucky Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 3.5
EVEN

Under 3.5
-130


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Ice Box Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 7.5
-115

Under 7.5
-115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Devil May Care Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 8.5
-125

Under 8.5
-105


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Jackson Bend Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 8.5
-130

Under 8.5
EVEN


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Awesome Act Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 6.5
-115

Under 6.5
-115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Dublin Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 8.5
-115

Under 8.5
-115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Finishing Position for Sidneys Candy Must Run in Kentucky Derby for Action.
Over 6.5
-105

Under 6.5
-125


Will any horse win the 2010 Triple Crown? All three Triple Crown Races must be run for action. Same Horse must win Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes to be graded the winner.
Yes
+600

No
-1000


Odds to win the 2010 Triple Crown All three Triple Crown Races must be run for action. Horse must win Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes to be graded the winner.
AMERICAN LION
90/1

AWESOME ACT
30/1

BACKTALK
150/1

CONVEYANCE
35/1

DEAN'S KITTEN
150/1

DISCREETLY MINE
90/1

DUBLIN
35/1

HOMEBOYKRIS
150/1

ICE BOX
30/1

JACKSON BEND
45/1

LINE OF DAVID
90/1

LOOKIN AT LUCKY
9/1

MISSION IMPAZIBLE
60/1

NOBLE'S PROMISE
35/1

PADDY O'PRADO
60/1

SIDNEY'S CANDY
14/1

STATELY VICTOR
90/1

SUPER SAVER
35/1

No Triple Crown Winner
1/10


2010 Kentucky Derby - Winning Saddlecloth Number All wagers have action.
Odd
-115

Even
-115


Odds to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby
Saturday May 1st @ Churchill Downs All wagers have action.
1 Lookin at Lucky
4/1

2 Icebox
10/1

3 Noble's Promise
18/1

4 Super Saver
12/1

5 Line of David
22/1

6 Stately Victor
22/1

7 American Lion
22/1

8 Deans Kitten
40/1

9 Make Music For Me
40/1

10 Paddy O'Prado
18/1

11 Devil May Care
12/1

12 Conveyance
16/1

13 Jackson Bend
14/1

14 Mission Impazible
16/1

15 Discreetly Mine
45/1

16 Awesome Act
10/1

17 Dublin
17/1

18 Backtalk
50/1

19 Homeboykris
45/1

20 Sidney’s Candy
6/1


2010 Kentucky Derby - How many lengths will the winner of the 136th Kentucky Derby win by? All wagers have action.
More than or equal to 1 lengths
-175

Less than 1 lengths
+135


2010 Kentucky Derby - Official Winning Time All wagers have action.
Over 2:01.60
-270

Under 2:01.60
+250


2010 Kentucky Derby - Official Win Mutual Payoff All wagers have action.
Over $18.00
-140

Under $18.00
EVEN


2010 Kentucky Derby - Will the crowd attendance exceed that of the 153,563 of 2009 All wagers have action.
Yes
+150

No
-200


2010 Kentucky Derby - Will the winner of the 136th Kentucky Derby complete the race faster than the 2:02.66 of Mine That Bird in 2009? All wagers have action.
Yes
+175

No
-215


2010 Kentucky Derby - What will be the winner of the 136th Kentucky Derby's starting gate? All wagers have action.
Gates 1-5
+140

Gates 6-10
+550

Gates 11-15
+240

Gates 16-20
+220


2010 Kentucky Derby - What will the total on-track wagering handle of the 136th Kentucky Derby be? All wagers have action.
Over 12 Million Dollars
+105

Under 12 Million Dollars
-145


2010 Kentucky Derby - What will the odds of the pre-race favorite be at post time in the 136th Kentucky Derby? All wagers have action.
Over 4/1
+110

Under 4/1
-150


2010 Kentucky Derby - 2010 Kentucky Derby - Will 20 horses start in the 136th Kentucky Derby? All wagers have action.
Yes 20 Horses Will Start
-130

No 20 Horses Will Not Start
-110


2010 Kentucky Derby - How long will it take Rascal Flatts to sing the national anthem at the 136th Kentucky Derby? All wagers have action. Timing starts as soon as the first note is sung, and ends as soon as the last note is sung. Singles Only
Over 1 minute 44 seconds
-125

Under 1 minute 44 seconds
-115


2010 Kentucky Derby - Will the winner of the 2010 Kentucky Derby win the 2010 Preakness Stakes? All wagers have action.
Yes (136th Kentucky Derby Winner Wins 2010 Preakness)
+180

No (136th Kentucky Derby Winner Wins 2010 Preakness)
-230


2010 Kentucky Derby - Will the winner of the 2010 Kentucky Derby win the 2010 Belmont? All wagers have action.
Yes (136th Kentucky Derby Winner Wins 2010 Belmont)
+300

No (136th Kentucky Derby Winner Wins 2010 Belmont)
-500


2010 Kentucky Derby - Will 2010 Kentucky Derby all sources handle exceed the 2009 Kentucky Derby all sources handle of $ 104,563,501? All wagers have action.
Yes (2010 All Sources Handles Exceeds 2009)
+300

No (2010 All Sources Handles Exceeds 2009)
-500

WON'T BE EVEN NEAR $90,000,000

2010 Kentucky Derby - Will a horse win the 136th Kentucky Derby wire to wire? All wagers have action. Horse must be in 1st place at all 4 markers for Yes to be the winner.
Yes (Horse Wins 136th Kentucky Derby Wire to Wire)
+550

No (Horse Wins 136th Kentucky Derby Wire to Wire)
-1100


2010 Kentucky Derby - How many different horses will race caller Tom Durkin (NBC) call as the race leader? All wagers have action.
Over 5
+120

Under 5
-160
ARE THEY CRAZY? UNDER 5 FOR MY LUNGS!


2010 Kentucky Derby - Which will be greater, the margin of victory between the Derby winner and second place finisher or the second place finisher and third place finisher? All wagers have action.
Winner - 2nd Place
-180

2nd Place - 3rd Place
+140


Will NBC best its previous Kentucky Derby Nielsen rating high of 9.8 achieved in 2009 with its presentation of the 136th Kentucky Derby? All wagers have action.
Yes (Beat Ratings Best of 9.8)
+165

No (Beat Ratings Best of 9.8)
-215
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:13 PM
Will Bodog take a huge bet on any of these props? ATLEAST 5 are extreme locks with 1 Lock of the year lmfao. Anyone want to book for FTP/PS?
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
AHHHHH 7 and 9 ding dong down the stretch and the 10 nails them both on the wire!

YUCK!

I get the 3 of 4 twice for a total of $256 return.

YTD (-2544)
Nice Job Kev! $256 pays for 1/2 your Beulah PK6.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:15 PM
Emerald Downs Race 4 $3 pick four.

4) 1-4-9
5) 6
6) 3-6
7) 1-5

12 combos x $3 = $36 wagered

YTD (-2580)

Quote:
Originally Posted by M.Honcho
Nice Job Kev! $256 pays for 1/2 your Beulah PK6.
Yeah man but, if you watched that race I was seriously lookin good for over two grand or at least 800 bucks!

Argggh, what a tough stretch battle!
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kevroc
Emerald Downs Race 4 $3 pick four.

4) 1-4-9
5) 6
6) 3-6
7) 1-5

12 combos x $3 = $36 wagered

YTD (-2580)



Yeah man but, if you watched that race I was seriously lookin good for over two grand or at least 800 bucks!

Argggh, what a tough stretch battle!
No sorry,capping right now...Wish you would of got the 2K also....Happen to see what i missed on by a nose today,LOL...

And FTR the PK6 for tomorows KD starts in Race 6-11,NOT 7-12 as posted by LeftGuard.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by M.Honcho
No sorry,capping right now...Wish you would of got the 2K also....Happen to see what i missed on by a nose today,LOL...
Yes. Sick sick sick.

Also, just lost that Emerald play.. I tried to beat the even money chalk and he won.

Going to bed.. I'll post my Beulah ticket tomorrow after the early scratches are posted.

Good night guys, lets make some big manies manana.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 10:55 PM
Taking a shot on Jackson Bend tomorrow. Although the mud changes everything. Didn't see too many horses with experience in the slop on the PPs.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 11:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ClarkNasty
I like the 14 in the Derby.
I like him in exotics, more so if its truly sloppy out there.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 11:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chromakey
Taking a shot on Jackson Bend tomorrow. Although the mud changes everything. Didn't see too many horses with experience in the slop on the PPs.
they may not have experience but some are bred to love it! stately victor being the top of the crop, ghostzapper and collect the cash crushed in their sloppy races. not saying he'll win but if it is sloppy, think twice
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote
04-30-2010 , 11:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chet chit-chat
So a few of the potential mudders look to be Backtalk, Super Saver and Devil May Care correct?
also
Discreetly Mine [and out of Mineshaft]
Paddy O'Prado has supposedly worked well in the rain,
Mission Impazible finished decent 2nd at GP, 3rd after stumbling at start of KentJuve so def used to it at CD at the least.

Last edited by NajdorfDefense; 04-30-2010 at 11:39 PM.
HORSE RACING THREAD Quote

      
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