Quote:
Originally Posted by Honcho
JK hope you have a great time on track. I can only describe how i do things and not a slight towards you at all to each their own but i NEVER listen to anyone else in horses or sports wagering i know i know my chit and do not trust anyone else but myself with MY money when it comes to wagering. Money comes from my wallet so my opinion is the only one that matters how i see it. I capped for damn near 2 years before i even bet on horses had boxes full of old PP's before i knew i could do it to my standard. I listen to Jason Beem podcast during the week but anytime they start talking about a race or card it is instant mute or close because i just do not care what you guys think and do not want your opinions to influence my decision making or not so much influence but to even have heard it going into my own capping. I am wrong i am wrong and right right BUT i am right and wrong on my own opinions.
Hey thanks for posting this. I feel I need to read some more books on handicapping. I feel like I know more than the average handicapper right now however I still feel i punt a lot of money by making stupid bets. I like to play pick 4s/ 5s and lose a lot bc I tend to make a lot of correlated plays for my p4/p5 and sometimes cheaper p6s (I will play a .20 pick 6 on say a mandatory payout day or a solid card day such as Saratoga, Belmont stakes day/ derby day etc.... even though I can’t play .2 p6s at toga this year).
Ugh I hate play p4 and p5s bc I seem to only hit when the payouts are comically small and just lose normally when a price hits 1 race I didn’t have in other situations. I’ve been playing some p3 and daily doubles this Saratoga meet so far and actually have hit some ok payouts when I use key races where I think I have a strong single or 2 horses in one of the legs.
From all of this- I don’t mind losing money bc I don’t expect to make money betting horses however I feel I have degen tendencies and punt in spots I shouldn’t. For example I put on $200 so far this Saratoga meet- got it up to $400 and back down to say $260 now. Normally, I can easily punt $200-300 in a single
Saturday bc I degen tilt bet a lot in 1 race where I think I have a favorite that can win. I’ve been betting quite small this meet (like $8 win place bets so haven’t went into the deposit so far). I’ve played a few smaller pick 4 and 5 plays and haven’t really come close to hitting any (went 4/5 today in the p5 but one of my singles lost to a 2nd or 3rd choice so lost the p5- it paid a small amount anyway like $400-500 so not a big deal i guess- my bet was maybe $18 so can’t really complain). My p5 today had 3 singles lol which isn’t something I normally do but even the 2 races I went all in had winners that paid $7 and $17 which is just comical but idk. I’ll be honest here- I probably shouldn’t bet horses bc it’s such a punt of money. I find it entertaining though so there is that and the money I lose doesn’t really bother me.