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Old 06-29-2020, 01:54 PM   #11876
Jkpoker10
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

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Once i thought i was out they pull me back in Took down the Ohio Derby Weekend Challenge on TS,there was 1 other tied me had to figure a few thousand were entered and not sure what i won yet i had to come brag on myself here first
Nice job honcho.

Dean martini ruined my cross country pick 5.
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Old 06-29-2020, 07:43 PM   #11877
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

Thanks JK got an email from Joe Kustelski cofounder of chalklinesports i guess they run the free play section of the tournaments and needed some info BUT won $500 for the 3 day tourney so hell i will take it.

Like TS new format a lot and finally almost all tracks HD big plus
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Old 07-02-2020, 04:41 PM   #11878
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

......................

Belmont has a really nice card for the 4th
5 graded stakes including 2 grade 1s

the 9th race, the Met Mile, at 5:47 will be televised by NBC
I always prefer watching on TV to my computer

this race features 3 Grade 1 winners battling it out - Vekoma, McKinzie, and Code of Honor

Vekoma and McKinzie are stalkers and Code of Honor is a closer
there's not a lot of speed in the race - looks like just Warrior's Charge out of post 8
but anyway, at least the big 3 should have a target

this race is a real winner to bet and to watch

some rain in the forecast - 15% - hopefully the track will be dry for this race
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Old 07-03-2020, 12:31 PM   #11879
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

tacitus/vekoma double
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Old 07-04-2020, 01:05 PM   #11880
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

Belmont Park 7-4-2020

2.) 7-6-1
3.) 2-1-4
4.) 3-4-6
5.) 7-3-6
6.) 10-7-8
7.) 4-8-5
8.) 9-2-5
9.) 2-5-3
10.) 5-2-1
11.) 4-8-3

Very nice card and day today at Belmont and as always those are your 3 to fade BOL to all
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Old 07-06-2020, 10:51 AM   #11881
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

Took down Saturday's TS $1000 Los Alamitos Trifecta Challenge and going by return of $ was 11 of us total.

Been a profitable last couple Monday wake up's,think i will keep waking up on Mondays. Trying to put a big life number up like my golf score
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Old 07-06-2020, 11:10 AM   #11882
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

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tacitus/vekoma double
$$ Nice DD Colt
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Old 07-07-2020, 05:14 PM   #11883
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

thanks Honcho its was actually race 9 and 11 but you got the point.
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Old 07-07-2020, 05:33 PM   #11884
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

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Originally Posted by Honcho View Post
Took down Saturday's TS $1000 Los Alamitos Trifecta Challenge and going by return of $ was 11 of us total.

Been a profitable last couple Monday wake up's,think i will keep waking up on Mondays. Trying to put a big life number up like my golf score
contuing with the print money streak
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Old 07-08-2020, 11:32 AM   #11885
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

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thanks Honcho its was actually race 9 and 11 but you got the point.
I do and ya i have been of recent just seeing it good right now thanks
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Old 07-09-2020, 11:50 AM   #11886
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

........................

Keeneland has a very impressive card this Saturday that includes 6 graded stakes races
I'll be plunging on 2 of them in the secondary pools if I can get decent odds and it looks like I will get them

race 3, a long sprint, I like the closer Sally Curlin who was let go at 10/1 last race and that is her ML even though she won that race
she hit the gate off the break, then circled the field coming up 7 wide to get the win
in other races she has earned the extremely positive comments drew off with authority and closed fast
they let her go off so high I think because they figured her for a router and she got shortened up
I usually don't like closers but I think this may be a special horse and I find her irresistible
I usually don't bet based on breeding but her daddy was Curlin who was a great one

the likely odds on fave Guarana is a speedster who is very tough and a legit fave
there's 2 other speedsters who I'm hoping will wear her down as they duel for the lead



the 7th race is 3 year old fillies going 8.5 furlongs. all of them have graded stakes experience except Envoutante and I like her
she's sure to go off at good odds as they focus on the others of higher class
in her last race at the same distance she finished the last 2.5 furlongs in a little over 30 seconds which is very impressive for a 3 year old filly

Last edited by FallawayJumper; 07-09-2020 at 12:01 PM.
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Old 07-11-2020, 01:56 PM   #11887
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

...................

I re-evaluated my pick for race 7 - Envoutante - don't like her as much - am going to pass the race
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Old 07-13-2020, 09:37 AM   #11888
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

Took down the $1000 TS Road To The Derby Leaderboard Challenge just saw the results it was a 4 day tourney and 3 other players tied me.

Waking up Mondays,yep going to keep doing it
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Old 07-16-2020, 07:53 AM   #11889
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

...................

Baffert was suspended by the Arkansas Racing Commission and 2 of his horses' victories have been vacated
this is the first time that I'm aware of that racing's Golden Boy has been on the receiving end of a serious disciplinary action

from the article:

"Baffert has also caught the attention of regulators over the years. These are his 26th and 27th drug violations, according to public records compiled by the Association of Racetrack Commissioners International and the Thoroughbred Regulatory Rulings database maintained by the Jockey Club."



https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/15/s...an-gamine.html
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Old 07-16-2020, 10:58 AM   #11890
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

....................

the big race Saturday, the Haskell, will be televised by ABC
I like the 2nd fave - Dr Post
I expect him to be in the money - with only a 7 horse field he should have room to close
post 1 is a concern - I guess Bravo will handle it

in their lone tries at 9 furlongs the sure to be fave Authentic lost ground in the stretch while Dr Post gained
I'm skeptical of speed figures - I note that Dr Post was more than 2 seconds faster at Belmont on a fast track then Authentic was at Santa Anita on a fast track at the same distance - I'm skeptical of final times too but mentioned it anyway

also hoping karma will keep Baffert out of the winner's circle

looks like a nice setup to have the name brand ranked horse Authentic over bet and letting Dr Post go off at decent odds

Monmouth is known as a speed favoring track so that will help Authentic and also cause him to get bet down

- you can't have everything

Last edited by FallawayJumper; 07-16-2020 at 11:09 AM.
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Old 07-16-2020, 02:57 PM   #11891
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

.......................

my comment that Dr Post's final time in his last race was more than 2 seconds faster than Authentic's in his last race at the same distance was incorrect

it was only a little more than one second faster
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Old 07-23-2020, 08:53 AM   #11892
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

........................

Baffert's Gamine tested positive for Lidocaine in May
she ran again in June and I'm assuming he wasn't foolish enough to mess with her again

anyway, this Filly turned in a spectacular performance winning by more than 18 lengths and earning the top Beyer for all 3 year olds of 110 at the G1 mile at Belmont
she was only .31 off the track record for a mile at Belmont which is astonishing

Baffert may be prepping her for the Oaks - the question of course being can she handle longer distances

it's very exciting to see a filly who is this fast although I wish she wasn't a Baffert horse..................you can't have everything




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Old 07-23-2020, 11:38 AM   #11893
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

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Originally Posted by Honcho View Post
Took down the $1000 TS Road To The Derby Leaderboard Challenge just saw the results it was a 4 day tourney and 3 other players tied me.

Waking up Mondays,yep going to keep doing it
Covid-19 can't even stop your winning.
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Old 07-24-2020, 01:24 PM   #11894
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

MadT nice to see you itt and ya just seeing it good right now.

Just took down the First Race Trifecta Challenge on TS have to hit a cold Tri on the opener of Toga not sure what i won but just did it
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Old 07-25-2020, 07:31 PM   #11895
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

........................

I usually don't bet quarter horses but I did today - the Rudioso Downs quarter horse Derby
it was fun to see that raw speed
they just bolt out of the gate as fast as they can - all of them - and as fast as they can the whole race - 400 yards
what a trip

4 fillies and 6 colts in the race on a muddy track
I don't know a lot about quarter horse racing but I'm thinking that males don't have an advantage as they do in thoroughbred racing

Last edited by FallawayJumper; 07-25-2020 at 07:38 PM.
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Old 07-26-2020, 08:37 AM   #11896
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

...................

very entertaining
American Pharoah filly Reframe wins a 2 year old race in Japan despite:
going so far wide she almost hit the outside rail.......................truly incredible



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Old 07-27-2020, 04:07 PM   #11897
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

Horse betting has to be the biggest racket. I hit a saratoga pick 4 this weekend after what I felt was a solid single on an unproven horse in a graded stake race (went off at 2/5).

pick 4 pays $223 which is comical. I go semi deep in 3 legs and somehow find a price at 17-1 minus the fact irad was on horse and im sure people used the horse but i just don't understand how a p4 pays so small even with a simple logical single.

I just wonder what the secret is to get a big pick 4/5 payout. Who the heck are these people that are hitting 20-40k pick 5s at saratoga LMAO. I get irritated bc I like to single chalk and it always seems that any big favorite chalk winning kills payout of a pick4. I'm not a fan of spending $100-200 on a ticket to spread when it chalks out and pays small also.

I wanna single longer shots in races however it irritates me when they lose and you lose a ticket due to a risky single. Just wondering what people have for strat with p4s? I tend to pay multiple tickets / or will pay one ticket that is pricey (say $60-200)- I feel most people go cheap on p4s like $20-50 but just wondering if anyone here wants to go over their strat.
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Old 07-27-2020, 04:21 PM   #11898
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

how about the dude that hit it 50 times playing a 1x2x4x1x1 ticket.
singles a 10-1 longshot and gets her home then just punches the ticks multiple times.
only fav in the sequence was the last leg.
no doubt good cappin but so much has to break your way to cash these things
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Old 07-27-2020, 04:24 PM   #11899
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

PS if that horse was Volitile that's what killed your price.
everyone was looking at that as a free square some delusionals on the radio were saying how he would not go below ML odds of 4/5 that was just crazy.
Whitmore's best days were in the rear view and Firenze fire is trying to come back and is a much better Belmont than toga horse.
Plus a late gate scratch of the longest shot on the board did not help consolations etc
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Old 07-28-2020, 12:20 AM   #11900
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Re: HORSE RACING THREAD

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Originally Posted by Jkpoker10 View Post
x
I just wonder what the secret is to get a big pick 4/5 payout. Who the heck are these people that are hitting 20-40k pick 5s at saratoga LMAO.
fading chalky singles. saratoga is so hard. with the larger field sizes i'd say toga P4s are harder to hit than belmont P5s, and playing the P5 isn't going to be profitable on non-carryover days.
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