Quote:
Originally Posted by Jkpoker10
I think Magnum moon is a toss in the derby. Great past 2 races but he has veered out 2 races in a row. I feel bad for whoever he impacts in the derby during the stretch run.
I feel audible and justify are my top 2 for the derby. Will fade mendelsohn as he will get a ton of uk money and prolly throw in the standard euro clunker at the derby. Post draw is going to be huge. Would not like my top 2 as much if they get a 15-20 post.
Think this derby is going to be really good. I feel honestly probably 5-6 have solid shots to win so there actually is some parity. Any thoughts on prices horses will pay
I'll take a stab and say
justify 7/2
mendelsohn 9/2
audlbe 6-1
magnum moon 8-1
On tvg, they were saying justify 2-1 or 5/2. I can't see a horse going off lower than 3-1. Seems like the dominant favorites recently haven't went off too short in the derby.
You started out right with "I think" and then "I feel" then mixed in some dumb with "On TVG they said" Trust yourself!
Try to go point to point here. Yep saw same thing MM did and jock trying to give tractor mark excuse this time BUT not going to matter if you get the same run in the KYD he can go the 1 1/4.
Your top 2 are solid and would say everyone's top 2 or a good percentage BUT i am going to fade the F out of Justify i think and if BB draws his obligatory rail then will wager more. Can he damn right will he i am betting against at this point.
TP has top 2 MM and Audible imo right now BUT have to watch Mendelsohn replay to appreciate what this horse brings talent wise and breeding to the KYD. Almost every year i am right with you with pond jumpers this year my eye tells me to not lose sight of this one.
Like your write up JK and really with the exchange btc markets out there i am sure to get what i am looking for matchup wise come KYD time.
BOL on everyones plays today i am going to go at the DRF Free tournament today all Keeneland card.