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HORSE RACING THREAD HORSE RACING THREAD

05-01-2014 , 08:05 AM
With Wise Dan & CC I'm really hoping to have a live Pick 4 or Pick 3 going into the Derby and then make all of my bets to fade CC.
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05-01-2014 , 10:21 AM
Tripleh well said my thoughtz also price dont matter best is best. M ORNING NEWS HOPPERTUNITY OUT OF race MIKE SMITH NO MOUNT CHROME NOW 9/5 price post time 5/2
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05-01-2014 , 11:34 AM
Tough break for Hoppertunity for sure I think this horse had a good shot and good post. Nothing has changed my mind on CC (and CC=California Chrome itt)
from winning as Triple said I either am going to take it or watch it.

Starting some capping this evening for Oaks/Derby days if I am not competing in tournaments I will post my picks and will try to get up my PK4 or PK6 ticket to be fair to all itt and give you 3 to toss

Got a few hours of sleep in me feeling better and ready for the madness to begin!

SGV also if GoGo is your neighbor go kick him in the backside and tell him to get to the track.
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05-01-2014 , 12:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Honcho
Starting some capping this evening for Oaks/Derby days if I am not competing in tournaments I will post my picks and will try to get up my PK4 or PK6 ticket to be fair to all itt and give you 3 to toss
I will post later as well Honcho. Let's get some $$$.

I have already cooked up a .50 pick-5 ending with a single on lucky number 13. Cost is $216. Interested to see your picks pal.
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05-01-2014 , 01:10 PM
so does every horse move down one post spot?
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05-01-2014 , 01:46 PM
no gogo not my neighbor hes rode for my close friend; his neighbors horse checkmate racing
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05-01-2014 , 01:50 PM
just took a quick look at the pp's. from what i see chitu and wildcat red gonna be the early speed. with a good break THE CHROME will sit right behind till go time. my brother says look out for espinoza in gate 5 to take THE CHROME wire to wire. i hope this isnt the case but he believes it. I think if he does, the west coast can show that true speed which will put chitu and chrome up 3 lenghts plus after the first turn and on their way.
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05-01-2014 , 02:12 PM
midwest i believe a horse can still get in
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05-01-2014 , 02:30 PM
So everyone outside of 10 draws in one.
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05-01-2014 , 06:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aphbig1371
Ok. Last year I liked Orb going into Derby week and he looked great at CD leading up to the race. In 2012 I liked Ill Have Another who also looked great at CD leading up to the Derby. My decisions were primarily picking runners underneath. Up to this week, my plan was to find runners for underneath CC. However, I am hearing allot of skepticism over the way CC has looked since his arrival in KY, combined with the uncertainty of him travelling in the first place and not having any major work over the track. In the favorites absence, I would be looking at Hopportunity, Dance with Fate, or Intense Holiday. Any thoughts on how CC looks in KY so far?
fwiw....I was hanging out at the farm yesterday a.m. and one of our vets showed up to xray one of the t-breds training there. at some point talk turned to the derby, and he (the vet) said he had talked to a vet school friend who works at cd, and word on the backside was that cal chrome wasn't looking all that great. heard good things about danza. additionally, I saw a video on drf this morning that was less than glowing about cal chrome.

now from my own point of view, I have been a little skeptical about chrome from a breeding and competition standpoint.

* all of his races run in socal
* 6 of 10 starts in restricted company (I think) 6 of 10 on poly/awt
* sa derby was impressive, but that track plays super fast most days it seems
* breeding is very suspect in my mind
* Espinosa is a decent enough rider, but not at the top of my list.(feel the same about maragh on wicked strong)

anyway I will be betting against, using some combo of intense holiday, samraat, medal count, and chrome underneath. along with another one or two.

which means California chrome will win by 10 lengths.

Last edited by jacksquat; 05-01-2014 at 06:46 PM.
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05-02-2014 , 10:07 AM
Churchill Downs - Friday

Race 1) 7 / 6 / 1,2,4
Race 2) 3 / 2,4,6,8
Race 3) 1,3,7,10,11
Race 4) 3,4,6,7,11,12,15
Race 5) 6 / 2,3
Race 6) 6,9 / 1,2,3,4,8
Race 7) 2,3,4,6,7,8,10
Race 8) 7 / 4,5,8,9,10
Race 9) 2,3,4,5,6
Race 10) 2 / 7
Race 11) 13 / 5
Race 12) 8 / 2,3,4,6

Good luck everybody. I will be sitting at my desk working on tomorrow's card.

Go Rosie in the opener. Let's get off to a good start. There is a light, cool breeze today at CD. Will gust to 20-25 mph tomorrow afternoon. Headwind in the stretch.
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05-02-2014 , 11:55 AM
Chrome doesn't seem to be handling the travel very well. Could be a terrible mistake by Sherman not bringing him over earlier. Judging by what I've seen the last couple days of gallops, he seems to get worked up very easily, constantly looking around. He just seems totally out of his element and unfocused, and I was all over this horse as of Monday. I don't even think they've let him truly stretch his legs out. Fully expecting him to run up the track at this point.

That leaves me with Danza as the horse to beat, he's very much reminded me of Animal Kingdom in his works leading into the derby. Not a big Bravo fan, but he should get a pretty comfortable spot early.

Will have some combo of Wicked Strong/Tapiture/Medal Count/Dance With Fate/Vinceremos!!....on the fence with Uncle Sigh and General a Rod
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05-02-2014 , 12:11 PM
Hi room. These will be my only plays friday. Good luck to all. Im on my phone cant add pic how to upload pic thanks
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05-02-2014 , 02:17 PM
My god, i think they mite have ran "Southern Honey" in the wrong race today. She should have been in today's 8th race instead of the 7th imo.
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05-02-2014 , 03:09 PM
$5 oaks/derby double 13/5 $2 2,4,9,11/5 $2 13/4,5,6,16,19,20
$5 derby pk3 13/1/5 0.50 2,4,7,9,11,13/1/4,5,6,16,19,20

$48.00 total lets see what happens and make it out of today
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05-02-2014 , 06:14 PM
Any1 else astonished to how well the gimmicks paid today for being chalky/wise guy horses winning the big ones? Obv i know its the greatest overpay day in the game, but im still shocked what the gimicks paid today...happily shocked
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05-02-2014 , 06:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sgvoak
$5 oaks/derby double 13/5 $2 2,4,9,11/5 $2 13/4,5,6,16,19,20
$5 derby pk3 13/1/5 0.50 2,4,7,9,11,13/1/4,5,6,16,19,20

$48.00 total lets see what happens and make it out of today
Were on the same #'s for the derby +14,15. My #'s are 4,5,6,14,15,16,19,20. Those r the only #'s il b using in the win slot
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05-02-2014 , 06:33 PM
I hold you all responsible for not telling me to cover Borel from the rail in the 10th. I had Golden Ticket. It looked golden. It cost me a 1.50 pick-5.

I was all around it today, hitting small and losing the potential biggies!
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05-02-2014 , 06:40 PM
Where can I see the will pay for the oaks woodford derby pick 3?
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05-02-2014 , 07:04 PM
$1 Will Pays for the 2014 Oaks/Derby Daily Double

#13 Untapable

Post
Horse
$1 Payoff
1 Vicar's In Trouble $71.20
2 Harry's Holiday $199.20
3 Uncle Sigh $121.90
4 Danza $22.30
5 California Chrome $5.70
6 Samraat $42.20
7 We Miss Artie $147.80
8 General A Rod $64.30
9 Vinceremos $152.70
10 Wildcat Red $64.60
11 Hoppertunity Scratch
12 Dance With Fate $41.40
13 Chitu $60.40
14 Medal Count $43.40
15 Tapiture $43.10
16 Intense Holiday $29.20
17 Commanding Curve $82.20
18 Candy Boy $50.70
19 Ride On Curlin $58.30
20 Wicked Strong $19.80
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05-02-2014 , 08:04 PM
Thanks for the will pays.
I have a couple exchanges for the wfrd p3 thru duh wDan to all. Kinda mirror the double I guess.
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05-02-2014 , 09:44 PM
Track is playing?
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05-02-2014 , 10:57 PM
I have 50$ to bet tomorrow. What should my strategy be as far as what bet or bets should I make
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05-03-2014 , 12:25 AM
Borrow ten more bucks. Then bet 10 $6 wheels x with xxx. Fill in any # for x
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05-03-2014 , 12:29 AM
getting my plays in early here. Orioles game is at 11AM my time tomorrow. :-)

(1) $5 WPS 12 ($15)
(2) $2 Ex Box 5-12-16 ($12)
(3) $1 Tri 5 with 12-16 with 6-12-14-16-19-20 ($10)
(4) $1 Tri 12-16 with 5-6-12-14-16-19-20 with 5-6-12-14-16-19-20 ($60)

Total = $97

i'm going Dance With Fate. Giving a look to Intense Holiday and CC, too.

When it goes Dance With Fate - Medal Count - Intense Holiday and I'm peeling off 5k, I'll be thinking about you guys. :-)

Good luck tomorrow, have fun!

Last edited by pdiggz; 05-03-2014 at 12:42 AM. Reason: lets try this again I'm dumb
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