Quote:
Originally Posted by aphbig1371
Ok. Last year I liked Orb going into Derby week and he looked great at CD leading up to the race. In 2012 I liked Ill Have Another who also looked great at CD leading up to the Derby. My decisions were primarily picking runners underneath. Up to this week, my plan was to find runners for underneath CC. However, I am hearing allot of skepticism over the way CC has looked since his arrival in KY, combined with the uncertainty of him travelling in the first place and not having any major work over the track. In the favorites absence, I would be looking at Hopportunity, Dance with Fate, or Intense Holiday. Any thoughts on how CC looks in KY so far?
fwiw....I was hanging out at the farm yesterday a.m. and one of our vets showed up to xray one of the t-breds training there. at some point talk turned to the derby, and he (the vet) said he had talked to a vet school friend who works at cd, and word on the backside was that cal chrome wasn't looking all that great. heard good things about danza. additionally, I saw a video on drf this morning that was less than glowing about cal chrome.
now from my own point of view, I have been a little skeptical about chrome from a breeding and competition standpoint.
* all of his races run in socal
* 6 of 10 starts in restricted company (I think) 6 of 10 on poly/awt
* sa derby was impressive, but that track plays super fast most days it seems
* breeding is very suspect in my mind
* Espinosa is a decent enough rider, but not at the top of my list.(feel the same about maragh on wicked strong)
anyway I will be betting against, using some combo of intense holiday, samraat, medal count, and chrome underneath. along with another one or two.
which means California chrome will win by 10 lengths.
Last edited by jacksquat; 05-01-2014 at 06:46 PM.