FAIRGROUNDS RACE 7 DFKenner150k Ungraded Stakes 6f Dirt 3yo & up

-CASH REFUND 2:1

One of the two Stephen Margolis speedsters, freshened after his 5yo debut where he scored at 4:5 posting a Bris figure of 103. In that race he was headed in the stretch and gamely pulled out a neck victory. 6 for 11 lifetime, the speedster will be involved from start to finish.

-EARLY RETURN 2:1

The other half of the entry, this one is a bit cheaper and may even be a "need the lead" type. Also freshened after 2011 debut and gets Bridgmohan. Loves the FG oval with 3 wins and 2 places in 5 starts. This entry will probably be something like 7/5.

-THREE DAY RUSH 10:1

Yet another Margolis runner but, this one isn't a Bertram & Klein charge. Second race off layoff and picks up Corey Lanerie. The sprints that he has been competitive in he has challenged for the lead. I believe it is in his best interest to sit off and rate a bit today. They thought something of his stamina during his 3yo campaign as Pletcher ran him in last year's Gotham.. so bottom isn't a question. I like him to stalk from the rail and get a minor award.

-NEW BAY 20:1

This one is a bit cheap.. a 40k claim by AC Avila. Avila takes him from Mike Mitchell and puts him directly into GI company! He gets beaten in two GI sprints and changes hands to Mike Chambers, who puts him on the shelf from Oct to Feb where he resurfaces in the Phoenix Handicap and goes off at 7:2 and is beaten. Now, under the tutelage of Michelle Lovell and second off layoff. Maybe in softer optional claiming spots? Pass.

-MAMBO GALLIANO 6:1

Love the consistency. Hate the frequent layoffs. This Black Mambo 5yo is always near the pace and could get caught up in the wash today. He does love the oval, with 2 wins and 4 places in 6 starts. I may regret using this guy today but, I just don't see any reason to think he can turn the tables on Early Return who defeated him last time out. The pace surely does not assist.

-RILEY TUCKER 7:2

Super fresh Asmussen 6yo. Lifetime earnings over half a million. Hasn't raced since the BC Sprint where he was a well beaten 9th but, was in contention mid-race and was mildly supported at 8:1. Ran a good second in the Vosburgh before that. Is form a question? Well, if the workout on March 19th is any indication, the answer is NO. He was best of 86 that morning, going 4f in :46 4/5 breezing. This one is my selection to run them down.

-BACKTALK 3:1

Fresh Thomas Amoss, Smarty Jones colt. Was beaten a neck by Cash Refund in his 4yo debut. This one has tons of upside, possibly more than any of the others but, hasn't visited the winner's circle since last Febuary and that was an off track at 1:2 odds. Cannot be ignored but, I wouldn't accept short odds in the win pool as the M/L suggests.

-SNAPSHOT 9:2

Bill Mott horse making 5yo debut here. A very solid sprinter, should be right in the mix. I cannot see him pulling away from these and getting any seperation but, I see him right there at the wire. Curious where Desormeaux will have him placed at the half mile, I hope it's about a length off of Cash Refund and maybe Kenny gets him up at a price.

These races are tough, had my first winner on the card last race with Presvis.

7th- Just not sure what to make of all these horses coming off significant layoffs to run a mile and a half. i know thats the way they roll overseas but I'm not adjusting well to it.
That being said I like #5 Redwood, seems to run well off a layoff and likes the distance. Just not sold on Champ Pegasus, and you always have to throw a Goldolphin runner in there so I also like #8 Rewilding.

8th- To me Gio Ponti and Twice Over are clear stick outs in this field. I absolutely despise Ramon Dominguez and think he comes up small on the big,big stage. So I have to agree with DC and go with #12 Twice Over and another horse I think has a shot to turn the tables on the 12 is #7 Musir, ran second to Skysurfers who won earlier on the card and second to Twice Over last out. Don't think he is as good as Twice Over, but if the latter has a misstep or doesn't run his race the #7 Musir could turn the tables on him. I think #1 Fly Down and #8 Gitano Hernando could come late for a piece and maybe round out the Tri and other exotics. Just my opinion.

As Always best of luck to all and peace.

His ears don't come up small.

Good reminder to the folks DC about show money. My man Kev is in his Saturday form,love it! What kind of crazy ex-mod superuser cheat code you use to get those boxes and colors...Not Fair! LOL....Up .60 cents on the card today ,BUT we have Gio here for $100 to Win. Simon great call on Ramon,everyone raves on him,and he has cost me $$ seems everytime i play NY,he is the only ? i have on Gio,because he shipped good and looked in terrific condition from the video i saw of him earlier in the week. I know despite rider,Gio gives his all everytime,and i respect the hell out of that.

Side note,cmon Florida today

LOL!! Needs to pin his ears back before riding. Aerodynamics, ftw!!

Nice $56 exacta last race pads the roll to blow up in the big one.

They are in my photobucket, feel free to use them!

WooHoo, ship it!

Let's go GIO!

What beautiful camera angles.. love it.

Gio Ponti ran 14 furlongs that race, lol.

Another butcher job by Ramon. I truly feel bad for Gio and his backers.

I would have never had the #6 so I don't feel bad but some ****ed up trips in this race.

Your absolutely right Kev. *** Ramon,never again! He will never be an elite rider. Watch the replay,before last turn was fighting Gio from doing what would of put him in a better inside position,ran him way to wide. Congrats to the winning connections.

And someone please shut that crying Btch up,my god.

Exactly Simon,exactly!

SPOT PLAY

I may not be around later to see the post time odds but, in the 8th at Turfway I like the #11 on the outside with McKee. Summer Soiree should bolt for the lead but, I like this one to sit just off and pounce at the top of the stretch. At 30:1 ML he's more than worth a play.

TURFWAY PARK race 8

$20 win and place

TOUCH SCREEN

ytd (-1,400)

Not sure what we learned yesterday from the races over seas,or at home. I thought M3 wins had he not thrown a shoe,and at this point it is anyones guess for the KY Derby. I know Zito is in love with Dialed In,and its rare he talks so strong,so i have him still as 1 of my tops. The Factor proved a lot winning at the added distance last week in the Rebel,and that front running style,along with Uncle Mo should be intresting if BB goes that route with TF.
Hope everyone cashes all day today,and GL.

Honcho

A couple of weeks back our part-time friend Nadj made a great point about a negative show pool for Uncle Mo down at GP. I just came across this article on DRF by Crist that i found eye opening,and complete BS by Xpressbet. I know when i do my capping i am always looking for an angle to exploit and turn a profit,that is our job so to speak. Now im not high on bridgejumping,but as i explained to Nadj that day he posted,that was about as safe a bridgejump with Uncle Mo as there has been to date this yr imo. If i remember correct he paid 2.10 2.10 2.10 for the win. Give the article a read fellas,and tell me your opinion on the matter......http://www.drf.com/news/time-show-be...t-they-deserve

Glad to see this ...Been there,keep fighting through it.......http://www.drf.com/news/eibar-coa-ta...iding-accident

just my opinion, but I think if I were him I would stop using Xpressbet. They aren't going to send him an email when his $10,000 bet comes in 4th, are they?

negative pools and automatic payouts are part of the game. Xpressbet has the right to send that email to him, don't get me wrong, but he also can find another place to take his business.

I'm glad I "donate my $$$" at twinspires and not at xpressbet

You got it Walk,that was my point in posting the article. I have used TS for a few yrs now,and couldnt be happier with their service(s). Wonder if he would of lost the 10k,if Xpressbet would of sent him an email describing the risks behind bridgejumping..... Riiiight

boredom has sunk in. here's a 50cent pk4 at CT, totaling $24.

R 6: 1,4,5,7,10,13
R 7: 3,6,7,9
R 8: 4,8
R 9: 3

Zenyatta with a miscarriage. Is this common? I hope it's nothing big...

http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...ory?id=6270667

Ya Walk,from what i read about it on DRF,this is not uncommon,still sad none the less. She is in good health though and is planned to be bred again asap.

I've been destroying the races the past 4 days (ran $400 to $7800 since Saturday 1pm). It's time to start sharing, which may in fact, signal the beginning of a wicked downswing.

Tampa 4th coming up, #11 Turn to Miller stunk as a 2-year old but has exploded since switching barns to Pecoraro. For my money, Ricardo Feliciano is the most underrated jockey in the park. #4 Kickin Key Lime, #9 Dual Indian, #7 In The Sweets look very good value underneath. I'm not blown away by the favorite #10 Snugglin Jo Jo, but you might have to use him as well.

Not super thrilled about the 4-5 favorite in the 5th. He's got the best figs but 4 races in 6 weeks and then got vet scratched at Gulfstream 9 days ago? Looks like a play against to me. I'll try #1 Roar As The Wynnd. First time Ness, w/ Morales at 4-1, 9/2.

The only other one that really worries me is the 8. Might play a 1,8/2,7 type deal in the exotics.

Philly Park 6th - #6 Surprise Seven looks tough, sitting at 7/2 right now. Grandpa Bud, 5/2 a Scott Lake colt that has runs good off the shelf is legit too. But there's a breeding angle hidden in here to watch out for. Bigstormrising (17-1 and drifting right now) should get an inside trip and his sire is Storm Center, not a particularly glamourous stallion but I know his offspring well and they tend to explode and make their most development at 4 years old. Third time out for Robert Seeger, He's worth a shot here.

So much for that angle. Keep swinging for those bombers though, they'll come in.

Tampa 6th. Only thing at a price I like is #2 Geraldine'sthunder.

Aqu 6th - #1 Cellu Muffler (currently 14-1) got back to his top pretty quick and looks to be on the improve. Only needs to improve a little more to be very competive here.

Nice call here Mets. Sorry i was not around today,family member in hospital,and had some personal errands to take care of. Like that your taking an active roll posting my man,and congrats on your wicked run