Once i thought i was out they pull me back in Took down the Ohio Derby Weekend Challenge on TS,there was 1 other tied me had to figure a few thousand were entered and not sure what i won yet i had to come brag on myself here first
Thanks JK got an email from Joe Kustelski cofounder of chalklinesports i guess they run the free play section of the tournaments and needed some info BUT won $500 for the 3 day tourney so hell i will take it.
Like TS new format a lot and finally almost all tracks HD big plus
Belmont has a really nice card for the 4th
5 graded stakes including 2 grade 1s
the 9th race, the Met Mile, at 5:47 will be televised by NBC
I always prefer watching on TV to my computer
this race features 3 Grade 1 winners battling it out - Vekoma, McKinzie, and Code of Honor
Vekoma and McKinzie are stalkers and Code of Honor is a closer
there's not a lot of speed in the race - looks like just Warrior's Charge out of post 8
but anyway, at least the big 3 should have a target
this race is a real winner to bet and to watch
some rain in the forecast - 15% - hopefully the track will be dry for this race
Keeneland has a very impressive card this Saturday that includes 6 graded stakes races
I'll be plunging on 2 of them in the secondary pools if I can get decent odds and it looks like I will get them
race 3, a long sprint, I like the closer Sally Curlin who was let go at 10/1 last race and that is her ML even though she won that race
she hit the gate off the break, then circled the field coming up 7 wide to get the win
in other races she has earned the extremely positive comments drew off with authority and closed fast
they let her go off so high I think because they figured her for a router and she got shortened up
I usually don't like closers but I think this may be a special horse and I find her irresistible
I usually don't bet based on breeding but her daddy was Curlin who was a great one
the likely odds on fave Guarana is a speedster who is very tough and a legit fave
there's 2 other speedsters who I'm hoping will wear her down as they duel for the lead
the 7th race is 3 year old fillies going 8.5 furlongs. all of them have graded stakes experience except Envoutante and I like her
she's sure to go off at good odds as they focus on the others of higher class
in her last race at the same distance she finished the last 2.5 furlongs in a little over 30 seconds which is very impressive for a 3 year old filly
Last edited by FallawayJumper; 07-09-2020 at 12:01 PM.
Baffert was suspended by the Arkansas Racing Commission and 2 of his horses' victories have been vacated
this is the first time that I'm aware of that racing's Golden Boy has been on the receiving end of a serious disciplinary action
from the article:
"Baffert has also caught the attention of regulators over the years. These are his 26th and 27th drug violations, according to public records compiled by the Association of Racetrack Commissioners International and the Thoroughbred Regulatory Rulings database maintained by the Jockey Club."
the big race Saturday, the Haskell, will be televised by ABC
I like the 2nd fave - Dr Post
I expect him to be in the money - with only a 7 horse field he should have room to close
post 1 is a concern - I guess Bravo will handle it
in their lone tries at 9 furlongs the sure to be fave Authentic lost ground in the stretch while Dr Post gained
I'm skeptical of speed figures - I note that Dr Post was more than 2 seconds faster at Belmont on a fast track then Authentic was at Santa Anita on a fast track at the same distance - I'm skeptical of final times too but mentioned it anyway
also hoping karma will keep Baffert out of the winner's circle
looks like a nice setup to have the name brand ranked horse Authentic over bet and letting Dr Post go off at decent odds
Monmouth is known as a speed favoring track so that will help Authentic and also cause him to get bet down
- you can't have everything
Last edited by FallawayJumper; 07-16-2020 at 11:09 AM.
my comment that Dr Post's final time in his last race was more than 2 seconds faster than Authentic's in his last race at the same distance was incorrect
Baffert's Gamine tested positive for Lidocaine in May
she ran again in June and I'm assuming he wasn't foolish enough to mess with her again
anyway, this Filly turned in a spectacular performance winning by more than 18 lengths and earning the top Beyer for all 3 year olds of 110 at the G1 mile at Belmont
she was only .31 off the track record for a mile at Belmont which is astonishing
Baffert may be prepping her for the Oaks - the question of course being can she handle longer distances
it's very exciting to see a filly who is this fast although I wish she wasn't a Baffert horse..................you can't have everything
I usually don't bet quarter horses but I did today - the Rudioso Downs quarter horse Derby
it was fun to see that raw speed
they just bolt out of the gate as fast as they can - all of them - and as fast as they can the whole race - 400 yards
what a trip
4 fillies and 6 colts in the race on a muddy track
I don't know a lot about quarter horse racing but I'm thinking that males don't have an advantage as they do in thoroughbred racing
Last edited by FallawayJumper; 07-25-2020 at 07:38 PM.
very entertaining
American Pharoah filly Reframe wins a 2 year old race in Japan despite: going so far wide she almost hit the outside rail.......................truly incredible
Horse betting has to be the biggest racket. I hit a saratoga pick 4 this weekend after what I felt was a solid single on an unproven horse in a graded stake race (went off at 2/5).
pick 4 pays $223 which is comical. I go semi deep in 3 legs and somehow find a price at 17-1 minus the fact irad was on horse and im sure people used the horse but i just don't understand how a p4 pays so small even with a simple logical single.
I just wonder what the secret is to get a big pick 4/5 payout. Who the heck are these people that are hitting 20-40k pick 5s at saratoga LMAO. I get irritated bc I like to single chalk and it always seems that any big favorite chalk winning kills payout of a pick4. I'm not a fan of spending $100-200 on a ticket to spread when it chalks out and pays small also.
I wanna single longer shots in races however it irritates me when they lose and you lose a ticket due to a risky single. Just wondering what people have for strat with p4s? I tend to pay multiple tickets / or will pay one ticket that is pricey (say $60-200)- I feel most people go cheap on p4s like $20-50 but just wondering if anyone here wants to go over their strat.
how about the dude that hit it 50 times playing a 1x2x4x1x1 ticket.
singles a 10-1 longshot and gets her home then just punches the ticks multiple times.
only fav in the sequence was the last leg.
no doubt good cappin but so much has to break your way to cash these things
PS if that horse was Volitile that's what killed your price.
everyone was looking at that as a free square some delusionals on the radio were saying how he would not go below ML odds of 4/5 that was just crazy.
Whitmore's best days were in the rear view and Firenze fire is trying to come back and is a much better Belmont than toga horse.
Plus a late gate scratch of the longest shot on the board did not help consolations etc
x
I just wonder what the secret is to get a big pick 4/5 payout. Who the heck are these people that are hitting 20-40k pick 5s at saratoga LMAO.
fading chalky singles. saratoga is so hard. with the larger field sizes i'd say toga P4s are harder to hit than belmont P5s, and playing the P5 isn't going to be profitable on non-carryover days.