Thanks. The Fantasy Golf Bag podcast threw his name out there. Many of the approach shots this week are going to be from 150-200 and he's fantastic at hitting those within 18 feet.
Now, can he keep up his putting?
It's be better if he wasn't losing Stokes off the Tee.
Not sure, this wind is absolutely nuts. I've definitely not taken it into consideration enough this week, have a few tweaks for the overall strat for next week which I'll post with the picks.
How lol bad was Thomas at 6.0 in a 150 person tournament. It's just so obviously wow bad, but I feel like I need someone else to be as shocked as I am!
Sabbys price really cooled off lately, back to value town. Eyes on Knox and Grillo coming up, too.
I did one main lineup and got 6/6 through the cut, but it fizzled out late Sunday night.
Morikawa, Im, Ortiz, Grillo, Vaughan Taylor, and Berger
My other lineups didn't do awful, but didn't have the potential that one had, since everyone was making crazy birdies early in their rounds Sunday. Sadly, bogeys/doubles/others late dashed my hopes of a good profit.
So a slight adjustment to my overall strategy. Lately I've been so bogged down by finding the absolute best price available on everyone, that I've neglected taking good terms on the each way bets. I'm going to take slightly worse prices where it makes sense, bet a little more, and prioritise taking 20% 1-8 or 1-7 for the most part. I'll only take 25% 1-5 if the price is an outlier.
Firing both events this week, so a mega brick will be no good for the profit tally.
The American Express
SungJae Im @19.0 (2.0 units) 20% 1-7
Ben An @26.0 (1.1 units) 20% 1-8
Sabbatini @67.0 (0.6 units) 20% 1-7
Cameron Davis @101.0 (0.4 units) 20% 1-8
I think Cameron Davis is a good pick up this week, T9 last week in Hawaii and T3 at the Australian open the week before.
There's likely going to be a very low winning score this week, so really not a bad time to fire some more long shots, though I only have the one. SungJae is getting alarmingly expensive for a guy who hasn't won yet on the PGA tour.
Nothing fancy here, just the usual suspects, though I was tempted by Fitzpatrick and Willet. Interesting to see how much Wallace's price (rightfully) has dropped since last year, he's as high as 56.0 for this tournament.
Tough week, Wiesberger only came in for 1/4 of an each way in Abu Dhabi after being 1 shot back going into Sunday and Davis and Im fell apart for my each way sweats in California.
Probably my biggest fire and biggest brick to date, life ban for Dechambeau!
Just saw them. Much appreciated. I'll adjust my thinking.
Wait. Just rechecked. I think you were looking at Post #1 (last year's costs). Post #31 is this year's costs.
I'm in the lowest price pool ($150/team). There is a higher one (I think $500 a team, but way different rules). Like cap is 50, max 8 guys or something like that.
I agree that the farmers picks are better than the euro tour, I was a bit all over the place in Dubai. I had RafaCB at 41.0, Wiesberger at 31.0 and Perez at 34.0 pegged on Monday, but hesitated and the prices got zapped as money came in so I had to rework it.
Palmer really bombed day 4. Surprisingly my cash lineup on FD that had 4/6 still cashed everything pretty easy. Wish there was more golf action on FD tho
DK Cash good too but tournaments best score was ~484.5 (one hole remaining from Palmer and a horrible day 3 from Horschel +8) for ~2200nd
How do you win these big 100k tournaments? Just need 6/6 and basically get the top 6 golfers and hope they all hit eagles and have birdie streaks?
For cash line generally 4/6 is good and 3/6 with 3 top 10s should get you there.
For gpp, you always need 6/6 plus at least multiple guys in top 10 if not outright winner - this is why so much emphasis is on the cheap guys because getting a top 10 from McIlroy is expected but when Chez Reavie or Bronson Burgoon do it that's what wins those things.
Took a 0.25 unit stale price last night on Lieshman @ 4.65 for a small overall loss this week. Kitayama came in for the e/w on the nose, but it was looking like a repeat of Wiesberger starting Sunday 1 back and not placing for a while.
Farmers was overall disappointing, Morikawa lost his head and had a +6 stretch in 4 holes on the back 9 on Saturday which killed the biggest sweat. Champ had a nightmare out of the bunkers on Sunday, his stats from 2019 don't look good: (SAND SAVE PERCENTAGE 37.04% 188TH)
Onto the next one!
Weekly profit -0.9 units Total profit + 24.55 units