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Old 01-10-2021, 10:03 AM   #1901
ligastar
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by failedlurker View Post
we fading JT tomorrow? canít be sleeping well
I've googled and no article is reporting the exact words he said. Did you hear it? If so, can you DM what he said.

kthx
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Old 01-10-2021, 10:34 AM   #1902
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

https://twitter.com/DustyBurlap/stat...731633665?s=20

Think it’s “I’m a f_____”. Anyway the F word is clear.
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Old 01-10-2021, 11:17 AM   #1903
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

^^^

thx fl
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Old 01-10-2021, 12:55 PM   #1904
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

He has apologized. And as JT backer this week I would all like to apologize to all the communities I may have offended for the various expletives I have uttered while watching him this play this week.
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Old 01-15-2021, 06:51 PM   #1905
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Mike Wier may be the best 50+ left handed golfer alive right now.
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Old 01-19-2021, 11:57 PM   #1906
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Is there a general formula for deriving matchup prices from "to win" odds?
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Old 01-20-2021, 01:11 PM   #1907
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I wouldn't recommend that approach. For starters MU markets are more efficient than outright and the two things are not apples to apples either.
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Old 01-20-2021, 06:32 PM   #1908
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

thats the old tony special for setting lines

rip homie
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Old 01-20-2021, 08:03 PM   #1909
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Is there a general formula for deriving matchup prices from "to win" odds?

you would be better off going in the other direction.
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Old 01-21-2021, 07:34 PM   #1910
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

How sharp are Pinnacle's matchup lines? Can I feel comfortable if I'm beating them at closing that my prices were fine?
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Old 01-21-2021, 09:18 PM   #1911
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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How sharp are Pinnacle's matchup lines? Can I feel comfortable if I'm beating them at closing that my prices were fine?
https://datagolf.com/analyzing-betting-odds


yes
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Old 01-21-2021, 09:36 PM   #1912
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Perfect. Thanks.
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Old 01-23-2021, 02:23 AM   #1913
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Is the European Tour not publishing their shot tracker info? I saw sigs tweet about play by play but went to go find it on the website haven't turned up anything on the leaderboard like how the PGA Tour works.
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Old 01-23-2021, 08:13 AM   #1914
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

they don't publish it until after the round

can get it during from bet365 live in-play tracker

b365 paid for the technology IIRC so i'm guessing it's some exclusive window they have

for the round go to the stats tab

https://www.europeantour.com/europea...ip-2021/stats/

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 01-23-2021 at 08:19 AM.
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Old 01-23-2021, 01:35 PM   #1915
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Thank you. I must have clicked on every page of the ET website and felt like a dunce that I couldn't find the shot level data you tweeted out anywhere there. Appreciate it.
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Old 01-24-2021, 08:11 PM   #1916
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

golf is the worst. quit now

**** tony finau, patrick cantlay, cameron davis, retief goosen, rory mcilroy, and nelly korda
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Old 01-24-2021, 09:16 PM   #1917
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
golf is the worst. quit now

**** tony finau, patrick cantlay, cameron davis, retief goosen, rory mcilroy, and nelly korda
Yeah I had 100k riding on Cameron Davis. Would have been nice.
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Old 01-24-2021, 09:29 PM   #1918
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Retief Goosen?
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Old 01-24-2021, 10:06 PM   #1919
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Retief Goosen?
olds. dominated day 1. sucked day 2.

then lost in day 3 to a guy who was using a cart because he can't walk and ripping a vape the entire time.
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Old 01-25-2021, 12:10 AM   #1920
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i did have the highlight of my golf career today tho. splitting a 1k showdown with golf legend brettfavre444

he won because he's the best, but coming in 2nd with the big boys is a big morale boost.

and we won the $777 single entry by 52 pts. but are too much of pussies to enter the dome so cost ourselves too much.
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Old 01-25-2021, 03:39 PM   #1921
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Hey guys is there a simplified approach for sizing bets as a fraction of the uncorrelated kelly when betting the same person across win/top5/10/20 markets? Not sure how necessary some player level correlation is or if just a general rule of thumb gets you almost all the way there, any help would be great
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Old 01-31-2021, 05:04 PM   #1922
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

iowa! is that guys name who starts with a C really this bad at showdown? he just plays the DG optimal every slate.

if i knew this from the start we could have been crushing 1/2 every week instead of trying to yolo into a million. i'm at 40k+ just from him since the year re-started
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Old 02-01-2021, 11:54 AM   #1923
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I don't think he is that bad but I wouldn't be risking 150k every week if I didn't think the games were beatable. You should live some life and play the heavy hitter this week.
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Old 02-01-2021, 01:37 PM   #1924
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

seems high variance
just gonna jam multiple 1-2ks every slate against the same people
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Old 02-01-2021, 02:14 PM   #1925
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

26.2 tw 100 isn't that bad. Just sell some $GME or a property if you get off to a rough start. Scared money dun make money.
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