Quote:
Originally Posted by yak merchant
General observation is that cut percentage seems to be clustered too close to middle (50%) the top tier average over 80% every year. Cantlay, Finau, Morikawa, Horschel, Schauffele, Hovland, Wolff, Chez all seem to have cut percentages way too low. You may have some SG stats that are ahead of the game, but can’t see all of those having cut percentages so low compared to their historical averages.
this is very helpful, for a lot of those guys it's indeed naturally over 80% or even 90% sometimes
I've been manipulating it a bit to level the field so to speak to avoid those wacky distributions because I almost never see cut projections above 70% despite the overwhelming evidence higher rates are sustainable because you almost always see cut projections range from 40-60% for the entire field
feel kind of dumb now, since I knew those projections were hot garbage and thus why i want to make my own but for some reason put in arbitrary levelers to better reflect the sort of distributions they often end up with
I'm super happy you pointed that out, loving the input from everyone here