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Old Yesterday, 07:30 AM   #1651
4BetBoke
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Anyone else ready for SungJae season 2? Hard not to see Webb doing something this week, so doing a rain dance and hoping his putter isn't on fire instead of taking him at 11.

English @29.0 (1.15 units) 20% 1-8
SungJae @36.0 (1.05 units) 20% 1-8

Sabbatini @71.0 (0.45 units) 20% 1-8
Varner @81.0 (0.4 units) 20% 1-8

Todd top 20 @3.0 (1.1 units)
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Old Yesterday, 09:53 AM   #1652
deltasum2
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by deltasum2 View Post
Gonna try keep records

0-2 -2.6u

Outright

-0.75u

Majors outright

Rahm +1400 0.25u
Leishman +11050 0.10u
Finau +6000 0.05u

Matchups

Thompson > Poston +112
Fitzpatrick > Scott -148
Im > Lowry +101
Finau > Hovland - 128
Rahm > Thomas +121

Also dk pricing seems insane to me but I don't play that much, Fleetwood under 8k seems nuts to me.
Outrights 0-3
YTD -1.15u

Matchups 2-3 -1.27u
YTD- 2-5 -3.87u

RD4 matchups- 1-2 -1.04u
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Old Yesterday, 10:05 AM   #1653
deltasum2
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Not seeing much value in any of the short/medium favorites just some lol long shots.

Outrights

Dufner- +25000 0.05u
Furyk- +9000 0.1u

Matchups

Fleetwood> Koepka -110
Poston>Henley -120
Snedaker> Garcia +130
English> Im -110
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Old Yesterday, 10:18 AM   #1654
El Sueno
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by Elves View Post
Imagine you talking about something you know zero about. I'm one of the top golf experts in the world, and I know what the narratives are, which ones are false, and which ones have merit. Any true expert will agree with me. Take for instance the 12th hole at Augusta last year when Tiger won. Not a single one of those guys in contention, Koepka, Poulter, Finau, or the leader Molinari had done any reading on the history of the Masters. If they had , they would have known the multiple reasons why you don't go at that pin.

One after another they went into the water, in the exact spot that everyone goes into the water there. Tiger knew what he was doing, knew the history of the Masters, recognized the situation, and played over the left bunker, almost guaranteeing a short put for par. The moment his tee shot landed on the green everyone watching, and every player realized what wheels were in motion, and what was by far the most likely result....Tiger winning the Masters and climbing the impossible mountain.

Stick to topics you understand. I am an expert on golf, golf betting, elections, election betting, as well as finance, beauty, psychology, and human systems. For instance, Kamala Harris, the current favorite to be Biden's VP, has zero chance. Zero. I've explained it in the election betting thread. It is zero, even though she is even money. She simply never gets chosen by Biden. Ever.
Do you have tomorrow’s lottery numbers?
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Old Yesterday, 10:52 AM   #1655
deltasum2
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Don't feed the trolls.
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Old Yesterday, 04:19 PM   #1656
Kurn, son of Mogh
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Elves View Post

Stick to topics you understand. I am an expert on golf, golf betting, elections, election betting, as well as finance, beauty, psychology, and human systems. For instance, Kamala Harris, the current favorite to be Biden's VP, has zero chance. Zero. I've explained it in the election betting thread. It is zero, even though she is even money. She simply never gets chosen by Biden. Ever.
Depends on how you define *never* LOL "expert"
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Old Yesterday, 10:20 PM   #1657
twoblack9s
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Elves View Post
Stick to topics you understand. I am an expert on golf, golf betting, elections, election betting, as well as finance, beauty, psychology, and human systems. For instance, Kamala Harris, the current favorite to be Biden's VP, has zero chance. Zero. I've explained it in the election betting thread. It is zero, even though she is even money. She simply never gets chosen by Biden. Ever.
Well, this certainly did not age well and your claim that you are an expert on elections and election betting certainly lost merit. But that's alright, because you are still an expert on many other non related subjects, such as finance and beauty.
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Old Today, 04:04 AM   #1658
yak merchant
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I have met a few experts in a few specific areas in my life, nothing so general as "human systems", but to a man (or woman) the more they know the more they understand they don't know. And I would venture they would have to be coaxed to admitting they are an expert in anything. So while I wish this was the best troll job of all time I think this has gone from the best example of Dunning-Kruger in 8 fields to flat out delusional basement dwelling dude with weird middle name future serial killer territory. Nevertheless, as nobody in the gambling world has ever been impressed with red boarding, I'm going to not wait until Sunday afternoon to pontificate, and go ahead throw out my nescient attempt at a future pick with Harris English at +2938.
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Old Today, 04:06 AM   #1659
Dreadnaught
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

^lol
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Old Today, 05:52 AM   #1660
rickroll
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

who needs sigs, we got the hero we need in yak merchant
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Old Today, 01:08 PM   #1661
rickroll
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Rank Name
1 Webb Simpson
2 Patrick Reed
3 Sungjae Im
4 Harris English
5 Paul Casey
6 Billy Horschel
7 Joaquin Niemann
8 Brooks Koepka
9 Sergio Garcia
10 Ryan Moore
11 Tommy Fleetwood
12 Jordan Spieth
13 Charles Howell III
14 Chez Reavie
15 Brian Harman
16 Corey Conners
17 Justin Rose
18 Kevin Kisner
19 J.T. Poston
20 Russell Henley
21 Carlos Ortiz
22 Pat Perez
23 Jim Furyk
24 Rory Sabbatini
25 Bud Cauley
26 Brendon Todd
27 Harold Varner III
28 Brandt Snedeker
29 Lucas Glover
30 Talor Gooch
31 Dylan Frittelli
32 Adam Long
33 Zach Johnson
34 Shane Lowry
35 Henrik Norlander
36 Brice Garnett
37 Patrick Rodgers
38 Sebastian Munoz
39 Maverick McNealy
40 Doc Redman
41 Adam Schenk
42 Denny McCarthy
43 Luke List
44 Jhonattan Vegas
45 Scott Stallings
46 Christiaan Bezuidenhout
47 Sepp Straka
48 Jason Kokrak
49 Brian Stuard
50 Ryan Armour
51 Russell Knox
52 Cameron Davis
53 Tom Lewis
54 Sam Burns
55 Mark Hubbard
56 Kyle Stanley
57 Sam Ryder
58 Chesson Hadley
59 Branden Grace
60 Charley Hoffman
61 Matt Jones
62 Matthew NeSmith
63 Stewart Cink
64 Scott Piercy
65 Chase Seiffert
66 Nate Lashley
67 Bronson Burgoon
68 Tim Wilkinson
69 Tom Hoge
70 Nick Watney
71 Rafa Cabrera Bello
72 Cameron Percy
73 Aaron Wise
74 Chris Kirk
75 Troy Merritt
76 Austin Cook
77 Peter Uihlein
78 Jason Dufner
79 Seamus Power
80 Josh Teater
81 Brian Gay
82 Aaron Baddeley
83 Tyler Duncan
84 Danny Lee
85 Harry Higgs
86 Bill Haas
87 Andrew Landry
88 Fabian Gomez
89 Xinjun Zhang
90 Si Woo Kim
91 Bo Hoag
92 Wyndham Clark
93 Graeme McDowell
94 David Hearn
95 Mark Anderson
96 Kyoung-Hoon Lee
97 Beau Hossler
98 Charl Schwartzel
99 D.J. Trahan
100 Kiradech Aphibarnrat
101 Matt Wallace
102 Will Gordon
103 J.J. Spaun
104 Sung Kang
105 Luke Donald
106 Joseph Bramlett
107 Chris Baker
108 C.T. Pan
109 Keith Mitchell
110 Ben Martin
111 Robby Shelton
112 Brandon Hagy
113 Wesley Bryan
114 Anirban Lahiri
115 Kramer Hickok
116 Danny Willett
117 Scott Brown
118 Peter Malnati
119 Patton Kizzire
120 Chris Stroud
121 Kristoffer Ventura
122 Ryan Brehm
123 Robert Streb
124 Doug Ghim
125 Scott Harrington
126 Rob Oppenheim
127 Kevin Tway
128 Tyler McCumber
129 Roger Sloan
130 Ben Taylor
131 Zac Blair
132 Michael Gligic
133 Hank Lebioda
134 Arjun Atwal
135 Michael Gellerman
136 Rhein Gibson
137 Matthias Schwab
138 Grayson Murray
139 Ted Potter, Jr.
140 Vincent Whaley
141 Jim Herman
142 Sebastian Cappelen
143 Davis Love III
144 Carl Pettersson
145 Matt Every
146 Greg Chalmers
147 John Senden
148 Nelson Ledesma
149 Bo Van Pelt
150 Michael Kim
151 Vince Covello
152 Akshay Bhatia
153 Martin Trainer
154 David Berganio, Jr.

going to try running some sims but probably won't have em this week
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Old Today, 01:51 PM   #1662
4BetBoke
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I added Long yday (0.35 units). Picks looking good based on your numbers RickRoll.

Been struggling on wheter or not to add Niemann this week
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Old Today, 04:59 PM   #1663
Precept24
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I can't stand that there are so many guys I don't have stats for. Makes it tough to run my 500 sims.
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