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Old 07-31-2020, 09:08 AM   #1551
rickroll
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

oh dear lord, i take it to mean that's the only one you like

as always heavily appreciate the input/criticism
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Old 07-31-2020, 09:37 AM   #1552
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Not going to weigh in unless I feel strongly about something, and I only had two bets for R2 at Bookmaker. 30c lines and R2 is by far the worst round for betting. Difficult.
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Old 07-31-2020, 10:54 AM   #1553
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Lol Paul Casey
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Old 07-31-2020, 11:02 AM   #1554
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

He has a had a hell of a time playing out of greenside bunkers on par 3s in the second round the last couple of weeks
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Old 07-31-2020, 11:04 AM   #1555
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
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Not going to weigh in unless I feel strongly about something, and I only had two bets for R2 at Bookmaker. 30c lines and R2 is by far the worst round for betting. Difficult.
why not put in real volume there and get 24 cent lines and access to them before they're released to the public?
are you poor?

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Old 07-31-2020, 11:44 AM   #1556
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Brooks on the par 4 #2 (I don't hate)

Shot 6 in the hole
Shot 5 putt 6 ft 8 in., 3 ft 1 in. to hole
Shot 4 putt 7 ft 2 in., 3 ft 8 in. to hole
Shot 3 57 ft 3 in. to green, 3 ft 3 in. to hole
Shot 2 94 yds to left fairway, 53 ft 9 in. to hole
Shot 1 298 yds to fairway bunker, 110 yds to hole
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Old 07-31-2020, 11:54 AM   #1557
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Casey you just missed your ride to mars where the atmosphere allows 7's on par 3's
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Old 07-31-2020, 12:15 PM   #1558
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
why not put in real volume there and get 24 cent lines and access to them before they're released to the public?
are you poor?

I bet more than you do so don't think that's it. Congrats on clearing out the inbox. Took longer than I expected.
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Old 07-31-2020, 05:56 PM   #1559
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

So Sigs and Rufus work for Bookmaker
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Old 08-01-2020, 09:39 AM   #1560
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

RD3

like a lot
An>Reavie +100
Im>Fitzpatrick +103
Kuchar>Berger +108


like a little
Landry>Li -106
Simpson>Day -136
Streelman>Oosthuizen -117

clicking buttons
Palmer>Willet -125
Dahmen>Hughes -117
Hatton>Conners -130
Bezuidenhout>Taylor +102
fowler>todd -142

Last edited by rickroll; 08-01-2020 at 09:50 AM.
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Old 08-01-2020, 12:15 PM   #1561
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Fitzpatrick is gaining > 2 strokes putting on average of the last 10 rounds and over 3.5 the past 5 rounds. He is a +1 putter for the entire year but how long can his heater last?
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Old 08-01-2020, 01:37 PM   #1562
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Call me nuts, but I think Ben An might not implode this week
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Old 08-01-2020, 06:04 PM   #1563
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Call me nuts, but I think Ben An might not implode this week
I wouldn't hate that. I didn't realize I had some decent An volume. LFG!!!!!!!!!!!

Maybe Keegan Bradley can put up a 65.
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Old 08-01-2020, 06:12 PM   #1564
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Hot putter continued for Fitz and Todd (thankfully he missed the 8 footer on 18)
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Old 08-02-2020, 08:33 AM   #1565
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Looking ahead to the PGA at TPC Harding Park, that course looks narrow. And for 7232 yards (which seems short), there are 7 par 4s over 460. 2 par 4s under 350, though.

IMO, accuracy OTT and proximity/GIR 175-200 & 200-225 will play a big role in my simulations. Also, the fact that the course looks like it will play long means I have to include OTT-Distance and SG-ARG. I rarely weight SG-P heavily, but the greens also look difficult.
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Old 08-02-2020, 08:47 AM   #1566
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

don't really like any that much to be honest but gonna click them buttons for hamburger stakes

like a lot
Finau>DeChambeua +110
Kuchar>Watson -126
EVR>Homa -111

like a little
Fowler>Koepka +107
Simpson>Fitzpatrick -128
Lowry>Lewis -129
Im>Scheffler -112
Johnson>Berger -114

button clicking
Leishman>Kang -152
Morikawa>Horschel -126
Ancer>Poston -156
Bradley>Stenson -111
Streelman>Kokrak -124
Fleetwood>McIlroy +134
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Old 08-02-2020, 12:09 PM   #1567
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Paul Casey failed to blow up on a Par 3 today. Dafuq??????
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Old 08-02-2020, 12:21 PM   #1568
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Except for Sneds the bottom 15 players are all non Americans, that's pretty interesting.

Have two matchplays today

Hadwin > Wiesberger @ -110
Woodland > Bobby Mac @-139

Lets just hope Ben An's work with Brad Faxon pays off today, wouldn't be beyond shock if I don't catch the top 7 place though.
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Old 08-02-2020, 12:22 PM   #1569
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Paul Casey failed to blow up on a Par 3 today. Dafuq??????
Finding some form yday and today so we all fire him for PGA next week
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Old 08-02-2020, 02:08 PM   #1570
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

its about 0-3 club pros that make the cut each year at the PGA right. Anybody have the actual numbers?
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Old 08-02-2020, 05:11 PM   #1571
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

How much are we losing fading Brooks next week? Can't believe he's listed as the favorite in most places next week
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Old 08-02-2020, 08:34 PM   #1572
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I think I might go down another rabbit hole. This golfer has difficulty getting off the tee, but has improved. He has been gaining strokes on approach. He is a great putter who hasn't gained a ton of strokes putting lately.

Spoiler:
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Old 08-03-2020, 08:38 AM   #1573
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

The week looked awful for Thursday and Friday. Then, my core of JT, Palmer, Conners, Webb, Deki, and Streelman came back big time on Saturday. Sunday had its ups and downs. I could've had a little profit, but guys faded on 18 (Streelman, Conners, Deki, and Webb all bogeyed one of the last 2).

Lost about 9% overall. Not awful.
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Old 08-03-2020, 03:27 PM   #1574
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

The gap between autistic models and market/reality on Koepka must mean it's a major week. Data Golf has him at 2.3%, Boomaker.eu powered by Rufus and RSigley has him listed at +1116.
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Old 08-03-2020, 07:58 PM   #1575
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i have him less than 2%

it's amazing how off books are with to wins but betting against koepka in h2h's have no value. it's almost like they're trying to trick people into making bad bets
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