Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread - Page 63 - Sports Betting

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07-31-2020 , 09:08 AM

#1551

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,496

oh dear lord, i take it to mean that's the only one you like

as always heavily appreciate the input/criticism

Quote

07-31-2020 , 09:37 AM

#1552

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

Not going to weigh in unless I feel strongly about something, and I only had two bets for R2 at Bookmaker. 30c lines and R2 is by far the worst round for betting. Difficult.

Quote

07-31-2020 , 10:54 AM

#1553

4BetBoke

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568

Lol Paul Casey

Quote

07-31-2020 , 11:02 AM

#1554

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

He has a had a hell of a time playing out of greenside bunkers on par 3s in the second round the last couple of weeks

Quote

07-31-2020 , 11:04 AM

#1555

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Quote:

Originally Posted by Iowa!

Not going to weigh in unless I feel strongly about something, and I only had two bets for R2 at Bookmaker. 30c lines and R2 is by far the worst round for betting. Difficult.

why not put in real volume there and get 24 cent lines and access to them before they're released to the public?
are you poor?

Quote

07-31-2020 , 11:44 AM

#1556

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Brooks on the par 4 #2 (I don't hate)

Shot 6 in the hole
Shot 5 putt 6 ft 8 in., 3 ft 1 in. to hole
Shot 4 putt 7 ft 2 in., 3 ft 8 in. to hole
Shot 3 57 ft 3 in. to green, 3 ft 3 in. to hole
Shot 2 94 yds to left fairway, 53 ft 9 in. to hole
Shot 1 298 yds to fairway bunker, 110 yds to hole

Quote

07-31-2020 , 11:54 AM

#1557

Dreadnaught

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,875

Casey you just missed your ride to mars where the atmosphere allows 7's on par 3's

Quote

07-31-2020 , 12:15 PM

#1558

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

why not put in real volume there and get 24 cent lines and access to them before they're released to the public?
are you poor?

I bet more than you do so don't think that's it. Congrats on clearing out the inbox. Took longer than I expected.

Quote

07-31-2020 , 05:56 PM

#1559

Sabaneta

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,175

So Sigs and Rufus work for Bookmaker

Quote

08-01-2020 , 09:39 AM

#1560

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,496

RD3

like a lot
An>Reavie +100
Im>Fitzpatrick +103
Kuchar>Berger +108

like a little
Landry>Li -106
Simpson>Day -136
Streelman>Oosthuizen -117

clicking buttons
Palmer>Willet -125
Dahmen>Hughes -117
Hatton>Conners -130
Bezuidenhout>Taylor +102
fowler>todd -142

Last edited by rickroll; 08-01-2020 at 09:50 AM.

Quote

08-01-2020 , 12:15 PM

#1561

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

Fitzpatrick is gaining > 2 strokes putting on average of the last 10 rounds and over 3.5 the past 5 rounds. He is a +1 putter for the entire year but how long can his heater last?

Quote

08-01-2020 , 01:37 PM

#1562

4BetBoke

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568

Call me nuts, but I think Ben An might not implode this week

Quote

08-01-2020 , 06:04 PM

#1563

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Quote:

Originally Posted by 4BetBoke

Call me nuts, but I think Ben An might not implode this week

I wouldn't hate that. I didn't realize I had some decent An volume. LFG!!!!!!!!!!!

Maybe Keegan Bradley can put up a 65.

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08-01-2020 , 06:12 PM

#1564

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

Hot putter continued for Fitz and Todd (thankfully he missed the 8 footer on 18)

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08-02-2020 , 08:33 AM

#1565

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Looking ahead to the PGA at TPC Harding Park, that course looks narrow. And for 7232 yards (which seems short), there are 7 par 4s over 460. 2 par 4s under 350, though.

IMO, accuracy OTT and proximity/GIR 175-200 & 200-225 will play a big role in my simulations. Also, the fact that the course looks like it will play long means I have to include OTT-Distance and SG-ARG. I rarely weight SG-P heavily, but the greens also look difficult.

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08-02-2020 , 08:47 AM

#1566

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,496

don't really like any that much to be honest but gonna click them buttons for hamburger stakes

like a lot
Finau>DeChambeua +110
Kuchar>Watson -126
EVR>Homa -111

like a little
Fowler>Koepka +107
Simpson>Fitzpatrick -128
Lowry>Lewis -129
Im>Scheffler -112
Johnson>Berger -114

button clicking
Leishman>Kang -152
Morikawa>Horschel -126
Ancer>Poston -156
Bradley>Stenson -111
Streelman>Kokrak -124
Fleetwood>McIlroy +134

Quote

08-02-2020 , 12:09 PM

#1567

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Paul Casey failed to blow up on a Par 3 today. Dafuq??????

Quote

08-02-2020 , 12:21 PM

#1568

4BetBoke

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568

Except for Sneds the bottom 15 players are all non Americans, that's pretty interesting.

Have two matchplays today

Hadwin > Wiesberger @ -110
Woodland > Bobby Mac @-139

Lets just hope Ben An's work with Brad Faxon pays off today, wouldn't be beyond shock if I don't catch the top 7 place though.

Quote

08-02-2020 , 12:22 PM

#1569

4BetBoke

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568

Quote:

Originally Posted by Precept24

Paul Casey failed to blow up on a Par 3 today. Dafuq??????

Finding some form yday and today so we all fire him for PGA next week

Quote

08-02-2020 , 02:08 PM

#1570

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

its about 0-3 club pros that make the cut each year at the PGA right. Anybody have the actual numbers?

Quote

08-02-2020 , 05:11 PM

#1571

fortisque

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 217

How much are we losing fading Brooks next week? Can't believe he's listed as the favorite in most places next week

Quote

08-02-2020 , 08:34 PM

#1572

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

I think I might go down another rabbit hole. This golfer has difficulty getting off the tee, but has improved. He has been gaining strokes on approach. He is a great putter who hasn't gained a ton of strokes putting lately.

Spoiler:

Quote

08-03-2020 , 08:38 AM

#1573

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

The week looked awful for Thursday and Friday. Then, my core of JT, Palmer, Conners, Webb, Deki, and Streelman came back big time on Saturday. Sunday had its ups and downs. I could've had a little profit, but guys faded on 18 (Streelman, Conners, Deki, and Webb all bogeyed one of the last 2).

Lost about 9% overall. Not awful.

Quote

08-03-2020 , 03:27 PM

#1574

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

The gap between autistic models and market/reality on Koepka must mean it's a major week. Data Golf has him at 2.3%, Boomaker.eu powered by Rufus and RSigley has him listed at +1116.

Quote

08-03-2020 , 07:58 PM

#1575

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

i have him less than 2%

it's amazing how off books are with to wins but betting against koepka in h2h's have no value. it's almost like they're trying to trick people into making bad bets

Quote

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