Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa!
It's not complicated. The more sims you run, the closer the results will be to the median reality of your model. If I were betting openers for .01% of my roll then I would probably run 1000 but since I am betting big it seems worth it to take the extra 5 minutes to run 50k.
It's 100% me being lazy. If I can run 200 sims, I can run 1000 sims. When I first started, I was pretty inefficient with running my sims. I was running simulated rounds, then turning them into events. Now, I'm simulating events; so I'm 4x as efficient.
I should do 1000. I've done 200. DJ at 4.5% to win, Brooks 2%, Finau 3%, Fleetwood 3%, Casey 7.5%, Henley 6%, Redman 9.5%, Glover 3%.
I'm really looking at the Win % for guys up top, Top 10-20% for 8-9k guys, and making the cut % for 6k guys.