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Old 07-19-2020, 07:24 PM   #1326
Iowa!
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Golf Twitter trying to get a 2 shot penalty called on Rahm. Shouldn't matter but why can't it ever be easy.

https://twitter.com/NoLayingUp/statu...91237183942663
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Old 07-19-2020, 07:36 PM   #1327
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I'm going to call it. Insanely great week. 2nd best ever. This year I've had my 2nd and 4th best weeks (and one of the worst). Couldn't do it without this community. We are undefeatable.

Round 1: 4-4 +0.12u on 5.93u risked
Round 2: 3-5 -0.39u on 6.95u risked
Round 3: 0-3-1 -3.46u on 3.73u risked (-92.76%)
Round 4: 4-1-1 +2.08u on 3.48u risked
Rounds Total: 11-13-2 -1.65u on 20.09u risked (-8.21% ROI)
Full tournament: 14-9 +9.56u on 33.47u risked (28.56% ROI)
To Win: 1-2 +8.07u on 0.69u risked (1169.57% ROI)

Meaningful bets: 26-29-11 +15.98u on 54.25u risked (29.46% ROI)

Props: 4-3 +14.05u on 7u risked

YTD:
YTD To Win: 9-25 +23.58u on 20.18u risked (116.84% ROI)
YTD Full Tournament: 75-52-4 +20.98u on 151.43u risked (13.85% ROI)
YTD Rounds: 141-139-29 -0.95u on 264.95u risked (-0.003% ROI)
YTD Props: 14-17 +41.9u on 34.25u risked (122.33% ROI)

the Memorial Round 4:

Spoiler:


4-1-1 +2.08u on 3.48u risked

Props
Spoiler:


To Win:
Jon Rahm +2206 RISK: 0.38u WIN +8.38u
Fitzpatrick +8000 RISK: 0.17u LOSS -0.17u [would have rather had this one, t3 is nice though!]
Casey +7000 RISK: 0.14u LOSS -0.14u

To Win: 1-2 +8.07u on 0.69u risked (1169.57% ROI)

Full tournament:

the Memorial Tournament [why is the lowercase everywhere?]

Bookmaker:

Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Patrick Cantlay +117 - (Bryson Dechambeau vrs Patrick Cantlay) RISK: 0.9u WIN +1.05u
Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Webb Simpson -106 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Webb Simpson) RISK: 0.69u LOSS -0.69u
Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Tiger Woods +133 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Tiger Woods) RISK: 1.09u LOSS -1.09u
Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Marc Leishman +123 - (Kevin Streelman vrs Marc Leishman) RISK: 2u WIN +2.46u
Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Sung-Jae Im +102 - (Sung-Jae Im vrs Billy Horschel) RISK: 1u LOSS -1u
Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Harris English +135 - (Harris English vrs Byeong Hun An) RISK: 2u WIN +2.7u
Tournament Matchup - Memorial - Kevin Na -126 - (Sepp Straka vrs Kevin Na) RISK: 2.52u WIN +2u

Betonline/Circa:

Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Phil Mickelson vs. Rory Sabbatini - Rory Sabbatini -150 RISK: 3u LOSS -3u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Matthew Fitzpatrick vs. Joaquin Niemann - Matthew Fitzpatrick -122 RISK: 1.74u WIN +1.43u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Shane Lowry vs. Corey Conners - Corey Conners -113 RISK: 1.1u WIN +0.97u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Doc Redman vs. Paul Casey - Paul Casey -150 RISK: 3u WIN +2u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Rickie Fowler vs. Daniel Berger - Rickie Fowler -112 RISK: 0.45u LOSS -0.45u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Matt Kuchar vs. Kevin Kisner - Matt Kuchar -134 RISK: 0.44u WIN +0.33u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Brooks Koepka vs. Hideki Matsuyama - Hideki Matsuyama -149 RISK: 2.5u LOSS -2.5u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Webb Simpson vs. Tiger Woods - Webb Simpson -128 RISK: 1.2u LOSS -1.2u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Viktor Hovland vs. Brooks Koepka - Viktor Hovland -128 RISK: 1.63u WIN +1.27u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Xander Schauffele vs. Webb Simpson - Webb Simpson -110 RISK: 0.44u LOSS -0.44u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Dustin Johnson vs. Collin Morikawa - Collin Morikawa -110 RISK: 0.57u WIN +0.52u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Viktor Hovland vs. Hideki Matsuyama - Hideki Matsuyama -115 RISK: 0.72u LOSS -0.72u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Jon Rahm vs. Collin Morikawa - Jon Rahm -114 RISK: 0.94u WIN +0.82u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Bryson DeChambeau vs. Rory McIlroy - Rory McIlroy -103 RISK: 2.06u WIN +2u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Dustin Johnson vs. Jon Rahm - Jon Rahm -125 RISK: 1.38u WIN +1.1u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Events - Bryson DeChambeau vs. Justin Thomas - Justin Thomas -105 RISK: 2.1u WIN +2u

14-9 +9.56u on 33.47u risked (28.56% ROI)
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Old 07-19-2020, 07:55 PM   #1328
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Victory!!!!!!!!!

483 points. Where would that have put me in the bigger GPPs?
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Old 07-19-2020, 07:57 PM   #1329
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

nice hit! What a weekend for the board
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:14 PM   #1330
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

awesome precept24!!

all the hard work paying off

483 on DK?

2nd in the $200 SE for 50k
2nd in the $100 SE for 15k
10th in milly for 10k (tie)
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:15 PM   #1331
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Thanks Sigs. I appreciate it.

Edit: Yes, on DK. LOL FanDuel. They bought Draft and let it die. I enjoyed those Best Ball contests.
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:17 PM   #1332
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Thanks sigs! Rahm and Fitzpatrick saved a tilting weekend of UFC bets
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:19 PM   #1333
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Nice win all, especially Sigley and Precept. I got some Rahm for even in round 3 and Palmer to get second at -150 late so I won this weekend but didn’t bet any of the early picks bc I was busy. Big mistake but still happy for us all.
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:19 PM   #1334
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Well done Sigs, you're a sicko for sure and congrats Precept, couldn't happen to a nicer guy. Yoloing next week then?

Rahm got that 2 stroke penalty in the end, getting second hand after-the-fact anxiety about how gross that could have been if he didn't win by such a large margin .
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:20 PM   #1335
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Good stuff all. I enjoy this thread quite a bit.
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:26 PM   #1336
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Y'all are incredible, bravo to everyone!
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:37 PM   #1337
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Hell of a week for team Rahm, congrats all. That penalty cost me a couple hundred in fantasy but at least he boat raced the field so it didn't matter too much. Think they still call it if he was only leading by one stroke? No way he should be expected to see that type of movement naked eye imo
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Old 07-19-2020, 08:47 PM   #1338
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by docbettor View Post
Y'all are incredible, bravo to everyone!
Thanks Doc.

Edit: I'm down to 479.5 pts, but everyone else lost those 3.5 points.

Last edited by Precept24; 07-19-2020 at 08:56 PM.
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Old 07-20-2020, 12:46 AM   #1339
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

wow the DK millionaire next week is 44% to first.

need to be in top 3% to get at least 2x your money

even the $555, 59.13% to the top 10. min cash 1.62x.

the craziest is the $200 SE. 33% to first, 63.58% to top 10, min cash 1.5x, top 6% to get 2x.

how can they maintain any ecosystem of players this way
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Old 07-20-2020, 12:49 AM   #1340
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Also all the touts are already jumping on the jon rahm train and how he's the greatest player after hating on him all year.

Remember, we were here every week. Betting on Rahm in h2h, occasionally to win, in our DFS line-ups every week. While they were touting Doc Redman and Henrik Norlander.

This can only mean that it's Scottie Scheffler's time next.

Team Rahm, Horschel, Fitzpatrick, Scheffler every week is unstoppable.
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Old 07-20-2020, 01:36 AM   #1341
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

The four horsemen of the syndicate crushing the touts in DFS. Not sure if my favorite week was when the touts said to fade Rahm bc his hair was long and we played him and he MC, or when they touted Redman at 7x the ownership and $2k higher salary than we played him the week before and got tilted when he somehow didn't hold the first round lead. I've been on Deki every week too refusing to believe his putter will stay broken forever.

Field looks pretty weak for 3M, don't see our guy Scheffler in sadly. Johnny Vegas is back though and we've been on him in the past. Will the touts flock to Fleetwood/Finau since DJ/Casey MC this week? Only time will tell.
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Old 07-20-2020, 01:51 AM   #1342
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa! View Post
I'm "winning" $2,503 in the MM so losing $497. Not bad considering I was 95.3% Casey. I guess being 100% the eventual winner is good.
considering the pay table i'd book that as pretty much best alternative to not winning the million,

btw nicely done guys, kind of steaming, my cash line finished top 15 in all the gpps and if i simply did a pivot off of hideki into literally anyone who made the cut i would have taken down every large field contest on yahoo this week as I was just 35 points off the top lineup and i usually do a few one offs of my cash line but figured matsuyama wouldn't be uber chalky this week so pivoted the other ones instead of him (the ownership percentage is a browser extension - that's just me not the player pool in general 12 lines total)


Last edited by rickroll; 07-20-2020 at 01:58 AM.
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Old 07-20-2020, 06:35 AM   #1343
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post

To Win:
Jon Rahm +2206 RISK: 0.38u WIN +8.38u
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Old 07-20-2020, 08:09 AM   #1344
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

This is Paul Casey's week
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Old 07-20-2020, 08:17 AM   #1345
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

How is Brooks 12/1 this week. Some people must hate money
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Old 07-20-2020, 09:05 AM   #1346
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I'd be worried about his knee. Surgery, stem cells, etc.

Field is super weak. I have DJ and Casey as favorites. Fleetwood is in there too but he hasn't played golf in so long.

Harris English is in my top 5 to win.
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Old 07-20-2020, 09:17 AM   #1347
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by deltasum2 View Post
This is Paul Casey's week
been looking at the lineup for next week and those are my thoughts exactly and for the first time may have to go heavy on koepka - which easily explains all the money i lose during the majors
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Old 07-20-2020, 12:40 PM   #1348
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

betting this week looks horrible

of the early lines only see 1 pga that has value and 3 euro. hope bookmaker goes stupid or its gonna be a boring week

dk salaries look crazy too

DJ, Koepka, Finau, FLeetwood, Casey all over 10k

Bubba watson 9.9k

even Wolff 9.7k lol
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Old 07-20-2020, 12:52 PM   #1349
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Yup.

My Presearch lineup is Casey 10.1, English 9.0, EVR 8.8, Hoffman 7.4, Stanley 7.3, Clark 7.3.

That should change drastically within the next few hours.
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Old 07-20-2020, 01:22 PM   #1350
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Can't let victory defeat us. Yes, this tournament is kind of lame, but we still have the opportunity to win a million+ on it.
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