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Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

07-17-2020 , 11:55 AM
this ******* is going to make the cut

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07-17-2020 , 12:30 PM
casey is the worst

gonna need +3 cut for millionaire chances with horschel sucking

i have +3 as the most likely outcome, but i also have mickelson to miss the cut every week so i don't trust anything anymore
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07-17-2020 , 02:48 PM
Zalatoris would be cruising if he just had a mediocre day 1 instead of a complete disaster.
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07-17-2020 , 02:52 PM
oh wow I didn't even see he made the cut. Got a lil 10/1 on him and saw he had +5 R1 and just didn't bother checking.

KF Tour got destroyed this week.

Who thought playing the same exact course back to back would screw everyone up.
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07-17-2020 , 03:05 PM
Hovland 6 under through 8
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07-17-2020 , 03:06 PM
Hmm...starting to look like the cut may hold at +2. 67 at +2 or better. We got 13 still playing at +2 and 9 at +3.
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07-17-2020 , 03:15 PM
think +3

most of the +2 borderline guys haven't played the back 9 yet

plus scottie scheffler will help us out
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07-17-2020 , 03:39 PM
if it's +3 ole rickroll will be eaten liver and onions for ages!

just crushing all my h2hs and 50/50s, really upset everything over $50 was filled by the time i regged it all
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07-17-2020 , 03:55 PM
Euram Bank Round 3:

Round 3 Matchup - Euram Bank - Damien Perrier -115 - (Matt Ford vrs Damien Perrier) RISK: 0.46u WIN +0.4u
Round 3 Matchup - Euram Bank - Sebastian Heisele -158 - (Jonathan Thomson vrs Sebastian Heisele) RISK: 1.27u WIN +0.8u
Blomstrand > Brun -120 RISK: 0.36u WIN +0.3u

3-0 +1.5u on 2.09u risked

Euram Bank Round 4:

Round 4 Matchup - Euram Bank - Robin Sciot-Siegrist -102 - (Robin Sciot-Siegrist vrs Richard Mansell) RISK: 2.04u
Round 4 Matchup - Euram Bank - Edouard Dubois -102 - (Felix Mory vrs Edouard Dubois) RISK: 1.05u
Eriksson > Stalter +102 RISK: 1.74u
Mansell > Knappe +102 RISK: 0.78u
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07-17-2020 , 04:30 PM
some of these DK payouts for golf are so bad. never noticed but currently 94th in the $200 single entry. Only 20% to first yet 94/2777 pays only 2x

256-520 1.5x
131-244 1.75x
81-140 2x
56-80 2.5u

what a scam
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07-17-2020 , 04:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
some of these DK payouts for golf are so bad. never noticed but currently 94th in the $200 single entry. Only 20% to first yet 94/2777 pays only 2x

256-520 1.5x
131-244 1.75x
81-140 2x
56-80 2.5u

what a scam
why i'm content being in the small pond of yahoo

you take a look at fantasydraft - with the volume you put in a no-rake flat membership would boost your win rate significantly
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07-17-2020 , 05:06 PM
BRYSON BLOWUP on 15
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07-17-2020 , 05:07 PM
bryson to miss cut +450 was a lock.

wish i had square books to get those +550 to +650 that were out there
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07-17-2020 , 05:07 PM
hits in the trees, marked as a hazard. drops, hits it OB, drops again hits it OB again
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07-17-2020 , 05:13 PM
POSSIBLE ROID RAGE incident incoming
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07-17-2020 , 05:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adrenocromo
POSSIBLE ROID RAGE incident incoming
i like the cut of your jib, odd for a new account to have solid posting in a niche thread (replacement account perhaps?)
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07-17-2020 , 05:22 PM
+3s might be safe (please don't jinx it). I'd like to get 6/6, but I need Horschel and Tiger (and Xander).
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07-17-2020 , 05:26 PM
Props:
Golf - Make or Miss Cut - the Memorial Tournament - Dustin Johnson - MISS +325 [+304] WIN +3.25
Golf - Make or Miss Cut - the Memorial Tournament - Phil Mickelson - MISS +105 [-111] LOSS -1
Golf - Make or Miss Cut - the Memorial Tournament - Bryson DeChambeau - MISS +450 [+401] WIN +4.5

2-1 +6.75 on 3u risked
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07-17-2020 , 05:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
bryson to miss cut +450 was a lock.

wish i had square books to get those +550 to +650 that were out there

I got it at +640 and only bet $50
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07-17-2020 , 06:06 PM
Rahm one time pls!!!!
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07-17-2020 , 06:21 PM
Got 6/6 in a good GPP for me (if +3 holds). If not, 4/6 and sadness.

Rahm, Rory, Norlander, Wallace, Horschel, and Xander
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07-17-2020 , 06:23 PM
small losing r2. our tournament win bets are looking good.

leishman beating streelman is the obvious big one. and kevin na/straka. Fitzpatrick in contention for Top GB/Ireland. Rahm in contention to win.

the Memorial Round 2:

Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - JT Poston -116 - (JT Poston vrs Matthew Wolff) RISK: 0.55u LOSS -0.55u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Scottie Scheffler -120 - (Scottie Scheffler vrs Jordan Spieth RISK: 1.37u LOSS -1.37u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Sungjae Im +104 - (Sungjae Im vrs Lucas Glover) RISK: 1.88u WIN +1.96u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Sergio Garcia +105 - (Sergio Garcia vrs Tony Finau) RISK: 0.24u LOSS -0.24u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Abraham Ancer -122 - (Kevin Streelman vrs Abraham Ancer) RISK: 0.73u LOSS -0.73u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Brooks Koepka +109 - (Gary Woodland vrs Brooks Koepka) RISK: 0.94u LOSS -0.94u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Viktor Hovland +113 - (Patrick Cantlay vrs Viktor Hovland) RISK: 0.27u WIN +0.31u
Round 2 Matchup - Memorial - Collin Morikawa +121 - (Bryson Dechambeau vrs Collin Morikawa) RISK: 0.97u WIN +1.17u
3-5 -0.39u on 6.95u risked
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-17-2020 , 07:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
some of these DK payouts for golf are so bad. never noticed but currently 94th in the $200 single entry. Only 20% to first yet 94/2777 pays only 2x

256-520 1.5x
131-244 1.75x
81-140 2x
56-80 2.5u

what a scam
I got 6/6 through in cash last week and got a wonderful 1.75x payout in that tourney. Same lineup was good enough to win all the 10x return cash games too. Casey blowing up that one hole and missing the cut at +4 hurts this week but at least he was chalk. Got a handful of 6/6 in the milly this week but don't think any are good. Most have 3 guys at +3 and no one better than -3, and are losing to my 5/6 lineups that missed Deki, Webb or Casey. Maybe we'll have some get in the top 5% and get a 2x payout instead of 1.5x mincash which would be pretty exciting.
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07-17-2020 , 10:15 PM
the Memorial Round 3:

Round 3 Matchup - Memorial - Harris English -116 - (Harris English vrs Brendan Steele) RISK: 2.32u
Round 3 Matchup - Memorial - Matthew Fitzpatrick -135 - (Jordan Spieth vrs Matthew Fitzpatrick) RISK: 0.27u
Round 3 Matchup - Memorial - Christiaan Bezuidenhout -113 - (Christiaan Bezuidenhout vrs Dylan Frittelli) RISK: 0.74u
Round 3 Matchup - Memorial - Kevin Na -113 - (Kevin Na vrs Danny Willett) RISK: 0.4u
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07-18-2020 , 02:20 AM
only 1/12 lines is 6/6 in gpp but cash line is 5/6 with only my unfounded infatuation with matsuyama keeping it from perfection

still good enough to be winning every single 10 man group - very disapointed as meant to put in more volume this week too but didn't pre-reg this week (after doing it last week and playing a dummy cause i was on vacation and forgot)

very happy i came to my senses and swapped out fowler for hovland in cash minutes before lock
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