After Hole 1

Wolff +1
Armour -1

Cmon Danny Willett top European at 19-1. Just need a few more bogeys from Seamus

looks like chalk dechambeau got this. Good for us. Gonna be value on other people in the future.

Willet up to t3, lets get this top european. Need to fade Seamus Power and Hatton. Hovland's flag looks european too so lets fade him just in case.

Finau trying to do the right thing for Fowler/Im over Finau backers. Might have a little $ left to bet next week after all!

lol that wolff 3rd shot out of the bunker

dude goes from 20 feet from pin to 55

jesus then he drains the 55 foot putt

Maybe that 53 footer for Wolff will get him going...

Matsuyama 3 off the lead. If he gets to a playoff with Bryson i'd mortgage your house on Hideki.

Bryson doesn't have the mental fortitude to go against Hideki.

Probably won't happen because if Bryson sees he's going to be in a playoff with Hideki he'd bogey on purpose.

nevermind bryson -20 now

wolff -17

where was this wolff when we had big bets against him in r2 and 3? shooting -8 a round then

redman bogeying 17 is nice. hadwin birdie and i'm not having to rent out a bedroom in iowas mansion

he's got an eagle shot coming up. one time

Eagle baby. -2 over Redman with 1 hole left. Lock it up.

Incoming bogey for hadwin, redman birdie to tie

weekend semi saved



finau bogey and we are able to eat this week

Need Hatton to drop a shot.

hatton onto the cart path on his second shot on par 5. Could bogey!

FINAU BOGEYD 18 TO PUSH

i'll take it



i took the liberty to update wolff's to win odds

hatton 19 foot birdie shot on 18

he makes it willett loses

pars and we dead heat and get at least half of it.

power is out of contention probably.

If Hatton and Willet time for top European, do dead heat rules apply on DraftKings?

Woo hoo!!!

yep, most do

9.5/1 is still decent! 19 would have been much better.

Couple more feet and Hatton gets a penalty on 17 and we win it all.

Wallace has to birdie birdie to split it more, unlikely. Power might catch up but I don't see it happening.

week in a nutshell

hit 10/1 to win korn ferry
19/1 on top european

both with lower limits

lose everything else

How did Matsuyama double bogey? Shot tracker makes no sense

chris kirk hop back on the sauce for his back 9? brutal turnaround for him v. wes bryan.

also goes without saying for everyone here but that hideki 3 putt on 17 was so on brand and brutal.

Turns out even with crushing on Hadwin over Redman this was my worst week in history in terms of $$, third worst in terms of ROI. -23.24% on 342k wagered. You can do the math. Even Korn Ferry can't bail us out. On vacation next week, not because of losing but I always go fishing this week for MLB all star week. And airbnb won't refund the money because COVID is over and I'm too cheap to eat the fees.

Round 1: 8-9 -2.15u on 17.66u risked
Round 2: 7-4-2 -0.9u on 10.87u risked
Round 3: 7-7 -3u on 9.26u risked
Round 4: 3-7-1 -2.65u on 10.13u risked
Tournament: 4-8 on -6.77u 13.25u risked
To Win: 0-3 -1.96u on 1.96u risked
Total meaningful stuff: -17.43u on 63.13u risked

Props: 1-2 +7u on 3u risked
Korn Ferry: 1-1 +9u on 2u risked

To Win:

Hideki Matsuyama +1800 Risk: 0.49u [+1281] LOSS -0.49u
Scottie Scheffler +3500 RISK: 0.22u [+2441] LOSS -0.22u
Wolff to win +100 RISK: 1.25u LOSS -1.25

Props:

Winning Nationality: Non USA +190 [+159 fair] LOSS -1
Scheffler Top American +2200 LOSS -1
Danny Willet Top European +1800 WIN +9 (dead-heat, win half as much)
1-2 +7u on 3u risked

Round 4:

Round 4 Matchup - Rocket - Pat Perez -103 - (Pat Perez vrs Sepp Straka) RISK: 0.59u LOSS -0.59u
Tringale > Swafford -110 RISK: 1.59u PUSH
Norlander > Stallings +113 RISK: 1.06u WIN +1.2u
Gellerman > Byrd +109 RISK: 0.89u LOSS -0.89u
Baker > Ventura -105 RISK: 0.2u LOSS -0.2u
Lewis > Atwal -200 RISK: 1.76u WIN +0.88u
Merritt > DeChambeau +245 RISK: 0.46u LOSS -0.46u
Chris Baker > Ventura +103 (BM) RISK: 1.25u LOSS -1.25u
Wolff -115 over Armour RISK: 0.44u WIN +0.38u
Hubbard > Power -160 RISK: 0.17u PUSH
Kirk > Bryan -145 RISK: 0.92u LOSS -0.92u (how?)
Anderson > McNeill -125 RISK: 0.8u LOSS -0.8u
Round 4: 3-7-1 -2.65u on 10.13u risked

Tournament:

Patrick Reed - Hideki Matsuyama - Match-ups - Hideki Matsuyama Odds: -116 RISK: 0.75u WIN +0.65u
Keegan Bradley - Brian Stuard - Match-ups - Brian Stuard Odds: +103 RISK: 0.36u WIN +0.37
Viktor Hovland - Hideki Matsuyama - Match-ups - Hideki Matsuyama Odds: -112 RISK: 1.5u LOSS -1.5u
Scottie Scheffler - Bubba Watson - Match-ups - Scottie Scheffler Odds: -132 RISK: 2.64u LOSS -2.64u
Sungjae Im - Tony Finau - Match-ups - Sungjae Im Odds: -119 RISK: 2.38u PUSH
Doc Redman - Adam Hadwin - Match-ups - Adam Hadwin Odds: -118 RISK: 0.64u WIN +0.54u
Bryson DeChambeau - Webb Simpson - Match-ups - Webb Simpson Odds: +115 RISK: 0.27u LOSS -0.27u
Sungjae Im - Rickie Fowler - Match-ups - Sungjae Im Odds: -127 RISK: 0.88u LOSS -0.88u
Rafael Cabrera Bello - Christiaan Bezuidenhout - Match-ups - Christiaan Bezuidenhout Odds: -102 RISK: RISK: 0.4u WIN +0.39u
Patrick Reed - Viktor Hovland - Match-ups - Patrick Reed Odds: -109 RISK: 0.34u LOSS -0.34u
Scott Stallings - Kyle Stanley - Match-ups - Kyle Stanley Odds: -118 RISK: 1.18u LOSS -1.18u
Lucas Glover - Erik van Rooyen - Match-ups - Erik van Rooyen Odds: +101 RISK: 0.33u LOSS -0.33u
Hatton > Dechambeau +165 RISK: 1.58u LOSS -1.58u
Tournament: 4-8 on -6.77u 13.25u risked

Matchups and Outrights for the event:

Risked: $567,385
Net: $-124,252
ROI: -21.9%

Bookmaker.EU poppin bottle tonight. Better ROI than Sigley though so looks like we have a new legit top.

if you add korn ferry and props it brings it to -22.04% so can't even get 1st on a technicality. we've been crushing props too. just like with K. crush K and the amount you win in an entire season is just what you lose on whatever closer the rays are using this week blowing their 97th game

good thing i cost myself tons of money in the long run by under betting my bank roll otherwise this might have been a you lost a house week

i should have tournament long bets as long as they're posting by wed afternoon. no round bets which actually shouldn't be bad

a site I won't mention by name that some of us use graded Willett (and I assume Hatton as well) in full instead of dead-heat despite what their rules say so check your accounts!

got double paid too nice.

crazy i know at least 6 people (outside of you) who max bet it there and we all got the same odds.

good job good effort risk management. I know it's only $250 to win $4500 but wouldn't that ring some bells or at least make someone think as they're paying it out

After a few losing weeks, I had a plus week. Gained about 20%. If Deki doesn't shoot 40 on the last 9, it could've been far sweeter. My 6/6 (Dechambeau, Hatton, Glover, Tringale, Norlander, Wagner) did well, but I forgot I had a Dechambeau, Wolff, Willett, Deki, Varner, Munoz lineup that did well, too.

On to Muirfield, where Accuracy off the tee and SG-APP are key (per Data Golf).