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Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

07-03-2020 , 05:54 PM
how can you win 63.6% of your bets and still lose 0.9u units? Here's how

Round 2:

Spoiler:
Bubba Watson - Jason Day - Match-ups - Jason Day Odds: -110 RISK: 0.54u WIN +0.49u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 2 - Chris Stroud vs. Mark Hubbard - Mark Hubbard -150 RISK: 0.13u WIN +0.09u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 2 - George McNeill vs. Sepp Straka - Sepp Straka -150 RISK: 0.5u WIN +0.33u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 2 - Zac Blair vs. Doc Redman - Zac Blair 141 RISK: 0.43u WIN +0.61
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 2 - Scott Stallings vs. Lucas Glover - Lucas Glover -125 RISK: 0.09u WIN +0.07u
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Maverick Mcnealy +101 - (Chris Kirk vrs Maverick Mcnealy) RISK: 0.92u LOSS -0.92u
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Christiaan Bezuidenhout +108 - (Scott Stallings vrs Christiaan Bezuidenhout) RISK: 2u PUSH
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Kevin Kisner +102 - (Brendon Todd vrs Kevin Kisner) RISK: 0.45u PUSH (that bogey on the last hole to push after leading all day special)
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Rory Sabbatini +121 - (Rory Sabbatini vrs Adam Hadwin) RISK: 1.26u LOSS -1.26u (love the double bogey on a par 3 from Sabbatini to end it)
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Brandt Snedeker +113 - (Doc Redman vrs Brandt Snedeker) RISK: 1.58u WIN +1.79u
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Viktor Hovland -135 - (Viktor Hovland vrs Bubba Watson) RISK: 0.5u WIN +0.37
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Patrick Reed +126 - (Bryson Dechambeau vrs Patrick Reed) RISK: 0.47u LOSS -0.47u
Round 2 Matchup - Rocket - Erik Van Rooyen +108 - (Erik Van Rooyen vrs Matthew Wolff) RISK: 2u LOSS -2u

7-4-2 on -0.9u on 10.87u risked

icing on this cake would be scheffler going -8 here and losing the tournament long bet to watson because of this hole 4. or watson birdie on last hole.

Shot 5 in the hole (par)
Shot 4 30 ft 5 in. to green, 15 in. to hole
Shot 3 50 yds to left intermediate, 30 ft 11 in. to hole
Shot 2 256 yds to left rough, 40 yds to hole
Shot 1 332 yds to left fairway, 296 yds to hole
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-03-2020 , 06:02 PM
I am getting slaughtered on all fronts. Tough week.
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07-03-2020 , 06:05 PM
i ended up getting tons more of glover over stalling in the morning, but it all got cancelled out by getting keegan bradley over -8 for the day ryan armour

this course is so bad. there's cop and ambulance sirens every hole, helicopters flying over. They were doing lawn maintenance while people were playing. Air blower, mowing grass, the whole deal.

only hope is sungjae beating fowler/im, hadwin beating redman, hatton and simpson beating dechambeau. that should get me to even for the week assuming i'll just keep losing on R3 and 4.
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07-03-2020 , 06:44 PM
Today went better but still a disaster of a week for betting & dfs. Not even winning on Yahoo since everyone jammed Webb + Bryson and have better punt plays. One of these times the theoretical $ from fading chalk doc redman will turn in actual $ right?
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07-03-2020 , 06:58 PM
one positive is Will Zalotoris is leading after round 3. He led R1 and R2 also.

Lets get this $250 at 10/1.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-03-2020 , 07:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa!
I am getting slaughtered on all fronts. Tough week.
At the end of the day, you are a winner through and through. This is a tough business but you have shown great traits of resilience and perseverance. Many quit because it’s too tough, but you have outlasted many a variance bunny that wasn’t able to see it through. We are turning this ship around.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-03-2020 , 07:04 PM
1 6/6
2 5/6
7 4/6
7 3/6
2 2/6
1 1/6

Not joking, but I'm excited about the symmetry in my entries.

Too much Scheffler, Munoz, Snedeker, and Putnam.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-03-2020 , 08:42 PM
One time Hubbard!
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07-03-2020 , 11:54 PM
Round 3 L's

Round 3 - Fabian Gomez vs. Johnson Wagner - Fabian Gomez +100 RISK: 0.4u
Round 3 - Scott Harrington vs. Lucas Glover - Scott Harrington +189 RISK: 0.61u
Round 3 - Michael Thompson vs. Chris Baker - Chris Baker +125 RISK: 0.34u
Round 3 - Harold Varner III vs. Steve Stricker - Steve Stricker +133 RISK: 1.47u
Round 3 - Mark Anderson vs. Maverick McNealy - Mark Anderson +149 RISK: 0.72u
Round 3 - Cameron Tringale vs. Viktor Hovland - Cameron Tringale +165 RISK: 0.59u
Sungjae Im - Tony Finau - Match-ups - Sungjae Im Odds: -115 RISK: 0.38u
Hideki Matsuyama - Rickie Fowler - Match-ups - Hideki Matsuyama Odds: -125 RISK: 0.25u
Round 3 Matchup - Rocket - Brendon Todd -161 - (Brendon Todd vrs Chris Stroud) RISK: 1.06u
Round 3 Matchup - Rocket - Adam Hadwin -127 - (Scott Stallings vrs Adam Hadwin) RISK: 0.94u
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-04-2020 , 01:31 AM
popped a lone dollar on:
Power 45/1
Armour 29.5/1
Tringale 70.5/1
Hovland 32.5/1
Merrit 80.5/1
Fowler 100/1

would put 5 bucks on Matsuyama but don't even list him lol
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07-04-2020 , 09:09 AM
Couple late ones

Kisner > Armour -115 RISK: 1.5u
Hovland > Hatton +105 RISK: 0.26u
Chapell > Wesley Bryan -140 RISK: 0.58u
Kyoung-Hoon Lee > Zack Sucher -140 RISK: 0.16u
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-04-2020 , 11:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fortisque
Mehhhhh, Finau made the cut with a 20 foot birdie. Woulda locked up the win for Im in that H2H
finau -6 today and t3. im -1

classic blunder letting him past the cut
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07-04-2020 , 01:44 PM
matsuyama t1, we alive boys
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-04-2020 , 01:48 PM
I fired a weekend line up that currently sits at the top a decent cheapo size contest. I'm in the clubhouse for today. Let's hope I can hang in the top five heading into tomorrow.

Matsuyama (12.28%), Finau (9.26), Willett (3.02), P-Rodg (3.54), Sungjae (10.28), Noh (0.60)
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-04-2020 , 02:21 PM
if the afternoon doesn't play good you gonan dominate

we almost had a nice suck out when chappell hit an eagle on 17 to go up by 1 with 1 hole left

only way we lose is if he bogeys and wesley bryan birdies

so that is what happens. -6 no good
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-04-2020 , 10:04 PM
Another horrible day. This is likely to be our first losing PGA card of the year and could be my biggest loss in golf ever (since 2010). If you are new, welcome.

Round 3 results:

Round 3 - Fabian Gomez vs. Johnson Wagner - Fabian Gomez +100 RISK: 0.4u WIN +0.4u
Round 3 - Scott Harrington vs. Lucas Glover - Scott Harrington +189 RISK: 0.61u WIN +1.15u
Round 3 - Michael Thompson vs. Chris Baker - Chris Baker +125 RISK: 0.34u WIN +0.43u
Round 3 - Harold Varner III vs. Steve Stricker - Steve Stricker +133 RISK: 1.47u LOSS -1.47u
Round 3 - Mark Anderson vs. Maverick McNealy - Mark Anderson +149 RISK: 0.72u LOSS -0.72u
Round 3 - Cameron Tringale vs. Viktor Hovland - Cameron Tringale +165 RISK: 0.59u LOSS -0.59u
Sungjae Im - Tony Finau - Match-ups - Sungjae Im Odds: -115 RISK: 0.38u LOSS -0.38u
Hideki Matsuyama - Rickie Fowler - Match-ups - Hideki Matsuyama Odds: -125 RISK: 0.25u WIN +0.2u
Round 3 Matchup - Rocket - Brendon Todd -161 - (Brendon Todd vrs Chris Stroud) RISK: 1.06u LOSS -1.06u
Round 3 Matchup - Rocket - Adam Hadwin -127 - (Scott Stallings vrs Adam Hadwin) RISK: 0.94u WIN +0.74u
Kisner > Armour -115 RISK: 1.5u LOSS -1.5u
Hovland > Hatton +105 RISK: 0.26u WIN +0.27u
Chapell > Wesley Bryan -140 RISK: 0.58u LOSS -0.58u
Kyoung-Hoon Lee > Zack Sucher -140 RISK: 0.16u WIN +0.11u

7-7 -3u on 9.26u risked

Korn Ferry
Zalatoris Win +10u (led every single day)
Sigg LOSS -1u (10th, -5 off lead)
Total: 1-1 +9u

At least we are up on Korn Ferry this year!

Round 4 Picks:

Wolff to win +100 RISK: 1.25u
Round 4 Matchup - Rocket - Pat Perez -103 - (Pat Perez vrs Sepp Straka) RISK: 0.59u
Tringale > Swafford -110 RISK: 1.59u
Norlander > Stallings +113 RISK: 1.06u
Gellerman > Byrd +109 RISK: 0.89u
Baker > Ventura -105 RISK: 0.2u
Lewis > Atwal -200 RISK: 1.76u
Merritt > DeChambeau +245 RISK: 0.46u
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 08:21 AM
last L's of the week

Hubbard > Power -160 RISK: 0.17u
Kirk > Bryan -145 RISK: 0.92u
Anderson > McNeill -125 RISK: 0.8u

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 07-05-2020 at 08:29 AM.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 08:26 AM
Chris Baker > Ventura +103 (BM) RISK: 1.25u
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 12:41 PM
Hideki gonna shoot a 10 under and ship this for us.
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07-05-2020 , 01:43 PM
little sun shining through

finau imploding

hadwin beating redman

hideki beating hovland

it might just be a bad weekend instead of the worst weekend ever

if dechambeu chokes and simpson and hatton pass him and everything else holds we might actually win money

willet is close to top englishman too
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 01:48 PM
this one seems off from BetOnline

Wolff -115 over Armour
RISK: 0.44u
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atrainpsu
I know nothing about golf but followed the Matsuyama and Scheffler plays here. Then threw in these steam/market value plays cuz I was bored last night. It’s interesting how most of these guys were mentioned in here (for better or worse). I’m guessing that’s where a lot of the steam came from.

S. Burns +17500 (.5 units)
M. Wallace +17500 (.5)
A. Wise +12500 (.5)
H. Varner III +7500 (.5)
W. Gordon +12500 (.6)
H. Matsuyama +2000 (.5)
M. Wolff +12500 (.68)
L. List +20000 (.4)
M. Jones +35000 (.28)
S. Scheffler +3900 (.5)

Also have W. Simpson +1300 (.5) as part of promo
Spewed a little on round 2/3 matchups. Added a bunch of field vs Wolff at -120ish, so just a mediumish sweat on Wolff. Big sweats if Wallace or List can make a run today.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 01:53 PM
wolff got this don't worry

when BM moved from 125/1 to 50/1 we all knew this thing was fixed for him

or this will be biggest choke job in history to prop up Bryson
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07-05-2020 , 02:03 PM
i have hideki up to 3.7% to win vs 1.1% this morning. we super alive everybody
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
07-05-2020 , 02:07 PM
wolffs first tee shot way off the fairway

almost out of bounds

the fix on the fix is in
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