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Old 07-01-2020, 11:43 PM   #951
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i like all those guys too but who knows.

We've come to a time where Harold Varner is chalk. peak 2020.
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Old 07-01-2020, 11:48 PM   #952
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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scheffler is probably a bad play, but i love him too much

with the 9k switching to a 8k can probably get the 2 punts to 7k and lot of good people there.

FD is easier. was able to fit in hatton/im with bez/hadwin/harman/hubbard and have money left over
You're probably right. Gonna run made cut % on a few different combinations but probably can increase the floor vs. avg w/ your construction.

FD felt easier to fit in Bryson but ended up with some Tringale / Burgoon which I don't feel great about. Maybe it's that I'm way more comfortable w/ Burgoon being below the other sites' min on Yahoo that I can shift all exposure there.
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Old 07-02-2020, 12:00 AM   #953
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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i like all those guys too but who knows.

We've come to a time where Harold Varner is chalk. peak 2020.
I almost feel worse about fading Varner in fantasy this week than fading Bryson tbh. Been in the running on Sunday for the fantasy lottery 3 weeks this year and Varner was the differentiator for two of them. This can't be the version of the matrix we win with chalk Varner though, right?
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Old 07-02-2020, 01:04 AM   #954
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

added
RD1 Sabbatini>Hadwin -118 .3u
Hatton +1.5>DeChambeau +120 1.23u
Sabbatini>Na +100 .4u

also threw a dollar on Wyndham Clark for 115.5
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Old 07-02-2020, 01:17 AM   #955
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

current yahoo cash line is reed/armour/bramlett/hideki/grillo/hovland - will make a few pivots around this for maybe 4-5 lines in total
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Old 07-02-2020, 07:38 AM   #956
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Figure if I ship 3 or 4 of these over the next year I can quit my awful job as a professional sports bettor so got to go for it. We all knew what we were signing up for with Bryson lineups but looks like I did a reasonable job of pairing him with lower owned guys. Now I just need Henrik Norlander to go out and win a golf tournament.

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Old 07-02-2020, 08:34 AM   #957
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

sorry about Snedeker

almost as bad as me swapping Tyler Duncan for Tom Hoge

or Scottie Schefflers existence
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Old 07-02-2020, 08:46 AM   #958
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Scheffler missing 2 foot putts, real fun stuff
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Old 07-02-2020, 09:12 AM   #959
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

found a way

just stack early golfers and screenshot when they're all in first



easy game

wow hoge almost hole in one on 5
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Old 07-02-2020, 09:22 AM   #960
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i can't believe almost 20% of people rostered will gordon

dfs and the betting markets love recent form so much
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Old 07-02-2020, 09:43 AM   #961
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

going forward i'm ignoring anything my model says about scottie scheffler
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Old 07-02-2020, 09:45 AM   #962
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

**** Snedeker, Sheffler, and Im. Already on huge tilt not even halfway through Thursday.
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Old 07-02-2020, 10:07 AM   #963
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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**** Snedeker, Sheffler, and Im. Already on huge tilt not even halfway through Thursday.
So much this.
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Old 07-02-2020, 10:09 AM   #964
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i went 0% on snedeker so avoided that disaster

the back 9 seems easier than the front. scheffler gonna go on a streak and birdie all 9
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Old 07-02-2020, 10:37 AM   #965
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

scheffler really gonna +3 the front 9 on one of the easiest courses on the tour

i should have listened to myself and faded him
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Old 07-02-2020, 10:41 AM   #966
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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i can't believe almost 20% of people rostered will gordon

dfs and the betting markets love recent form so much
he's 66% owned in yahoo 50/50s lol, i think i used him only once despite being min priced and it was gpp only

made a pivot to armour/bramlett/reed/hideki/hoge/hovland and loving it - don't know what i was thinking grillo in cash
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Old 07-02-2020, 11:16 AM   #967
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

21% of the field duped in the milly. I've got 3/20 duped (only 2x at least) but tons of Scheffler/Sungjae. Faded Doc Redman and he's killing it at high price and ownership obviously.
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Old 07-02-2020, 11:20 AM   #968
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

doc redman is the #1 golfer in the world
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Old 07-02-2020, 11:31 AM   #969
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread



see everyone next week
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Old 07-02-2020, 11:39 AM   #970
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

6.6% at 6700 last week, 17.3% at 8500 this week. LOL. What the **** can you do?
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Old 07-02-2020, 11:58 AM   #971
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

everyone knew how great he always was too. must have been so much value at 6.6k last week

scheffler is amazing. there's a tiny pond on 14 and somehow he puts the ball into it
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Old 07-02-2020, 12:14 PM   #972
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Maybe Hadwin can catch Redman in the final group on Sunday and win that MU for us. It's only 9:14 AM on Thursday. Way too early to give up and not be delusional.
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Old 07-02-2020, 12:20 PM   #973
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Rough math says the syndicate should be +$1m sklansky bucks for this Redman/Will Gordon fade; no one runs worse than we do.

Maybe we can refine the model for Scheffler by adding 'Strokes Lost: Yips' in?
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Old 07-02-2020, 12:55 PM   #974
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Shot 2 174 yds to cart path, 61 ft 7 in. to hole
Shot 1 308 yds to fairway bunker, 165 yds to hole

guess whom
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Old 07-02-2020, 01:46 PM   #975
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I think I have 1 good lineup. The rest have LOLScottie, Sneds, Putnam, or Rory Sab.

Glover, Hatton, DeChambeau, Norlander, Tringale, and Johnson Wagner

I might have one more, even with Sneds who can get hot with a putter.

Redman, Dubcan, DeChambeau, Kisner, Munoz, and Snedeker
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