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Old 06-27-2020, 09:37 AM   #876
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Varner has played the 15th 5 strokes over this week. Classic
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Old 06-27-2020, 09:53 AM   #877
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Mickelson melt down is beginning.

Here's where his tee shot off 3 ended up

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Old 06-27-2020, 10:38 AM   #878
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
Jason Day requested to be tested for covid so one of these might be cancelled. !
Playing solo. New tactic to get out of a bad group, request a test?
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Old 06-27-2020, 10:49 AM   #879
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Furyk back -1 and beating Grillo, crushing Luke Donald

I still remember making a ton of money off him here when he shot 58. Love the old dude
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Old 06-27-2020, 11:03 AM   #880
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I added Todd and Steele at 19.0 and 17.0 win only. Todd is at 97% driving accuracy on the week. Time to wrangle up a break even week
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Old 06-27-2020, 12:37 PM   #881
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Mickelson into the water on 13. For once it actually benefits us. Led to a bogey.

Dustin Johnson running away with this is ruining our USA and to Win bets.
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Old 06-27-2020, 01:52 PM   #882
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Travelers R3:

Spoiler:


7-5-4 -0.71u on 14.06u risked

Rory blowing it on the back 9 kills a lot. Xander couldn't even capitalize to push the H2H.

Leishman's last 3 holes hurt the most. Nice 21.5k swing. Mickelson was crazy today. He would hit the worst shot maybe ever and then follow it up with an incredible shot. At least our field vs. Mickelson should cash. Another push on 18 too with Gordon's bogey. Enjoy your Outlaw Tour career.
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Old 06-27-2020, 03:54 PM   #883
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Travelers Championship Odds to Win Travelers Championship (Upd. after R3) Brendon Todd +185 RISK: 0.2u
Field Wins Travelers vs. Dustin Johnson -185. RISK: 0.37u
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Old 06-27-2020, 04:22 PM   #884
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Happy to see you taking those lines, my in game punt on Todd moves me from -4.2u loss on the week to +3.5 on the win.

Not surprising he's doing well with those accuracy stats
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Old 06-27-2020, 04:59 PM   #885
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

his numbers are good + 2 stroke lead

perfect set up for back 9 blow up
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:10 PM   #886
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

My milly solo 6/6 has Todd but still in ~500th and 70pts off the lead. Everyone else was between +1 & -1 today. Yahoo looking good, in 3rd on the $15 with $5k up top -- no Todd or DJ in that lineup either. Last two days have gone pretty well for as bad as day 1 started off.
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Old 06-27-2020, 06:30 PM   #887
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Got some BetOnline too but waiting for the limits to be raised

Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Adam Long -118 - (Adam Long vrs Sam Burns) RISK: 0.15u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Xander Schauffele -139 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Joaquin Niemann) RISK: 0.62u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Will Gordon -126 - (Will Gordon vrs Wesley Bryan) RISK: 0.82u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Brendan Steele +108 - (Zach Johnson vrs Brendan Steele) RISK: 0.54u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Seung Yul Noh +113 - (Patton Kizzire vrs Seung Yul Noh) RISK: 2u
Jordan Spieth - Patrick Reed - Match-ups - Patrick Reed Odds: -115 RISK: 2.3u
Abraham Ancer - Phil Mickelson - Match-ups - Abraham Ancer Odds: -159 RISK: 1.59u
Dustin Johnson - Bryson DeChambeau - Match-ups - Bryson DeChambeau Odds: -110 RISK: 0.85u
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:42 AM   #888
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Betonline:

Ian Poulter vs. Greg Chalmers - Greg Chalmers +265 RISK: 0.95u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Adam Long vs. Xander Schauffele - Adam Long +193 RISK: 0.78u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Paul Casey vs. Sung Kang - Sung Kang +169 RISK: 0.17u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Jim Furyk vs. Sergio Garcia - Jim Furyk +120 RISK: 1.08u
Phil Mickelson vs. Charley Hoffman - Charley Hoffman -105 RISK: 2.1u
Brandt Snedeker vs. Hank Lebioda - Brandt Snedeker -155 RISK: 3.2u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Jordan Spieth vs. Byeong-Hun An - Byeong-Hun An +105 RISK: 2u
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Old 06-28-2020, 08:46 AM   #889
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Not sure why, but I fired a bunch of lineups for the 4th round.
My mail lineup is DJ, Dechambeau, Sergio (why do I keep doing this to myself?), Stanley, Streelman, and Noh
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Old 06-28-2020, 10:01 AM   #890
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I stand with Brendon Todd. Also on team Adam Long and need Rory to either win or play like he has the last couple of Sundays.
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Old 06-28-2020, 10:12 AM   #891
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

couple others

Kyle Stanley +150 over Victor Hovland 0.54u
Streelman -140 over Hughes 0.76u
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Old 06-28-2020, 12:40 PM   #892
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Non-Nascar news is light sadly
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Old 06-28-2020, 01:45 PM   #893
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

epic start for our hoffman bet

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Old 06-28-2020, 04:23 PM   #894
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

looks like DJ got this. GOod thing we bet him to lose and Todd to win. Double the L's
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Old 06-28-2020, 04:33 PM   #895
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Quote:
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looks like DJ got this. GOod thing we bet him to lose and Todd to win. Double the L's
Noh putting it in the water to ruin a great position in that H2H matchup vs Kizzire too **** me
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Old 06-28-2020, 04:38 PM   #896
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

todd triple bogey. thanks iowa! for cursing us

noh was the worst. it was my 2nd biggest bet of the day. hoping for a push
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Old 06-28-2020, 04:51 PM   #897
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

and noh hits it 2 feet out of the bunker on 16. rip

at least an beat spieth
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Old 06-28-2020, 04:55 PM   #898
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

We were due for a setback. Now BM can keep the lights on for another week instead of cancelling golf betting forever.
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Old 06-28-2020, 05:00 PM   #899
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

they know they messed up on the Noh line too. Got it at +123 and it closed at -109
Better to be lucky than good. Guaranteed to crush this week because of full tournaments match-ups, but would be nice to have DJ lose at least.
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Old 06-28-2020, 07:01 PM   #900
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Back to the usual. Crushing tournament long bets and small win on all the round bets.

For the year my h2h round ROI is 2.86% vs. 23.53% for tournament. 53.48% for win. Lets hope h2h round goes up.

Round 1: 4-8-2 -1.09u on 15.45u risked
Round 2: 8-6-2 +4.23u on 16.94u risked
Round 3: 7-5-4 -0.71u on 14.06u risked
Round 4: 7-9-1 -1.3u on 20.45u risked
Tournament: 13-8-1 +8.4u on 19.78u risked
To Win: 1-6 -1.52u on 2.02u risked

Total for meaningful bets: 40-42-10 +8.01u on 88.7u bet


Smaller bet life:

3-Ball: 0-2 -0.58u on 0.58u risked
Props (inc make/miss cut since that is a prop): 4-4 +2u on 11.25u risked

Round 4:
Spoiler:


Tournament:

We lost every "fade the steam" bet for 2.14u. Classic.


Spoiler:


3-ball
Spoiler:


Props:

Spoiler:

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 06-28-2020 at 07:09 PM.
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