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06-27-2020 , 09:37 AM
#876
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old hand
Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568
Varner has played the 15th 5 strokes over this week. Classic
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06-27-2020 , 09:53 AM
#877
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Mickelson melt down is beginning.

Here's where his tee shot off 3 ended up

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06-27-2020 , 10:38 AM
#878
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adept
Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,175
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
Jason Day requested to be tested for covid so one of these might be cancelled. !
Playing solo. New tactic to get out of a bad group, request a test?
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06-27-2020 , 10:49 AM
#879
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Furyk back -1 and beating Grillo, crushing Luke Donald

I still remember making a ton of money off him here when he shot 58. Love the old dude
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06-27-2020 , 11:03 AM
#880
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I added Todd and Steele at 19.0 and 17.0 win only. Todd is at 97% driving accuracy on the week. Time to wrangle up a break even week
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06-27-2020 , 12:37 PM
#881
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Mickelson into the water on 13. For once it actually benefits us. Led to a bogey.

Dustin Johnson running away with this is ruining our USA and to Win bets.
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06-27-2020 , 01:52 PM
#882
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Travelers R3:

Spoiler:
Phil Mickelson - Marc Leishman - Match-ups - Marc Leishman Odds: -115 RISK: 2.3u LOSS -2.3u
Kevin Na - Viktor Hovland - Match-ups - Viktor Hovland Odds: -120 RISK:1.19u LOSS -1.19u
Joaquin Niemann - Jon Rahm - Match-ups - Jon Rahm Odds: -152 RISK: 1.52u WIN +1u
Luke Donald - Jim Furyk - Match-ups - Jim Furyk Odds: -141 RISK: 1.41u WIN +1u
Round 3 Matchups - Travelers - Jim Furyk -108 - (Emiliano Grillo vrs Jim Furyk) RISK: 0.3u PUSH
Round 3 Matchups - Travelers - Patrick Cantlay +105 - (Patrick Cantlay vrs Dustin Johnson) RISK: 1.42u LOSS -1.42u
Round 3 Matchup - Travelers - Will Gordon +129 - (Phil Mickelson vrs Will Gordon) RISK: 0.5u PUSH
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Mackenzie Hughes vs. Phil Mickelson - Mackenzie Hughes +120 RISK: 1.07u WIN +1.28u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Byeong-Hun An vs. Henrik Norlander - Byeong-Hun An -130 RISK: 0.85u LOSS -0.85u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Rafa Cabrera Bello vs. Jason Day - Jason Day -114 RISK: 0.13u WIN +0.11u
Schauffele +135 over McIlroy Risk: 0.58u LOSS -0.58u
DeChambeau -200 over Troy Merritt Risk: 1.04u WIN +0.52u
Lanto Griffin +215 over Patrick Cantlay RISK: 0.63u WIN +1.35u
Kyle Stanley -103 over Makr Hubbard RISK: 0.38u WIN +0.37u
Louis Oosthuizen -108 over Lucas Glover RISK: 0.15u PUSH
Sam Burns +154 over Niemann RISK: 0.59u PUSH


7-5-4 -0.71u on 14.06u risked

Rory blowing it on the back 9 kills a lot. Xander couldn't even capitalize to push the H2H.

Leishman's last 3 holes hurt the most. Nice 21.5k swing. Mickelson was crazy today. He would hit the worst shot maybe ever and then follow it up with an incredible shot. At least our field vs. Mickelson should cash. Another push on 18 too with Gordon's bogey. Enjoy your Outlaw Tour career.
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06-27-2020 , 03:54 PM
#883
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Travelers Championship Odds to Win Travelers Championship (Upd. after R3) Brendon Todd +185 RISK: 0.2u
Field Wins Travelers vs. Dustin Johnson -185. RISK: 0.37u
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06-27-2020 , 04:22 PM
#884
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Happy to see you taking those lines, my in game punt on Todd moves me from -4.2u loss on the week to +3.5 on the win.

Not surprising he's doing well with those accuracy stats
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06-27-2020 , 04:59 PM
#885
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his numbers are good + 2 stroke lead

perfect set up for back 9 blow up
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06-27-2020 , 06:10 PM
#886
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My milly solo 6/6 has Todd but still in ~500th and 70pts off the lead. Everyone else was between +1 & -1 today. Yahoo looking good, in 3rd on the $15 with $5k up top -- no Todd or DJ in that lineup either. Last two days have gone pretty well for as bad as day 1 started off.
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06-27-2020 , 06:30 PM
#887
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Got some BetOnline too but waiting for the limits to be raised

Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Adam Long -118 - (Adam Long vrs Sam Burns) RISK: 0.15u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Xander Schauffele -139 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Joaquin Niemann) RISK: 0.62u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Will Gordon -126 - (Will Gordon vrs Wesley Bryan) RISK: 0.82u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Brendan Steele +108 - (Zach Johnson vrs Brendan Steele) RISK: 0.54u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Seung Yul Noh +113 - (Patton Kizzire vrs Seung Yul Noh) RISK: 2u
Jordan Spieth - Patrick Reed - Match-ups - Patrick Reed Odds: -115 RISK: 2.3u
Abraham Ancer - Phil Mickelson - Match-ups - Abraham Ancer Odds: -159 RISK: 1.59u
Dustin Johnson - Bryson DeChambeau - Match-ups - Bryson DeChambeau Odds: -110 RISK: 0.85u
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06-28-2020 , 12:42 AM
#888
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Betonline:

Ian Poulter vs. Greg Chalmers - Greg Chalmers +265 RISK: 0.95u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Adam Long vs. Xander Schauffele - Adam Long +193 RISK: 0.78u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Paul Casey vs. Sung Kang - Sung Kang +169 RISK: 0.17u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Jim Furyk vs. Sergio Garcia - Jim Furyk +120 RISK: 1.08u
Phil Mickelson vs. Charley Hoffman - Charley Hoffman -105 RISK: 2.1u
Brandt Snedeker vs. Hank Lebioda - Brandt Snedeker -155 RISK: 3.2u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Jordan Spieth vs. Byeong-Hun An - Byeong-Hun An +105 RISK: 2u
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06-28-2020 , 08:46 AM
#889
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Not sure why, but I fired a bunch of lineups for the 4th round.
My mail lineup is DJ, Dechambeau, Sergio (why do I keep doing this to myself?), Stanley, Streelman, and Noh
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06-28-2020 , 10:01 AM
#890
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I stand with Brendon Todd. Also on team Adam Long and need Rory to either win or play like he has the last couple of Sundays.
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06-28-2020 , 10:12 AM
#891
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couple others

Kyle Stanley +150 over Victor Hovland 0.54u
Streelman -140 over Hughes 0.76u
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06-28-2020 , 12:40 PM
#892
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Non-Nascar news is light sadly
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06-28-2020 , 01:45 PM
#893
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epic start for our hoffman bet

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06-28-2020 , 04:23 PM
#894
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looks like DJ got this. GOod thing we bet him to lose and Todd to win. Double the L's
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06-28-2020 , 04:33 PM
#895
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
looks like DJ got this. GOod thing we bet him to lose and Todd to win. Double the L's
Noh putting it in the water to ruin a great position in that H2H matchup vs Kizzire too **** me
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06-28-2020 , 04:38 PM
#896
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todd triple bogey. thanks iowa! for cursing us

noh was the worst. it was my 2nd biggest bet of the day. hoping for a push
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06-28-2020 , 04:51 PM
#897
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and noh hits it 2 feet out of the bunker on 16. rip

at least an beat spieth
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06-28-2020 , 04:55 PM
#898
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We were due for a setback. Now BM can keep the lights on for another week instead of cancelling golf betting forever.
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06-28-2020 , 05:00 PM
#899
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they know they messed up on the Noh line too. Got it at +123 and it closed at -109
Better to be lucky than good. Guaranteed to crush this week because of full tournaments match-ups, but would be nice to have DJ lose at least.
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06-28-2020 , 07:01 PM
#900
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Back to the usual. Crushing tournament long bets and small win on all the round bets.

For the year my h2h round ROI is 2.86% vs. 23.53% for tournament. 53.48% for win. Lets hope h2h round goes up.

Round 1: 4-8-2 -1.09u on 15.45u risked
Round 2: 8-6-2 +4.23u on 16.94u risked
Round 3: 7-5-4 -0.71u on 14.06u risked
Round 4: 7-9-1 -1.3u on 20.45u risked
Tournament: 13-8-1 +8.4u on 19.78u risked
To Win: 1-6 -1.52u on 2.02u risked

Total for meaningful bets: 40-42-10 +8.01u on 88.7u bet


Smaller bet life:

3-Ball: 0-2 -0.58u on 0.58u risked
Props (inc make/miss cut since that is a prop): 4-4 +2u on 11.25u risked

Round 4:
Spoiler:
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Adam Long -118 - (Adam Long vrs Sam Burns) RISK: 0.15u LOSS -0.15u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Xander Schauffele -139 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Joaquin Niemann) RISK: 0.62u WIN +0.45u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Will Gordon -126 - (Will Gordon vrs Wesley Bryan) RISK: 0.82u WIN +0.65u
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Brendan Steele +108 - (Zach Johnson vrs Brendan Steele) RISK: 0.54u WIN +0.58
Round 4 Matchup - Travelers - Seung Yul Noh +113 - (Patton Kizzire vrs Seung Yul Noh) RISK: 2u LOSS -2u
Jordan Spieth - Patrick Reed - Match-ups - Patrick Reed Odds: -115 RISK: 2.3u WIN +2
Abraham Ancer - Phil Mickelson - Match-ups - Abraham Ancer Odds: -159 RISK: 1.59u WIN +1u
Dustin Johnson - Bryson DeChambeau - Match-ups - Bryson DeChambeau Odds: -110 RISK: 0.85u LOSS -0.8u
Ian Poulter vs. Greg Chalmers - Greg Chalmers +265 RISK: 0.95u LOSS -0.95u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Adam Long vs. Xander Schauffele - Adam Long +193 RISK: 0.78u LOSS -0.78u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Paul Casey vs. Sung Kang - Sung Kang +169 RISK: 0.17u LOSS -0.17u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Jim Furyk vs. Sergio Garcia - Jim Furyk +120 RISK: 1.08u LOSS -1.08u
Phil Mickelson vs. Charley Hoffman - Charley Hoffman -105 RISK: 2.1u LOSS -2.1u
Brandt Snedeker vs. Hank Lebioda - Brandt Snedeker -155 RISK: 3.2u PUSH
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 4 - Jordan Spieth vs. Byeong-Hun An - Byeong-Hun An +105 RISK: 2u WIN +2.1u
Kyle Stanley +150 over Victor Hovland 0.54u LOSS -0.54u
Streelman -140 over Hughes 0.76u WIN +0.54u


Tournament:

We lost every "fade the steam" bet for 2.14u. Classic.


Spoiler:
Sungjae Im - Collin Morikawa - Match-ups - Sungjae Im Odds: +102 RISK: 0.74u WIN +0.75u
Kevin Kisner - Joel Dahmen - Match-ups - Kevin Kisner Odds: +108 RISK: 0.35u LOSS -0.35u
Tony Finau - Marc Leishman - Match-ups - Marc Leishman Odds: +105 RISK: 0.79u WIN +0.83u
Corey Conners - Scottie Scheffler - Match-ups - Scottie Scheffler Odds: -115 RISK: 0.44u WIN +0.38u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Webb Simpson -141 - (Webb Simpson vrs Brooks Koepka) RISK: 1.39u CANCELLED
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Patrick Cantlay +105 - (Patrick Cantlay vrs Justin Rose) RISK: 2u WIN +2.1u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Xander Schauffele -126 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Justin Rose) RISK: 1.5u WIN +1.19u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Marc Leishman +103 - (Tony Finau vrs Marc Leishman) RISK: 0.66u WIN +0.68u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Billy Horschel -144 - (Billy Horschel vrs Ryan Palmer) RISK: 1.27u PUSH
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Scottie Scheffler +100 - (Corey Conners vrs Scottie Scheffler) RISK: 2u WIN +2u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Chez Reavie -104 - (Chez Reavie vrs Keegan Bradley) RISK: 0.83u WIN +0.8u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Jason Kokrak -155 - (Branden Grace vrs Jason Kokrak) RISK: 0.59u LOSS -0.59u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Jon Rahm -159 - (Jon Rahm vrs Brooks Koepka) RISK: 3.18u CANCELLED
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Kevin Kisner +116 - (Kevin Kisner vrs Joel Dahmen) RISK: 0.7u LOSS -0.7u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Justin Thomas +100 - (Bryson Dechambeau vrs Justin Thomas) RISK: 0.85u LOSS -0.85u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Austin Cook +150 - (C.T. Pan vrs Austin Cook) RISK: 1.5u WIN +2.25u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - DJ Trahan +100 - (DJ Trahan vrs Xinjun Zhang) RISK: 0.35u LOSS -0.35u (complete meltdown from Trahan)
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Zach Johnson +100 - (Dylan Frittelli vrs Zach Johnson) RISK: 0.3u WIN +0.3u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Cameron Tringale +143 - (Lucas Glover vrs Cameron Tringale) RISK: 0.7u LOSS -0.7u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Luke Donald -126 - (Patton Kizzire vrs Luke Donald) RISK: 1.16u LOSS -1.16u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Ryan Armour +115 - (Tyler Duncan vrs Ryan Armour) RISK: 0.28u WIN +0.32
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Paul Casey +126 - (Paul Casey vrs Abraham Ancer) RISK: 0.7u LOSS -0.7u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Patrick Reed -132 - (Patrick Reed vrs Sergio Garcia) RISK: 0.58u WIN + 0.44u
Tournament Matchup - Travelers - Patrick Cantlay +118 - (Patrick Cantlay vrs Xander Schauffele) RISK: 1.49u WIN +1.76u
Tournament: 13-8-1 +8.4u on 19.78u risked


3-ball
Spoiler:
Morikawa +175 over Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth 0.46u LOSS -0.46u
Rory McIlroy +125 over Bryson DeChambeau and Phil Mickelson 0.12u LOSS -0.12u
Xander Schauffele +225 over Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka 0.29u CANCELLED COVID


Props:

Spoiler:
Brooks Koepka MISS cut +240 (+212) CANCELLED COVID
Bubba Watson MISS cut +185 (+141) WIN +1.85u
Rahm MAKE cut -400 (-501) WIN +1
Justin Rose MISS cut +240 (+217) WIN +2.4u
Phil Mickelson MISS cut -125 (i have this at -180, the most off one) LOSS -1.25 lol
Non USA Winner +175 (~+135 fair) LOSS -1
Top American: Xander Schauffele +2000 (~+1450 fair) LOSS -1
Top Asian: Sungjae Im +130 (+119 fair) LOSS -1
No Playoff -400 (-449 fair)
Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 06-28-2020 at 07:09 PM.
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