Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-26-2020, 04:19 PM   #851
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

if Scheffler doesn't make the cut I'm retiring from golf for the third week in a row. I can't believe how bad this has gone post-covid compared to pre.
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 05:47 PM   #852
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Im's now to -3.

Either he needs to get to -4 or 2 people need to go from -4 to -3.

The names that made the cut are so ridiculous. Will Gordon? Austin Cook? Is this the outlaw tour
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 06:04 PM   #853
Iowa!
old hand
 
Iowa!'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1,521
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Going 0/150 on getting 6/6 through in the milly once again if Im doesn't birdie his last but should wind up crushing cash. The higher stakes games were a car crash this week. 5/6 is $ and 4/6 good enough in most.
Iowa! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 06:17 PM   #854
Iowa!
old hand
 
Iowa!'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1,521
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Sung Jae did it so will win anywhere from an extra $30 to $1,000,000 now.
Iowa! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 06:38 PM   #855
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

it's amazing. if it was -3 would have gotten so many thru

scheffler
schenk
ryan moore
bud cauley on a rory/xander/liehsman/oos/furyk lineup
horschel
garnett
cam smith

only one i got thru has nobody good
rory/zander/reed/day/vegas/stanley

DK cash is horrible too. FD cash is nice, only morikawa got cut

can't believe we missed the obvious stack this week. Phil Mickelson/Will Gordon/Mackenzie Hughes/Brendon Todd

At least we won our two biggest bets. The fade the Krak Cantlay over Rose and Scheffler over Conners. R2 went pretty good today to cancel out R1 yesterday.
Lost a couple of lame bets today tho. Hoge double bogey 17 to lose by 1
and grayson murray bogey 8 then triple bogey 9 to end his day
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 06:43 PM   #856
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i should be good with cash. every $100+ h2h is either 3v3 or my 3v2

scheffler getting thru would have been so nice since no one else had him.
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 07:30 PM   #857
critiakx2
journeyman
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 315
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Looks like 1.5% of field got 6/6 in the milly, 10% 5/6. I have 1/20 and 3/20 respectively.

The unique 6/6 is Rory/Reed/Sungjae/Hovland/BTodd/Furyk lol
critiakx2 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 07:44 PM   #858
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread



thank you anti cantlay/rose and anti scheffler/conners steam

and my inability to bet a reasonable amount on a really off line even tho i'm probably wrong

i got 1/20 6/6
8/20 5/6. almost every 8/20 was a guy at -3 or bud cauley
classic. get them thru and we winning some real money

the schenk one hurts. he was only 0.1% so him getting through wouldn't matter much to the overall number.

ryan moore could have skewed it some.

garnett only 0.8%, cauley only 1.7%

bad luck. all so close. we will get them next week.
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 07:49 PM   #859
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

for comparison here's how horrible matsuyama wasto us last week

DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 08:11 PM   #860
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

betonline just opened Phil mickelson the favorite to win the travelers

no money in golf. everyone is solid
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 09:30 PM   #861
Precept24
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: New Haven, CT
Posts: 8,151
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I failed to get any 6/6 and only got 1 5/6. Ancer, Reed, Woodland, Hovland, Sergio, and Dahmen.

My Cauley lineups weren't going to do well... thanks to Woodland.
Precept24 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 09:31 PM   #862
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Travelers Round 1:

Spoiler:


4-8-2 -1.09u on 15.45u risked

Travelers Round 2:

Spoiler:


8-6-2 +4.23u on 16.94u risked

Spoiler:


Make/Miss cut prop: 3-1 +4u on 4.25u risked

lets stay up all night and wait for people to post R3 lines
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 09:54 PM   #863
rickroll
oddly catty
 
rickroll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: serene, serene, puissant, puissant
Posts: 7,560
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

2/6 on my cash line, thank covid jesus i played a very small amount this week due to covid/reduced player pool fears
rickroll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 10:00 PM   #864
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

couple early lines i saw on some PPH's.

Phil Mickelson - Marc Leishman - Match-ups - Marc Leishman Odds: -115 RISK: 2.3u
Kevin Na - Viktor Hovland - Match-ups - Viktor Hovland Odds: -120 RISK:1.19u
Joaquin Niemann - Jon Rahm - Match-ups - Jon Rahm Odds: -152 RISK: 1.52u
Luke Donald - Jim Furyk - Match-ups - Jim Furyk Odds: -141 RISK: 1.41u

I saw this too: Field vs. Phil Mickelson -400. Only $500 max, but I'd do that. So I guess 0.4u to win 0.1u on it. Good until -526.

Couple updates on our to wins

Schauffele top American +2000, I have fair as +427 now and a slight favorite over bryson
Rory +1175 +522 now
Rahm +1672, +3100 now
Im +3241, +6200 or so now
No playoff -400, -344 now
Non USA +175, +120 now

Best likely outcome would be Rory winning and Xander getting second.
Best overall outcome would be Rahm winning and Schauffele 2nd.

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 06-26-2020 at 10:07 PM.
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 10:17 PM   #865
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

BM lil light tonight on value

Round 3 Matchups - Travelers - Jim Furyk -108 - (Emiliano Grillo vrs Jim Furyk) RISK: 0.3u
Round 3 Matchups - Travelers - Patrick Cantlay +105 - (Patrick Cantlay vrs Dustin Johnson) RISK: 1.42u
Round 3 Matchup - Travelers - Will Gordon +129 - (Phil Mickelson vrs Will Gordon) RISK: 0.5u

Only BetOnline, Pinnacle, and Circa Sports to go!
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 10:42 PM   #866
rickroll
oddly catty
 
rickroll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: serene, serene, puissant, puissant
Posts: 7,560
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I also like An>Lowry -105
rickroll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-26-2020, 10:50 PM   #867
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I have fair on that

An +101/Lowry -101 so I avoided. Lowrys putting has been horrible in the first two rounds tho. -3.39 shots gained, but his tee 2 green is amazing +3.27

Byeong's had good putting +1.1, bad tee 2 green -0.22.

For this course t2g is more important than putting. So I guess it comes down to was lowry's +3.27 an anomaly and will his putting improve. Or will his t2g drop off and putting stay the same.

FWIW compared to my pre tournament prediction, Lowry's -3.62 putting, and +2.88 t2g

so running way above on one, way below on other

An is running +1.5 on putting and -1.19 on t2g based on projection
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 03:09 AM   #868
rickroll
oddly catty
 
rickroll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: serene, serene, puissant, puissant
Posts: 7,560
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

hey i'll take a fair line over silent laughter any day
rickroll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 06:15 AM   #869
Hellmuth was right
Pooh-Bah
 
Hellmuth was right's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 3,722
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Because of inclement weather they are going off early in threesomes, leaders tee off at 9:15 local. Make sure to get your bets in.
Hellmuth was right is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 07:33 AM   #870
Iowa!
old hand
 
Iowa!'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1,521
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Feel bad for whoever is on the other side of these when Sigs/Iowa! are totally aligned but we do it with Furyk over Grillo today imo.
Iowa! is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 07:49 AM   #871
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Jason Day requested to be tested for covid so one of these might be cancelled. Waking up at 4am to bet golf because no one can post lines at a reasonable time. What a life.

BetOnline:

Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Mackenzie Hughes vs. Phil Mickelson - Mackenzie Hughes +120 RISK: 1.07u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Byeong-Hun An vs. Henrik Norlander - Byeong-Hun An -130 RISK: 0.85u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Rafa Cabrera Bello vs. Jason Day - Jason Day -114 RISK: 0.13u

Furyk off to a bad start. E thru 2!
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 07:55 AM   #872
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Circa Sports:

Schauffele +135 over McIlroy Risk: 0.58u
DeChambeau -200 over Troy Merritt Risk: 1.04u
Lanto Griffin +215 over Patrick Cantlay RISK: 0.63u

I usually dont post these since most people don't live in Vegas but I noticed 5dimes copies every circa sports line now. So feel free to bet them there.
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 08:00 AM   #873
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Pinnacle clones:

Kyle Stanley -103 over Makr Hubbard RISK: 0.38u
Louis Oosthuizen -108 over Lucas Glover RISK: 0.15u
Sam Burns +154 over Niemann RISK: 0.59u

They posted these lines 50 minutes ago. RIP Pinnacle
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 08:55 AM   #874
DefNotRsigley
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 10,389
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

We cursed Furyk

Shot 5 in the hole
Shot 4 putt 6 ft 8 in., 2 ft 6 in. to hole
Shot 3 22 ft 9 in. to green, 3 ft 11 in. to hole

Missed 2 3-foot putts to bogey.
DefNotRsigley is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-27-2020, 09:26 AM   #875
Iowa!
old hand
 
Iowa!'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 1,521
Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

If you spot Emiliano Grillo a few strokes on the green you're going to have a really bad time. **** us.
Iowa! is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:54 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 2008-2017, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online