Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread - Page 35 - Sports Betting

if Scheffler doesn't make the cut I'm retiring from golf for the third week in a row. I can't believe how bad this has gone post-covid compared to pre.

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06-26-2020 , 05:47 PM

#852

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Im's now to -3.

Either he needs to get to -4 or 2 people need to go from -4 to -3.

The names that made the cut are so ridiculous. Will Gordon? Austin Cook? Is this the outlaw tour

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06-26-2020 , 06:04 PM

#853

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

Going 0/150 on getting 6/6 through in the milly once again if Im doesn't birdie his last but should wind up crushing cash. The higher stakes games were a car crash this week. 5/6 is $ and 4/6 good enough in most.

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06-26-2020 , 06:17 PM

#854

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

Sung Jae did it so will win anywhere from an extra $30 to $1,000,000 now.

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06-26-2020 , 06:38 PM

#855

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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it's amazing. if it was -3 would have gotten so many thru

scheffler
schenk
ryan moore
bud cauley on a rory/xander/liehsman/oos/furyk lineup
horschel
garnett
cam smith

only one i got thru has nobody good
rory/zander/reed/day/vegas/stanley

DK cash is horrible too. FD cash is nice, only morikawa got cut

can't believe we missed the obvious stack this week. Phil Mickelson/Will Gordon/Mackenzie Hughes/Brendon Todd

At least we won our two biggest bets. The fade the Krak Cantlay over Rose and Scheffler over Conners. R2 went pretty good today to cancel out R1 yesterday.
Lost a couple of lame bets today tho. Hoge double bogey 17 to lose by 1
and grayson murray bogey 8 then triple bogey 9 to end his day

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06-26-2020 , 06:43 PM

#856

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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i should be good with cash. every $100+ h2h is either 3v3 or my 3v2

scheffler getting thru would have been so nice since no one else had him.

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06-26-2020 , 07:30 PM

#857

critiakx2

journeyman

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 349

Looks like 1.5% of field got 6/6 in the milly, 10% 5/6. I have 1/20 and 3/20 respectively.

The unique 6/6 is Rory/Reed/Sungjae/Hovland/BTodd/Furyk lol

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06-26-2020 , 07:44 PM

#858

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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thank you anti cantlay/rose and anti scheffler/conners steam

and my inability to bet a reasonable amount on a really off line even tho i'm probably wrong

i got 1/20 6/6
8/20 5/6. almost every 8/20 was a guy at -3 or bud cauley
classic. get them thru and we winning some real money

the schenk one hurts. he was only 0.1% so him getting through wouldn't matter much to the overall number.

ryan moore could have skewed it some.

garnett only 0.8%, cauley only 1.7%

bad luck. all so close. we will get them next week.

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06-26-2020 , 07:49 PM

#859

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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for comparison here's how horrible matsuyama wasto us last week

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06-26-2020 , 08:11 PM

#860

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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betonline just opened Phil mickelson the favorite to win the travelers

no money in golf. everyone is solid

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06-26-2020 , 09:30 PM

#861

Precept24

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Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

I failed to get any 6/6 and only got 1 5/6. Ancer, Reed, Woodland, Hovland, Sergio, and Dahmen.

My Cauley lineups weren't going to do well... thanks to Woodland.

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06-26-2020 , 09:31 PM

#862

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Travelers Round 1:

Spoiler:

4-8-2 -1.09u on 15.45u risked

Travelers Round 2:

Spoiler:

8-6-2 +4.23u on 16.94u risked

Spoiler:

Make/Miss cut prop: 3-1 +4u on 4.25u risked

lets stay up all night and wait for people to post R3 lines

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06-26-2020 , 09:54 PM

#863

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,477

2/6 on my cash line, thank covid jesus i played a very small amount this week due to covid/reduced player pool fears

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06-26-2020 , 10:00 PM

#864

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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couple early lines i saw on some PPH's.

Phil Mickelson - Marc Leishman - Match-ups - Marc Leishman Odds: -115 RISK: 2.3u
Kevin Na - Viktor Hovland - Match-ups - Viktor Hovland Odds: -120 RISK:1.19u
Joaquin Niemann - Jon Rahm - Match-ups - Jon Rahm Odds: -152 RISK: 1.52u
Luke Donald - Jim Furyk - Match-ups - Jim Furyk Odds: -141 RISK: 1.41u

I saw this too: Field vs. Phil Mickelson -400. Only $500 max, but I'd do that. So I guess 0.4u to win 0.1u on it. Good until -526.

Couple updates on our to wins

Schauffele top American +2000, I have fair as +427 now and a slight favorite over bryson
Rory +1175 +522 now
Rahm +1672, +3100 now
Im +3241, +6200 or so now
No playoff -400, -344 now
Non USA +175, +120 now

Best likely outcome would be Rory winning and Xander getting second.
Best overall outcome would be Rahm winning and Schauffele 2nd.

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 06-26-2020 at 10:07 PM.

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06-26-2020 , 10:17 PM

#865

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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BM lil light tonight on value

Round 3 Matchups - Travelers - Jim Furyk -108 - (Emiliano Grillo vrs Jim Furyk) RISK: 0.3u
Round 3 Matchups - Travelers - Patrick Cantlay +105 - (Patrick Cantlay vrs Dustin Johnson) RISK: 1.42u
Round 3 Matchup - Travelers - Will Gordon +129 - (Phil Mickelson vrs Will Gordon) RISK: 0.5u

Only BetOnline, Pinnacle, and Circa Sports to go!

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06-26-2020 , 10:42 PM

#866

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,477

I also like An>Lowry -105

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06-26-2020 , 10:50 PM

#867

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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I have fair on that

An +101/Lowry -101 so I avoided. Lowrys putting has been horrible in the first two rounds tho. -3.39 shots gained, but his tee 2 green is amazing +3.27

Byeong's had good putting +1.1, bad tee 2 green -0.22.

For this course t2g is more important than putting. So I guess it comes down to was lowry's +3.27 an anomaly and will his putting improve. Or will his t2g drop off and putting stay the same.

FWIW compared to my pre tournament prediction, Lowry's -3.62 putting, and +2.88 t2g

so running way above on one, way below on other

An is running +1.5 on putting and -1.19 on t2g based on projection

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06-27-2020 , 03:09 AM

#868

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,477

hey i'll take a fair line over silent laughter any day

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06-27-2020 , 06:15 AM

#869

Hellmuth was right

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 5,789

Because of inclement weather they are going off early in threesomes, leaders tee off at 9:15 local. Make sure to get your bets in.

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06-27-2020 , 07:33 AM

#870

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

Feel bad for whoever is on the other side of these when Sigs/Iowa! are totally aligned but we do it with Furyk over Grillo today imo.

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06-27-2020 , 07:49 AM

#871

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Jason Day requested to be tested for covid so one of these might be cancelled. Waking up at 4am to bet golf because no one can post lines at a reasonable time. What a life.

BetOnline:

Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Mackenzie Hughes vs. Phil Mickelson - Mackenzie Hughes +120 RISK: 1.07u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Byeong-Hun An vs. Henrik Norlander - Byeong-Hun An -130 RISK: 0.85u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 3 - Rafa Cabrera Bello vs. Jason Day - Jason Day -114 RISK: 0.13u

Furyk off to a bad start. E thru 2!

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06-27-2020 , 07:55 AM

#872

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Circa Sports:

Schauffele +135 over McIlroy Risk: 0.58u
DeChambeau -200 over Troy Merritt Risk: 1.04u
Lanto Griffin +215 over Patrick Cantlay RISK: 0.63u

I usually dont post these since most people don't live in Vegas but I noticed 5dimes copies every circa sports line now. So feel free to bet them there.

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06-27-2020 , 08:00 AM

#873

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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Pinnacle clones:

Kyle Stanley -103 over Makr Hubbard RISK: 0.38u
Louis Oosthuizen -108 over Lucas Glover RISK: 0.15u
Sam Burns +154 over Niemann RISK: 0.59u

They posted these lines 50 minutes ago. RIP Pinnacle

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06-27-2020 , 08:55 AM

#874

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

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We cursed Furyk

Shot 5 in the hole
Shot 4 putt 6 ft 8 in., 2 ft 6 in. to hole
Shot 3 22 ft 9 in. to green, 3 ft 11 in. to hole

Missed 2 3-foot putts to bogey.