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Old 06-25-2020, 05:51 PM   #826
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Is water in Connecticut magnetic? This Thursday was so hilariously bad for me that I'll probably have a winning week
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Old 06-25-2020, 06:02 PM   #827
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread



gotta love vaughn taylor

got a 91st with +2 schenk

124th with everyone loking like they'd make the cut
197th with an E Kokrak and -1 Burgoon
546th with E Munoz
686 with +1 fitzpatrick
985 with E Horschel

couldn't pick the mid price guy right this week
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Old 06-26-2020, 12:51 AM   #828
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Did anyone else's offshore/pph books have the following for round 1 matchups today?

Martin Trainer -140
Ted Potter Jr. +120

Or something similar where Martin Trainer was available as a favorite against Potter? I caught it 20 min before they teed off and other sites had Trainer around +170 or +180 and Potter -210 iirc.
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Old 06-26-2020, 07:18 AM   #829
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by El Sueno View Post
Did anyone else's offshore/pph books have the following for round 1 matchups today?

Martin Trainer -140
Ted Potter Jr. +120

Or something similar where Martin Trainer was available as a favorite against Potter? I caught it 20 min before they teed off and other sites had Trainer around +170 or +180 and Potter -210 iirc.
BOL was (correctly) offering Potter as the fave at reduced limits. Not involved on the PPH side atm, but the Don Best screen has had all sorts of incorrect info since golf has come back so I'd imagine some wild stuff is being posted by the clones.
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Old 06-26-2020, 09:14 AM   #830
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

did Pinnacle ever post lines last night? waited until 11pm for them and fell asleep

looks like V Taylor is dead so no millions. Unless he somehow goes -6 on the next 9 holes.

Same with Burgoon

best hope now is my lineup that is 90th with Aaron Wise that has Leishman instead of Garcia
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Old 06-26-2020, 09:20 AM   #831
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
did Pinnacle ever post lines last night? waited until 11pm for them and fell asleep

looks like V Taylor is dead so no millions. Unless he somehow goes -6 on the next 9 holes.

Same with Burgoon

best hope now is my lineup that is 90th with Aaron Wise that has Leishman instead of Garcia
They posted a few minutes before the first guy teed off. Weird since there is no way they are getting crushed with the small limits they offer so maybe the locals begged them not to so they didn't have to worry about copying incorrectly.
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Old 06-26-2020, 09:34 AM   #832
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

The Pinnacle clones were the only ones I won yesterday. Here's what I got for R2. Don't play if you like money. Sorry for the delay but I discovered this new tv show called Star Trek and there's about 900 episodes so that has been taking up a lot of my life recently.

Sungjae Im - Sergio Garcia - Match-ups - Sungjae Im Odds: -115 RISK: 1.3u
Shane Lowry - Paul Casey - Match-ups - Paul Casey Odds: +100 RISK: 2u
Ryan Palmer - Abraham Ancer - Match-ups - Abraham Ancer Odds: -152 RISK: 0.24u
Scottie Scheffler (2nd Rnd) -135 vs Jhonattan Vegas (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.98u
Jon Rahm (2nd Rnd) -185 vs Chez Reavie (2nd Rnd) RISK: 1.21u
Sungjae Im (2nd Rnd) -120 vs Sergio Garcia (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.64u
Grayson Murray (2nd Rnd) +135 vs Matthew Wolff (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.63u
Matt Jones (2nd Rnd) +120 vs Byeong Hun An (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.38u
Tom Hoge (2nd Rnd) -105 vs Charley Hoffman (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.71u
Bud Cauley (2nd Rnd) -135 vs Matt Wallace (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.21u
Danny Willett (2nd Rnd) +100 vs Tyler Duncan (2nd Rnd) RISK: 0.55u
Round 2 Matchup - Travelers - Scottie Scheffler +100 - (Scottie Scheffler vrs Keegan Bradley) RISK: 2u
Round 2 Matchup - Travelers - Corey Conners +107 - (Corey Conners vrs Joaquin Niemann) RISK: 1.3u
Round 2 Matchup - Travelers - Matthew Fitzpatrick -116 - (Matthew Fitzpatrick vrs Jason Kokrak) RISK: 1.03u
Round 2 Matchup - Travelers - Paul Casey +100 - (Sergio Garcia vrs Paul Casey) RISK: 0.85u
Round 2 Matchup - Travelers - Gary Woodland +115 - (Bubba Watson vrs Gary Woodland) RISK: 2u
Round 2 Matchup - Travelers - Dustin Johnson +101 - (Dustin Johnson vrs Justin Rose) RISK: 1.12u


Vaughn Taylor with back to back birdies??? There's a shot
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Old 06-26-2020, 09:41 AM   #833
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Ultraplay got tired of copying Pinnacle lines too. They usually post instantly after Pinnacle.

Their post covid time line

Week 1 - 2.5k limits on h2h openers - rebets allowed, 10k max win on outrights
Week 2 - 1k limits on h2h openers - rebets allowed, 5k max win on outrights
This week - $250 limits on h2h - no rebet, $25 max bet on outrights

Can't wait to see what they have in store for next week. For R2 they posted weird lines I didn't see anywhere else, but low limits and no re-bets. Probably copied from a euro book
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Old 06-26-2020, 10:45 AM   #834
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Is Woodland the new Hideki?
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Old 06-26-2020, 10:54 AM   #835
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

except last week when all my big h2h opponents had him

then Woodland was fire

same with Rose.

at least fitzpatrick is back. Got a streak attempt on 9

need -2 from schenk on these last 3 holes and he puts it into the rough on shot 1
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Old 06-26-2020, 11:41 AM   #836
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Denny McCarthy positive for Covid-19, get to work on the contact tracing chart Sigs.
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Old 06-26-2020, 12:00 PM   #837
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

i really hope somehow i end up in first after day 2 and then the tournament gets cancelled but pays out the prize money over covid.

that would be the best way to win vs. leading most of the week and having rory shoot a +8 in the 4th round to min cash
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Old 06-26-2020, 12:02 PM   #838
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

looks like he was paired with bud cauley (another fringe guy i got in a lot of good lineups) and matt wallace

gooch and van rooyen last week
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Old 06-26-2020, 12:06 PM   #839
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

fitzpatrick in the water on 13 back to back rounds

how hard is it to avoid water

wow and then misses a 5 foot putt to double bogey

f this guy
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:00 PM   #840
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Fitzpatrick going to miss the cut by one stroke? Shaping up for another terrible DFS week
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:02 PM   #841
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Cauley withdrew too. Odds of the syndicate shipping the million decreasing.
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:03 PM   #842
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I think the cut is going to be -4, so probably by 2 strokes. I have -4 slightly higher probability than -3

I'm hoping for -3 tho so Schenk gets in.

At least Scheffler is starting strong

Wow, 30% Cauley. And they were mostly McIlroy/Xander/Garcia/Leishman or Oosthuizen stacks.

Good thing I over reacted to covid because initially I was gonna put in 100, so that would have cost an easy $600.

Guess I'll have to make a million the old fashioned way. By not betting golf and losing a million every round.

Cauley probably realized he wasn't going to make the cut and wanted the 100k PGA money
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:07 PM   #843
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

In a few weeks our diligence will pay off when we start stacking the prior Covid 19 positives.
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:16 PM   #844
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Fitzpatrick 30 foot putt for birdie to maybe make the cut. Seems unlikely
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:17 PM   #845
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Also had some Cauley but think those lineups were already dead anyways. Think I might get 2/6 through on cash depending on how bad Sungjae plays this afternoon. Tour should probably make him & wallace w/d for precaution

Perpetually just 1-2 vegas dave whale plays away from a breakeven month.
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Old 06-26-2020, 01:24 PM   #846
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Fitspatrick missed it barely and Scheffler put it into the water on 13.

13 must be the hardest hole in the history of golf. Can't wait for him to put it in the water on 15 too
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Old 06-26-2020, 02:42 PM   #847
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

things really do work out in the long term

last week had 30k on matsuyama vs. woodland and he gets destroyed

go right back at it with 30k on scheffler over conners and he wins easy

same with R1/R2. Super heavy on matsuyama. Gets a push and a L. Scheffler gets a push and a W.

Ying yang, balance in the universe.

Hoping the cut is -4 now and get Scheffler, Im, Reed all in there. Best chance. -3 would bring in too many people we don't want and milly maker hopes are dead now anyway.
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Old 06-26-2020, 02:47 PM   #848
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

lol ryan moore was -6 with 4 holes left. ends up at -3 missing a 5 foot putt on 18 and a 3 foot putt on 16. now he's gonna miss the cut. even with all that course history
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Old 06-26-2020, 03:07 PM   #849
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Was looking pretty good on Yahoo until Moore blew up. Mostly was him vs. Harman so not like it's dead but if he makes cut it'll offset how awful DK is looking. I'm definitely rooting for a -3 cut so I guess we diversified well.
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Old 06-26-2020, 03:56 PM   #850
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

it's amazing of those scrub matchups bookmaker posted with 10k limits, almost all of them are making the cut

and all the superstars aren't. covid 19 has really leveled the playing field

phil mickelson closed -160 to miss the cut and now he's -9 and tied for 3rd. we aren't very smart. should have realized mickelson needed $$ after betting on himself for The Match
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