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Old 06-25-2020, 06:54 AM   #801
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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i think it's safe to say your h2hs are much bigger than mine but i've never found anything but misery and pain when deviating from a single cash line

much better to lose everything than to second guess yourself later


easier said with the stake i play though
Amounts are relative/irrelevant. If you can come up with two lineups that have an equalish edge with minimal to 0 overlap then you can justify risking more. And we want to risk as much as possible so that when the next Corona Virus strikes we don't find ourselves waking up at 3 AM to bet an extra 50k on golf that has an expected ROI of 1%.
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Old 06-25-2020, 06:57 AM   #802
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Looks like everyone played Bryson in cash on Yahoo and everyone went Harman > Moore for $27 at a quick 5am glance.

Hovland/Bryson chalkiest in the DK millionaire. Sungjae/Woodland/JT/Finau/Morikawa all >20%. I have 2/20 duped in the milly (3x, 4x with a 0.8% Aaron Wise somehow), 27% of the field is duped.
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Old 06-25-2020, 06:58 AM   #803
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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27% of the field is duped.
Smh, buy $DKNG
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Old 06-25-2020, 07:10 AM   #804
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Top two dupe trains somehow include Rose too. 25% of the field played him in cash.

Looks like Brooks & Webb only carried 0.5% ownership in the milly but still ahead of ~60 golfers. I've got a couple <1% guys but no one below Kopeka line.

Time to go back to sleep and tilt from late withdrawals later
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Old 06-25-2020, 07:53 AM   #805
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Yahoo cash went with Rory/Rahm/Ancer/Fitz/Moore/ [insert min-price guy]. Wanted to play Bryson since he's cheaper there than other sites so went there for tourneys.
just don't bumhunt me bro

i went with redman as defacto $20 guy this week

yeah I liked Bryson but wasn't going near him until i stop seeing pictures of how ripped he is every time i open twitter
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Old 06-25-2020, 07:56 AM   #806
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Amounts are relative/irrelevant. If you can come up with two lineups that have an equalish edge with minimal to 0 overlap then you can justify risking more. And we want to risk as much as possible so that when the next Corona Virus strikes we don't find ourselves waking up at 3 AM to bet an extra 50k on golf that has an expected ROI of 1%.
agreed, but for me I'm not playing with enough volume to equally distribute it to deal with the mental anguish of entering the "wrong" cash line in the $270 etc and the "right" one in the $5

once had a guy sit me for $270 and I sat him for $1 (all he posted) and he different lines and his $1 won but his $270 lost, never saw that guy again in the h2h streets
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Old 06-25-2020, 08:22 AM   #807
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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27% of the field is duped.
One dude max entered the same lineup.

"Shoutout to E.TEarlThomas for running the top duped lineup 150 times. https://t.co/tQBtWyX8fO"
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Old 06-25-2020, 08:59 AM   #808
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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One dude max entered the same lineup.

"Shoutout to E.TEarlThomas for running the top duped lineup 150 times. https://t.co/tQBtWyX8fO"
usually they entered a dummy and forgot to update it, been a few times i was caught up in a work project and had to panic edit

last soccer slate while in a conference call realized slate was about to lock and frantically began editing the dummy lineups and ran out of time so just ran a few individual ones and one big train
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Old 06-25-2020, 09:20 AM   #809
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

looks like the back 9 is the easiest in the history of golf

scheffler started good but then put it in the water on 8.

at least cantlay is dominating
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Old 06-25-2020, 09:22 AM   #810
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

I got a "could be rusty" vibe from Cantlay. I've got some ownership of him, but not as much as I should've had.
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Old 06-25-2020, 10:15 AM   #811
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

This is what I wound up with in the millionaire maker. Very on brand to be half dead before I even get the chance to post thanks to Horschel.

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Old 06-25-2020, 10:41 AM   #812
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

scheffler in the water again

need to start tracking tee 2 water metric
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Old 06-25-2020, 10:52 AM   #813
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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This is what I wound up with in the millionaire maker. Very on brand to be half dead before I even get the chance to post thanks to Horschel.

150x yeah? really admire you make a stand, i do the same but never like that
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Old 06-25-2020, 10:54 AM   #814
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

****ing Scheffler
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Old 06-25-2020, 10:55 AM   #815
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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150x yeah? really admire you make a stand, i do the same but never like that
Yes. It has become a 3k a week leak.
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Old 06-25-2020, 11:15 AM   #816
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

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Yes. It has become a 3k a week leak.
i've come to the realization that it'll be a very, very long time before i can ever get to a dfs br to go for it in such a skewed payout system but hot damn i admire your style for going for it and agree it's better to have a very narrow range - last thing you want to do is be on the right guys but not get the exact perfect combo
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Old 06-25-2020, 02:47 PM   #817
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

if you take out scheffler putting it in the water he would have been easily -3 or -4 for the day.

our only benefit is corey conners is worse and that should even us up for the day on him

I went a different overweight and just locked Rory and Xander then made all my lineups like that. I think it might be better to lock in the big guys and if they hit hope you hit the lotto with what scrub is gonna do good that week.

no Mackenzie Hughes tho
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Old 06-25-2020, 02:51 PM   #818
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

fitzmagic in the water too jesus
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Old 06-25-2020, 03:00 PM   #819
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Is that what that was? The shot tracker was all over the place. He's my big bet this week.

Hughes and Duncan are the two players I removed from my long shots, wp me.
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Old 06-25-2020, 03:26 PM   #820
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

lol the week i put in less lineups because of covid this is happening



just lock rory, xander and go overweight on sergio

easy game
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Old 06-25-2020, 03:31 PM   #821
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

fitzmagic into the water again on 15. what is going on

is this coronavirus
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Old 06-25-2020, 03:43 PM   #822
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Made a dogs dinner of 16 too
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Old 06-25-2020, 03:46 PM   #823
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Scheffler & Horschel hurting--had 60% and 40% in the milly respectively. Seems like Rory/Xander lock was a good play. I thought Rory/Rahm would be the two highest owned instead of Bryson/JT. Ended up with 50% Rahm, 30% Rory, 25% JT, 5% Bryson.

Yahoo lineup doing well with Rory > Bryson, Moore > Harman (currently), and Rodgers/Wise doing well as punts at least.
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Old 06-25-2020, 04:20 PM   #824
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

vaughn taylor has put it in the water for 3 of the last 5 holes
that is pretty impressive
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Old 06-25-2020, 05:06 PM   #825
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Re: Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

Poulter drunk Instagram is good
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