Carlos Ortiz - Bernhard Langer - Match-ups - Carlos Ortiz Odds: -135 RISK: 0.09u WIN +0.07u
Justin Rose - Adam Hadwin - Match-ups - Adam Hadwin Odds: +111 RISK: 0.53u LOSS -0.53u
Bill Haas - Ryan Armour - Match-ups - Ryan Armour Odds: -110 RISK: 0.43u LOSS -0.43u
Rory McIlroy - Bubba Watson - Match-ups - Rory McIlroy Odds: -159 RISK: 3.18u WIN +2u
Charl Schwartzel - Sepp Straka - Match-ups - Sepp Straka Odds: -105 RISK: 0.25u LOSS -0.25u
Justin Thomas - Jon Rahm - Match-ups - Jon Rahm Odds: +114 RISK: 2u PUSH (lost it on 18 again)
Branden Grace - Brian Stuard - Match-ups - Brian Stuard Odds: +112 RISK: 0.4u LOSS -0.4u
Round 3 Matchup - RBC - Webb Simpson +121 - (Webb Simpson vrs Bryson Dechambeau) RISK: 2u WIN +2.42u
Round 3 Matchup - RBC - Alex Noren -110 - (Jason Dufner vrs Alex Noren) RISK: 0.12u WIN +0.11u
Round 3 Matchup - RBC - Tyrrell Hatton +105 - (Sergio Garcia vrs Tyrrell Hatton) RISK: 2u WIN +2.1u
Round 3 Matchup - RBC - Matt Kuchar -133 - (Matt Kuchar vrs Max Homa) RISK: 0.77u WIN +0.58u
6-4-1 +5.67u on 11.77u risked

Almost a +8u unit day but Rahm shut down on the back nine and JT got one on 18 to push.

Hard to lose when you win all your big bets.

Pinnacle and clones:

Daniel Berger - Carlos Ortiz - Match-ups - Carlos Ortiz Odds: +164 RISK: 0.85u
Matthew Fitzpatrick - Ian Poulter - Match-ups - Matthew Fitzpatrick Odds: -116 RISK: 1.25u
Corey Conners - Brice Garnett - Match-ups - Brice Garnett Odds: +125 RISK: 0.43u
Tony Finau - JT Poston - Match-ups - Tony Finau Odds: -127 RISK: 1.4u
Rory McIlroy - Scott Stallings - Match-ups - Scott Stallings Odds: +289 RISK: 1u
Justin Rose - Lucas Glover - Match-ups - Lucas Glover Odds: +125 RISK: 0.96u
Matt Jones - Mackenzie Hughes - Match-ups - Matt Jones Odds: -123 RISK: 1.4u
Viktor Hovland - Chesson Hadley - Match-ups - Viktor Hovland Odds: -152 RISK: 0.62u
Vaughn Taylor - C T Pan - Match-ups - Vaughn Taylor Odds: +102 RISK: 1.5u
Troy Merritt - Stewart Cink - Match-ups - Troy Merritt Odds: -108 RISK: 0.15u
Bubba Watson - W. Bryan - Match-ups - W. Bryan Odds: +204 RISK: 0.63u
Jordan Spieth - Danny Lee - Match-ups - Danny Lee Odds: +112 RISK: 0.4u

BM whenever they post

yes we'll probably get strong odds to go against bryson in some h2hs for a while now

whoops that ortiz is +194 not +164, garnett is +145, glover +145 I don't know how to type.

only 2 look good at BM

Round 4 Matchup - RBC - Lucas Glover +121 - (Justin Rose vrs Lucas Glover) RISK: 0.75u
Round 4 Matchup - RBC - Tyrrell Hatton +102 - (Tyrrell Hatton vrs Abraham Ancer) RISK: 1.19u

whoops I didn't even realize we got that Glover line at better odds on different books. Oh well super overbet it now. Thats why you should keep good records to avoid things like this.

I got fair as +111 or so.

Speith has been terrible on the weekends over the past few years. Is there any merit to betting for/against certain players on certain days? or is it just random variance that could just as easily flip the other way over the next few years?

Imagine laying -120 to fade the syndicate with lil Honest Abe Ancer. We do it together with Tyrrell.

I'm not saying there can't be anything to it, but lots of variance over small samples in golf and even say 100 rounds isn't a v big sample imo.

golf is by far my worst sports but it's still profitable because there's a ton of guys who play for hundreds of dollars in dfs based on things like "he plays well in canada" despite that he has a sample size of 3 for "canada" and the person making this statement has no way to know if the courses in canada really have any measurable difference

I'm sure there's some stuff like this that factors in but a lot of it could easily just be noise

i'm willing to guess that since Spieth's main strength is putting, which is the most volatile skill by a large margin, he's more apt to do well then suddenly implode which could give this "bad weekend player impression"

but then again, maybe he parties too hard or can't handle the pressure etc,and the weekend dropoff is real, it's really hard to quantify

Hatton -108 we did it. I got it at +112 when it opened. Crazy line.

almost as bad as setting taylor an underdog to CT Pan.Currently -132. I hope he doesn't have covid like yesterday.

only one that really moved against us was Finau -127. At -118 now.

Vaughn Taylor starts out with a nice 2 birdies and then covid kicks in for back to back bogeys. Thanks a lot Nick Watney.

8 birdies and a triple from Xander is okay for me (in 2 hours 20 minutes). Need Woodland to do some damage on the back.

today is going pretty great

danny lee misses a 3 foot putt on 17, bogeys, and is now tied with spieth going into 18.

while wesley puts it into the water.

wonder whats gonna happen next!

Added some Hatton +767 outright on Bookmaker. Also have +2994 Webb from pre-tourney. Would be a really nice day if one of them could win.

Wes got up and down from 130+ to save par. That's solid.

danny lee melted down tho

was ~20 feet from the hole and chipped it about 60 feet

then two putted for bogey and of course spieth par's.

wtf is this

sorry he had to take a bathroom break and i subbed in for a few strokes

hovland 2 eagles is saving my cash lineup. cashing everything now even with 4/6. shout out to him

whenever taylor gets back into it something happens. CT Pan puts it in the water and double bogeys so taylor puts it in the water on the next hole

i got quite the sweat going on, main cash line is crushing it but have a lot to fade to hold

if you got morikawa/dechambeau/grace/mcilroy i apologize in advance if my voodoo magic works to jinx them

had i just kept webb in cash and not tinkered last minute and spent the extra buck upgrading to thomas I wouldn't be in such a sweat right now

Conners bogeys the first. Ancer and Van Rooyen it is then

how bad is rahm god

scott stallings is gonna save the day. why did people think rory was on his level. someone should get fired for that blunder

i forgot we have 2 big tournament long bets against dechambeau. goal is just to get to E for the week now

Scott Stallings back to back bogeys since we talked him up. Classic.

Webb!!!!!!