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Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

06-14-2020 , 01:12 PM
https://www.actionnetwork.com/golf/f...ay-from-390000

damn we are only winning 130k if Schauffele wins. Guess that's not good enough for an action network article
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06-14-2020 , 04:22 PM
Looks like the cash out king is dead. Woodland +1 and T11 4 off the lead.

lets go for the crown

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06-14-2020 , 04:40 PM
Bryson off the planet
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06-14-2020 , 04:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
Looks like the cash out king is dead. Woodland +1 and T11 4 off the lead.

lets go for the crown

Looking good
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06-14-2020 , 04:55 PM
i'm going to call it a W because I want to go to sleep. We did it guys. Enjoy your winnings. We killed full tournament and round h2h again. 0 losing events in 2020 between PGA and Euro PGA. Can't be stopped because we won't be stopped. We invented the remix.

Full tournament:

Koepka > Webb Simpson +145 RISK: 1.2u WIN +1.74u
Schauffele > SungJae Im -110 RISK: 1.06u WIN +0.96u
Poulter > Niemann +120 RISK: 0.57u WIN +0.68u
Hovland > Na -120 RISK: 1.5u WIN +1.25
Watson > Knox +130 RISK: 1.25u WIN +1.63
Day > Oosthuizen -105 RISK: 2.1u LOSS -2.1
Dahmen > Kisner +100 RISK: 1.2u WIN +1.2

Full Tournament: 6-1 +5.36u on 9.42u risked (56.9% ROI)

Charles Schwab Challenge - Collin Morikawa +1100 RISK: 0.3u LOSS -0.3u
Charles Schwab Challenge - Xander Schauffele +1600 RISK: 0.81u WIN +12.96u
Justin Thomas +525 to win for 0.3u LOSS -0.3u
To Win: +12.36u on 1.41u risked

Matthew Wolff - Pat Perez - Match-ups - Pat Perez Odds: +110 RISK: 1.28u WIN +1.41u
Joaquin Niemann - Keith Mitchell - Match-ups - Keith Mitchell Odds: +124 RISK: 0.92u LOSS -0.92u
Scott Piercy - Jhonattan Vegas - Match-ups - Jhonattan Vegas Odds: +104 RISK: 0.09u WIN +0.09u
Harry Higgs +130 over Oosthuizen RISK: 0.67u WIN +0.87u
Round 4 Matchup - Charles Schwab - Rory Sabbatini +126 - (Rory Sabbatini vrs Brooks Koepka) RISK: 1.01u WIN +1.27u
Matthew Fitzpatrick - Bud Cauley - Match-ups - Bud Cauley Odds: +128 RISK: 0.46u WIN +0.59u
Maverick McNealy +138 over Finau RISK: 0.46u LOSS -0.46u
Mark Hubbard +185 over Sungjae Im RISK: 0.92u LOSS -0.92u
Bubba Watson - Charles Howell III - Match-ups - Charles Howell III Odds: +104 RISK :0.63u LOSS -0.63u
Round 4 Matchup - Charles Schwab - Corey Conners +113 - (Corey Conners vrs Justin Rose) RISK: 1.02u LOSS -1.02
Round 4 Matchup - Charles Schwab - Xander Schauffele -111 - (Xander Schauffele vrs Gary Woodland) RISK: 2.06u WIN +1.86u
Round 4: 6-5 +2.14u

Summary:
Full Tournament: 6-1 +5.36u on 9.42u risked (56.9% ROI)
Round 2: 6-6-1 -0.53u on 15.75u risked
Round 3: 6-7-1 +3.25u on 9.12u risked
Round 4: +2.14u on 9.52u risked
To Win: +12.36u on 1.41u risked
Total: +22.58 on 44.95u risked (50.23% ROI)
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06-14-2020 , 05:02 PM
sick stuff man, maybe i should cancel my vegas dave whale play sub
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06-14-2020 , 05:47 PM
Let's go Morikawa?
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06-14-2020 , 05:49 PM
water 15
30 foot putt
30 foot putt



into the woods off the tee on 18

great thing we are retiring guys
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06-14-2020 , 05:57 PM
and the birdie putt falls a foot short.

good game everybody.

i don't even care if morikawa wins now. blow it all up
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06-14-2020 , 06:02 PM
Xander laying down in honor of George Floyd
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06-14-2020 , 06:12 PM
morikawas putt lol
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06-14-2020 , 07:11 PM
That was hard to watch.
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06-15-2020 , 07:50 PM
so yea, after that meltdown from everyone only +10.22u. It happens. Can't live in the past, time to move on.

RBC Heritage To Win (lines are current at BM) in []'s I put my fair line since these prices vary a lot

Hideki Matsuyama +2871 RISK: 0.14u [2441]
Webb Simpson +2657 Risk: 0.1u [2402]
John Rahm +1809 Risk: 0.41u [1359]

Full Tournament Head to Head (Pinnacle and books that copy them)

Jon Rahm - Xander Schauffele - Match-ups - Jon Rahm Odds: -120 RISK: 1.41u
Jon Rahm - Collin Morikawa - Match-ups - Jon Rahm Odds: -145 RISK: 0.44u
JT Poston - Billy Horschel - Match-ups - Billy Horschel Odds: -127 RISK: 0.2u
Hideki Matsuyama - Gary Woodland - Match-ups - Hideki Matsuyama Odds: -147 RISK: 1.41u
Brandt Snedeker - Joaquin Niemann - Match-ups - Brandt Snedeker Odds: -120 RISK: 1.14u
Justin Thomas - Bryson DeChambeau - Match-ups - Justin Thomas Odds: -116 RISK: 1.19u
Dustin Johnson - Brooks Koepka - Match-ups - Dustin Johnson Odds: -103 RISK: 1.15u
Patrick Reed - Webb Simpson - Match-ups - Webb Simpson Odds: -119 RISK: 0.69u
Daniel Berger - Matt Kuchar - Match-ups - Matt Kuchar Odds: -119 RISK: 0.91u
Sergio Garcia - Ian Poulter - Match-ups - Sergio Garcia Odds: +106 RISK: 0.66u
Jason Kokrak - Scottie Scheffler - Match-ups - Scottie Scheffler Odds: -122 RISK: 1.3u
Corey Conners - Bubba Watson - Match-ups - Corey Conners Odds: -123 RISK: 0.64u
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06-15-2020 , 08:13 PM


hmm
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06-15-2020 , 08:44 PM
I lost well over 100k offshore so that probably did the trick for them.
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06-15-2020 , 08:49 PM
lets form a golf syndicate.

BM is so slow to post everything now and every one else is scared to take a bet. Even Circa. So many 30 second spinning wheels, odds changed on Circa app and I'm too scared to go there due to COVID-19
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06-15-2020 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa!
I lost well over 100k offshore so that probably did the trick for them.

which off-shores take "real" golf heat besides BM? I gues BOL?
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06-15-2020 , 08:56 PM
BOL opens at like $500 limits then gets to 5k iirc...currently showing 500 limits for me
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06-15-2020 , 09:00 PM
BOL usually has 25 h2h tourney matchups posted, but only showing 16 at the moment and it has been that way for a few hours. Several that sigs posted above are not available on BOL yet
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06-15-2020 , 09:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jablo1312
which off-shores take "real" golf heat besides BM? I gues BOL?
Last week I got ~30k a play in two clicks between just BOL and BM and BM limits were half of what they were pre-Covid for PGA.

Last edited by Iowa!; 06-15-2020 at 09:08 PM.
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06-15-2020 , 09:18 PM
It's weird because Bookmaker is taking 10k bets on the masters. Must need to hold onto that money for a while. I'm also noticing their golf lines are moving a lot more and they're cloning a lot of lines other books have. I think they got a new golf linesman over the break.

Can't believe Euro PGA isn't coming back for another month. Need to get some of these trash golfers out of the PGA and back there.
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06-15-2020 , 10:10 PM
I'll be running some Sims this week. Wrote the code for 1. Too tired to do more now. I'll post results Wednesday at some point.

I'm taking my kids to a beach an hour away to sit near some friends tomorrow.
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06-15-2020 , 10:45 PM
Dahmen 80/1 and +7750
Cauley +12500
Munoz +20050
Lowry 80/1
Finau 50/1
Morikawa +2501
Ancer 60/1
Kuch 40/1
Matsuyama +2854
Fitzpatrick 55/1

Let's see what happens
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06-16-2020 , 10:40 AM
That Matsuyama line really moved against us.

Adding some to Hideki Matsuyama +3870 0.32u

Rahm down to 14/1 at least
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06-16-2020 , 10:53 AM
jesus, found rahm at 38 and it moved to 34 before i could lock it in - wouldn't be surprised if your .32units did the trick
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