Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread

03-12-2020 , 04:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Precept24
I got a decent sweat going. In a 1st round showdown, I stacked the morning wave.

Cantlay, Dechambeau, Hideki, Scheffler, Berger, Denny McCarthy

LFG!!!!!!!!!!
I wish they would just make it a one round tournament right now so I win on Matsuyama. I looked at bookmaker's rules and didn't see anything about required number of holes to be played. They just can't cancel it is all.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-12-2020 , 05:28 PM
this might work out

Fitzpatrick currently +3
Fleetwood highly owned and +3
Rory not that owned but +2

Rahm remembered how to play golf on the back 9

Ancer's terrible but it could be canceled out by high owned guys bombing.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-12-2020 , 05:51 PM
if horschel could make 9 foot putts he'd be -7
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-12-2020 , 08:13 PM
Ugh. In my showdown, McCarthy and Bryson made some bogeys coming in. Should've finished top 10, but will finish in 25th or so out of 3.5k for a 10x pay day. Not bad, but I was in 1st throughout most of the morning wave.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-12-2020 , 10:09 PM
It looks like it won't pay out now tho. Tournament is canceled and R1 didn't finish. Sorry bro, it sucks.

Just put in a bunch of R2 bets, went to post them and saw the announcement on twitter.

Was doing so good in cash too.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-12-2020 , 10:30 PM
What a bunch of bs. Matsuyama or Cantlay were a lock
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-14-2020 , 02:36 PM
BM graded my oosthuizen tournament matchups a loss. his card shows 7 holes played. guess he dropped pre cancellation.

fair?

if you were up against him, make sure you got paid
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-14-2020 , 04:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by failedlurker
BM graded my oosthuizen tournament matchups a loss. his card shows 7 holes played. guess he dropped pre cancellation.

fair?

if you were up against him, make sure you got paid
Fair. R1 stuff had action so as long as his opponent completed R1, it was a 100% loser. We all learn the hard way never to trust Louis Oosthuizen.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-14-2020 , 04:52 PM
I'm annoyed. 6 guys didn't complete R1, so all showdowns got cancelled. A few entrants had 1 hole remaining.

How much time did they need to finish from the fairway?

Couldn't DK pay out if based on a maximum outcome for each player based on a par, birdie, and bogey?

Still peeved.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-14-2020 , 07:07 PM
BM and BO voided all my tournament matchups including Louis v Sergio (on BO), which I expected to lose. Heritage has more ambiguous rules on tournament matchups than BetOnline (BO requires 36 holes to be played) and the four I had on heritage went 0-3-1....talked to their customer service about how the tour said this event is unofficial etc and they told me to f off. I tried pointing out that round 1 had not completed and the results can no longer be found on the tour website...didn't matter. whatever

I'm not sure how I don't lose Louis v Sergio given that Louis WD....guess it makes up for heritage run bad
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-14-2020 , 07:15 PM
BM has in their rules that if someone withdraws and tees off whoever completes more holes is the winner. It sucks but just know in the long run this stuff evens out. You'll get a win from it sometime before the end of the season.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-18-2020 , 10:33 AM
Alright I got bored and bet the Cactus Tour for some outrights.

Nordqvist
Moore
Harigae
Woods
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-19-2020 , 09:27 PM
2 of the 4 picks tied for the lead going into the last round. God bless the Cactus Tour during these dark times.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-20-2020 , 05:24 PM
Nordqvist ships. Cactus Tour is easy money.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-24-2020 , 09:29 PM
Cactus Tour continues. Let's fire some darts

Rhee
Moore
Burnham
Varma
Laux
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
03-27-2020 , 03:39 PM
Sarah Burnham with a come from behind win! 2 weeks straight winning outrights. I love the Cactus Tour. These chicks are truly terrible at golf.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-04-2020 , 05:23 PM
Anyone have a database of lines for to win or matchups they wouldn't mind sharing? I'm bored and want to back-test my garbage model to see if I can squeak out some pennies.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-09-2020 , 03:01 AM
can't vouch for cleanliness or usefulness as i've never downloaded but i've seen a few databases on kaggle and other places while looking for other golf data in the past for dfs purposes
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-12-2020 , 12:36 PM
Outlaw Tour is on DK. Trying my luck at cheeseburger stakes.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-12-2020 , 12:37 PM
Also, RickRunGood is doing some spreadsheet golf. Yesterday, he simulated the Masters and ran a Tiers contest.

Was worth the $25. Plus, I got 4th for 11.5x.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-13-2020 , 03:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Precept24
Also, RickRunGood is doing some spreadsheet golf. Yesterday, he simulated the Masters and ran a Tiers contest.

Was worth the $25. Plus, I got 4th for 11.5x.
dude is a massive fraud, he did a reddit post explaining how build an optimizer when he was a tout and in doing so in such a horrible manner exposed that he doesn't even play dfs despite touting it nor has the vaguest notion of how to build an efficient optimizer

pm'd with him back and forth not to rag on him but to ask why he'd tout dfs for a living if it was something he didn't even play and/or why he'd teach people to build an optimizer when he was clearly guessing at how to do it - he first continued lying and later when i proved he had no idea he admitted it but got super defensive and a little nasty - which i get but i was super clear about not judging him from the start - was just trying to understand how someone could have the initiative to pursue something like touting despite that they were touting something they themselves didn't do and instead of ignoring me or just saying something generic like "oh i'm just a fan of sports and want to be involved" he instead chose to lie so f him forever as far as I'm concerned

zero chance he can run a clean simulation though, he's a total fraud
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-13-2020 , 05:49 AM
I hear ya. I don't really follow him too much. I saw his video on Cascading lineups and gave him a follow him on Twitter. He's engaging on YouTube.

Just came across his tweet around 4-hours before he ran it, and was like "Why not?" Seems like what I did the few weeks of my Sims, although I don't know what his inputs were.

Got paid out already.
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
04-21-2020 , 05:59 PM
Outlaw Tour has more contests this week, plus Late Round contests. Sadly, only Showdowns. No full tourney contests.

Streaming live on Periscope, 2 channels.

Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Live Sports
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
05-18-2020 , 11:19 PM
any outlaw tour sharps? I fed in the last couple months data into my model and here is what it thinks.

To win

Jeremy Paul +1000
Yannik Paul +1600
Stuart MacDonald +3300

and tournament match ups

Wu -170 over Galletti
Yannik Paul -115 over Nick Mason
Wheeldon -101 over Peter Kuest
MacDonald -110 over Yun
Dunkle -110 over Korte

Lets get these $250 limits
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote
05-19-2020 , 03:42 AM
paul & paul moved in your favor but macdonald now 3555

dropped a min bet on all in solidarity
Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread Quote

      
m